Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>China will roll out its 2026 - 2030 five-year plan this month, which outline the economic and social roadmap until the end of the decade.  </li>
<li>Historically the five-year plans have been a roadmap for investors to look for tailwinds for economic sector performance.  We believe the high-tech industries will remain the main focus for investment.</li>
<li>Exporters of high-end equipment and machinery will continue to benefit with the consumption sector being a focus for international investors.</li>
</ul>


China will roll out its 2026 - 2030 five-year plan this month, which outline the economic and social roadmap until the end of the decade.  
Historically the five-year plans have been a roadmap for investors to look for tailwinds for economic sector performance.  We believe the high-tech industries will remain the main focus for investment.
Exporters of high-end equipment and machinery will continue to benefit with the consumption sector being a focus for international investors.


EMERGING THEMES: China's Next 5 Year Plan

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Index Rebalance

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)

<ul>
<li>On 10 August, Hang Seng Index launched a market consultation on potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> methodology.</li>
<li>If the proposals are approved, there will be 20 stocks added to the index in December creating a lot of flow and impact for the index constituents.</li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 13.4% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$73.3bn (US$9.3bn), so this could be implemented in a phased manner.</li>
</ul>


On 10 August, Hang Seng Index launched a market consultation on potential changes to the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) methodology.
If the proposals are approved, there will be 20 stocks added to the index in December creating a lot of flow and impact for the index constituents.
One way turnover is estimated at 13.4% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$73.3bn (US$9.3bn), so this could be implemented in a phased manner.


HSTECH Index: Market Consultation, 20 Adds in December, Trade of US$9.3bn

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technolog" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)</a>, one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, aims to raise around US$5bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>CATL is the global leader in new energy vehicle battery solutions, in China and globally, as per SNE Research. Its A-shares have been listed since 2018.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH), one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, aims to raise around US$5bn in its H-share listing.
CATL is the global leader in new energy vehicle battery solutions, in China and globally, as per SNE Research. Its A-shares have been listed since 2018.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


CATL A/H Listing - Early Look - US$5bn Could Be Hong Kong’s Largest This Year

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Vehicle-To-Grid (V2G) technology is rapidly expanding, and China is at the forefront, with the world's largest EV market.  Utilizing large onboard batteries and AI chips, NEVs could soon generate tokens.</li>
<li> China holds 60% of the global ESS market and targets 180GW of new capacity by 2027. NDRC is mandating V2G integration and targets 10+GW of flexible EV storage by 2030.</li>
<li>CATL Chairman Zeng stated in June 2026 that many EVs could be turned into "token factories" by tapping their batteries and AI chips to handle AI model inference workloads.</li>
</ul>


Vehicle-To-Grid (V2G) technology is rapidly expanding, and China is at the forefront, with the world's largest EV market.  Utilizing large onboard batteries and AI chips, NEVs could soon generate tokens.
 China holds 60% of the global ESS market and targets 180GW of new capacity by 2027. NDRC is mandating V2G integration and targets 10+GW of flexible EV storage by 2030.
CATL Chairman Zeng stated in June 2026 that many EVs could be turned into "token factories" by tapping their batteries and AI chips to handle AI model inference workloads.


Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong market continued its downtrend over the last month.  The technology, materials, consumer, and healthcare sectors have declined in 2026, with the industrials sector showing the best performance.</li>
<li>Dividend and value factors have outperformed in 2026, while growth and momentum have declined.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-co-limited-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)</a> was initiated as OVERWEIGHT by Barclays, with a target price implying 35% upside.
</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong market continued its downtrend over the last month.  The technology, materials, consumer, and healthcare sectors have declined in 2026, with the industrials sector showing the best performance.
Dividend and value factors have outperformed in 2026, while growth and momentum have declined.  

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK) was initiated as OVERWEIGHT by Barclays, with a target price implying 35% upside.



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (6/22/26)

China

CALB Group Co., Ltd. is a leading Chinese manufacturer specializing in the design, development, production, and sales of advanced lithium-ion batteries, battery management systems, and related integrated products. Its products are primarily used in electric vehicles and energy storage systems. The company is headquartered in Changzhou, Jiangsu Province, China, and was founded in 2007.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

CALB (3931 HK)

EMERGING THEMES: China's Next 5 Year Plan

China will roll out its 2026 - 2030 five-year plan this month, outlining the economic and social roadmap until the end of the decade.Historically...

David Mudd

HSTECH Index: Market Consultation, 20 Adds in December, Trade of US$9.3bn

Following a market consult, there could be 20 adds for the index in Dec leading to a one-way turnover of 13.4% and a round-trip trade of US$9.3bn....

Brian Freitas

CATL A/H Listing - Early Look - US$5bn Could Be Hong Kong’s Largest This Year

The company has now officially filed for a Hong Kong listing and is said to be looking to raise US$5-7bn. The lead banks on the deal are BofA,...

Sumeet Singh

EVs: THE NEW AI TOKEN FACTORIES

Guoxia Tech (2655 HK) has surged 53% over 2 days on high volume. The driver is a continuation of the AI-linked energy storage re-rating that began...

David Mudd

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (6/22/26)

The HK market continued its downtrend over the last month. The technology, materials, consumer, and healthcare sectors have declined in 2026, with...

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)