Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.</li>
<li>We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.</li>
<li>With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.
We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.
With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.


Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Taiwan in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Innolux, King Slide Works, Formosa Plastics, TSMC, Nanya Technology, Phison Electronics, Winbond Electronics, Yang Ming Marine.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Taiwan in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Innolux, King Slide Works, Formosa Plastics, TSMC, Nanya Technology, Phison Electronics, Winbond Electronics, Yang Ming Marine.


MS-Taiwan Index Earning Revision (Aug): Innolux, King Slide Works, Formosa Plastics, TSMC

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 9th. The aggregated holding was USD2,219.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,945mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Unimicron Technology, ASE Industrial, MediaTek, Alchip Technologies.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 9th. The aggregated holding was USD2,219.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,945mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Unimicron Technology, ASE Industrial, MediaTek, Alchip Technologies.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 9th): TSMC, Unimicron Technology, ASE Industrial, MediaTek

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 3rd. The aggregated holding was USD2,311.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,528mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, UMC, Hon Hai Precision, Macronix Intl, Kinsus Interconnect Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 3rd. The aggregated holding was USD2,311.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,528mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, UMC, Hon Hai Precision, Macronix Intl, Kinsus Interconnect Technology.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 3rd): TSMC, UMC, Hon Hai Precision, Macronix Intl

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 26th. The aggregated holding was USD2,204.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD8,550mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Winbond Electronics, Hon Hai Precision, ASE Industrial, King Yuan Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 26th. The aggregated holding was USD2,204.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD8,550mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Winbond Electronics, Hon Hai Precision, ASE Industrial, King Yuan Electronics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 26th): TSMC, Winbond Electronics, Hon Hai Precision, ASE Industrial

Taiwan

Caliway Biopharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. focuses on breakthrough medical aesthetics and inflammatory medicine discovery of small molecule therapeutics. The Company develops CBL-514 to treat subcutaneous fat. Caliway Biopharmaceuticals conducts businesses across worldwide.

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Caliway Biopharmaceuticals (6919 TT)

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar $DXY = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI despite near-term downside risk. We remain bullish if $ACWI > $116,...

Vermilion Research

MS-Taiwan Index Earning Revision (Aug): Innolux, King Slide Works, Formosa Plastics, TSMC

We analyzed MS-Taiwan's consensus for Aug 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Innolux (3481 TT), King Slide Works (2059 TT), Formosa Plastics...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 9th): TSMC, Unimicron Technology, ASE Industrial, MediaTek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Unimicron Technology, ASE Industrial,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 3rd): TSMC, UMC, Hon Hai Precision, Macronix Intl

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, UMC, Hon Hai Precision, Macronix Intl,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 26th): TSMC, Winbond Electronics, Hon Hai Precision, ASE Industrial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Winbond Electronics, Hon Hai Precision,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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