Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Cameco Corporation in its third quarter of 2025 displayed a strong financial performance, maintaining a robust position in the nuclear market.</li><li>The company reported significant advances, particularly regarding its partnership with Brookfield and the U.S. government related to Westinghouse nuclear reactors.</li><li>This agreement, backed by at least $80 billion in planned investments in Westinghouse technology, underscores Cameco's involvement in advancing energy security and stimulating the domestic supply chain in the U.S. A significant milestone is set, positioning Westinghouse as a leading reactor technology in the nuclear sector, which indirectly bolsters Cameco's strategic positioning in the market.</li></ul>

Cameco Corporation in its third quarter of 2025 displayed a strong financial performance, maintaining a robust position in the nuclear market.The company reported significant advances, particularly regarding its partnership with Brookfield and the U.S. government related to Westinghouse nuclear reactors.This agreement, backed by at least $80 billion in planned investments in Westinghouse technology, underscores Cameco's involvement in advancing energy security and stimulating the domestic supply chain in the U.S. A significant milestone is set, positioning Westinghouse as a leading reactor technology in the nuclear sector, which indirectly bolsters Cameco's strategic positioning in the market.

Cameco Corporation: TRL-6 Enrichment Progress—A Breakthrough Signal That Cuts Technology Risk!

Equity & Credit Research

Duncan Chan

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Potential de-escalation may compress risk premiums, but Treasury yields around 4.5–5.0% still compete with equities, suggesting broader participation may remain selective near term.</li>
<li>Aluminium increasingly stands out as inventories declined approximately 7–8% and physical conditions tightened, while copper remains broadly consistent with surplus expectations.</li>
<li>Evidence remains more supportive for energy security and infrastructure themes, including uranium, AI infrastructure and offshore rigs, while coal and lithium still require clearer signs of tightening.</li>
</ul>


Potential de-escalation may compress risk premiums, but Treasury yields around 4.5–5.0% still compete with equities, suggesting broader participation may remain selective near term.
Aluminium increasingly stands out as inventories declined approximately 7–8% and physical conditions tightened, while copper remains broadly consistent with surplus expectations.
Evidence remains more supportive for energy security and infrastructure themes, including uranium, AI infrastructure and offshore rigs, while coal and lithium still require clearer signs of tightening.


US-Iran De-Escalation: Looking Beyond Risk Premiums

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Kazakhstan remains the world’s largest uranium producer, accounting for roughly 39–40% of global mine supply in recent years, while Russia continues to retain meaningful influence in enrichment capacity.</li>
<li>Utilities resumed long-duration uranium contracting during 2025–2026 despite elevated prices near US$80–100/lb, suggesting fuel diversification and procurement stability increasingly outweigh pure short-term cost optimisation.</li>
<li>Governments and utilities increasingly appear willing to tolerate higher fuel and infrastructure costs in exchange for stable electricity, diversified fuel access and long-duration energy reliability.</li>
</ul>


Kazakhstan remains the world’s largest uranium producer, accounting for roughly 39–40% of global mine supply in recent years, while Russia continues to retain meaningful influence in enrichment capacity.
Utilities resumed long-duration uranium contracting during 2025–2026 despite elevated prices near US$80–100/lb, suggesting fuel diversification and procurement stability increasingly outweigh pure short-term cost optimisation.
Governments and utilities increasingly appear willing to tolerate higher fuel and infrastructure costs in exchange for stable electricity, diversified fuel access and long-duration energy reliability.


Uranium: Fuel Security Is Starting To Matter More Than Cost

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

<ul>
<li>SHANTI eliminates the liability and monopoly barriers—SDR-indexed operator caps, a sovereign-backed compensation waterfall, AERB independence, and APTEL appellate review convert nuclear into a bankable asset class.</li>
<li>India shifts from ~8 GW to a 100-GW build mandate, implying ~90 GW of new capacity and ~$550–750 billion of capex, with SMRs and brownfield coal conversions driving first-wave execution.</li>
<li>Ancing viability hinges on non-recourse leverage (70:30/80:20), long-tenor PPAs/CfDs, ECA underwriting, and fuel security—especially uranium diversification and HALEU access for SMRs</li>
</ul>


SHANTI eliminates the liability and monopoly barriers—SDR-indexed operator caps, a sovereign-backed compensation waterfall, AERB independence, and APTEL appellate review convert nuclear into a bankable asset class.
India shifts from ~8 GW to a 100-GW build mandate, implying ~90 GW of new capacity and ~$550–750 billion of capex, with SMRs and brownfield coal conversions driving first-wave execution.
Ancing viability hinges on non-recourse leverage (70:30/80:20), long-tenor PPAs/CfDs, ECA underwriting, and fuel security—especially uranium diversification and HALEU access for SMRs


INDIA NUCLEAR — SHANTI BILL 2025: From Liability Paralysis to a $550–750bn Private-Build Pipeline

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 5+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. So far, the latest pullback is testing the uptrend -- buy/stay long.</li>
<li>We are buying the test of 7-month base support in Europe (EURO STOXX 50). China's Shanghai Composite points to a second chance breakout attempt above 1.5-month resistance -- buy/stay long</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 5+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. So far, the latest pullback is testing the uptrend -- buy/stay long.
We are buying the test of 7-month base support in Europe (EURO STOXX 50). China's Shanghai Composite points to a second chance breakout attempt above 1.5-month resistance -- buy/stay long


5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

Canada

Cameco Corporation explores, develops, mines, refines, converts, and fabricates uranium. The Company offers uranium for sale as fuel for generating electricity in nuclear power reactors. Cameco operates worldwide.

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Cameco Corp (CCJ US)

Cameco Corporation: TRL-6 Enrichment Progress—A Breakthrough Signal That Cuts Technology Risk!

Cameco Corporation in its third quarter of 2025 displayed a strong financial performance, maintaining a robust position in the nuclear market. The...

Baptista Research

US-Iran De-Escalation: Looking Beyond Risk Premiums

Re-sharing as recent market developments continue to raise the question of whether fading geopolitical risk premiums alone are enough to support...

Duncan Chan

Uranium: Fuel Security Is Starting To Matter More Than Cost

Re-sharing as recent energy security and power reliability discussions continue to support the view that fuel security may increasingly matter more...

Duncan Chan

INDIA NUCLEAR — SHANTI BILL 2025: From Liability Paralysis to a $550–750bn Private-Build Pipeline

SHANTI transforms nuclear energy into a bankable asset class in India, with a shift towards a 100-GW build mandate and focus on SMRs and...

Rahul Jain

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI $ACWI; Bullish Outlook Intact; China Second Chance Breakout Likely on Shanghai Composite. Buying the test...

Vermilion Research

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Cameco Corporation: TRL-6 Enrichment Progress—A Breakthrough Signal That Cuts Technology Risk!

Cameco Corporation in its third quarter of 2025 displayed a strong financial performance, maintaining a robust position in the nuclear market. The...

Baptista Research

US-Iran De-Escalation: Looking Beyond Risk Premiums

Re-sharing as recent market developments continue to raise the question of whether fading geopolitical risk premiums alone are enough to support...

Duncan Chan

Uranium: Fuel Security Is Starting To Matter More Than Cost

Re-sharing as recent energy security and power reliability discussions continue to support the view that fuel security may increasingly matter more...

Duncan Chan

INDIA NUCLEAR — SHANTI BILL 2025: From Liability Paralysis to a $550–750bn Private-Build Pipeline

​SHANTI transforms nuclear energy into a bankable asset class in India, with a shift towards a 100-GW build mandate and focus on SMRs and...

Rahul Jain

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI $ACWI; Bullish Outlook Intact; China Second Chance Breakout Likely on Shanghai Composite. Buying the test...

Vermilion Research

SHANTI transforms nuclear energy into a bankable asset class in India, with a shift towards a 100-GW build mandate and focus on SMRs and...