Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>This Insight focuses on PSU owned Housing Finance companies - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pnb-housing-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23613:1" rel="noopener">PNB Housing Finance Ltd (PNBHOUSI IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lic-housing-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15667:1" rel="noopener">LIC Housing Finance (LICHF IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/can-fin-homes-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17447:1" rel="noopener">Can Fin Homes (CANF IN)</a>. </li>
<li>PNB Housing aims to focus on affordable housing, LIC Housing Finance is possibly struggling due to its size and a conservative risk appetite.</li>
<li>Can Fin Homes exhibits some serious questions regarding its internal controls and underwriting policies.</li>
</ul>


This Insight focuses on PSU owned Housing Finance companies - PNB Housing Finance Ltd (PNBHOUSI IN) , LIC Housing Finance (LICHF IN) and Can Fin Homes (CANF IN). 
PNB Housing aims to focus on affordable housing, LIC Housing Finance is possibly struggling due to its size and a conservative risk appetite.
Can Fin Homes exhibits some serious questions regarding its internal controls and underwriting policies.


Narrative and Numbers | Housing Finance - PSUs | FY24

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Bajaj Housing Finance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-housing-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43675:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$830m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>BHF is a non-deposit taking housing finance company engaged in mortgage lending since FY18. Its mortgage products include home loans, loans against property, lease rental discounting and developer financing.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note we will undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN) is looking to raise around US$830m in its upcoming India IPO.
BHF is a non-deposit taking housing finance company engaged in mortgage lending since FY18. Its mortgage products include home loans, loans against property, lease rental discounting and developer financing.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note we will undertake a peer comparison.


Bajaj Housing Finance Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Bigger and Faster

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Operational Performance: CANF’s disbursement growth was weak and de-grew by 6/30% YoY/QoQ.</li><li>AUM growth was slowest in 12 quarters, registering a growth of ~9/2% YoY/QoQ (vs our expectation of 11% YoY growth).</li><li>The share of salaried to self-employed customers stood steady at 72:28, flat QoQ.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Operational Performance: CANF’s disbursement growth was weak and de-grew by 6/30% YoY/QoQ.AUM growth was slowest in 12 quarters, registering a growth of ~9/2% YoY/QoQ (vs our expectation of 11% YoY growth).The share of salaried to self-employed customers stood steady at 72:28, flat QoQ.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Can Fin Homes Ltd. - Growth Recovery in Sight, Maintain BUY!

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Sharekhan

Sharekhan

Sharekhan is India's leading broking house providing services from easy online trading, research to wide array of financial products. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The company is confident of recouping growth as most of the internal systems and processes have been streamlined.</li><li>It is guiding for loan growth of 15% in FY25 and 18-20% from FY26 onward driven by pick up in disbursements growth led by branch expansion and productivity underwriting higher ticket-size home loans as demand is tepid in ticket size lower than Rs. 20 lakh and</li><li>c) Partnering with builders where projects are approved project financial (APF) by other large lenders so that it can source small-project loans.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The company is confident of recouping growth as most of the internal systems and processes have been streamlined.It is guiding for loan growth of 15% in FY25 and 18-20% from FY26 onward driven by pick up in disbursements growth led by branch expansion and productivity underwriting higher ticket-size home loans as demand is tepid in ticket size lower than Rs. 20 lakh andc) Partnering with builders where projects are approved project financial (APF) by other large lenders so that it can source small-project loans.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Can Fin Homes Ltd - Strong RoE to Sustain, Growth to Pick Up

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/india-shelter-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40025:1" rel="noopener">India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN)</a> listed in India on 20th Dec 2023 after raising US$144m. The pre-IPO investors had trimmed a portion of their stakes in the IPO</li>
<li>India Shelter Finance (ISF) is a retail-focused HFC targeting the self-employed customer with a focus on first time home loan takers in the low and middle income group.</li>
<li>Coming up for six-month lockup expiry on 18th Jun 2024 are the firm's pre-IPO shareholders and a portion of the promoters’ stakes.</li>
</ul>



India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN) listed in India on 20th Dec 2023 after raising US$144m. The pre-IPO investors had trimmed a portion of their stakes in the IPO
India Shelter Finance (ISF) is a retail-focused HFC targeting the self-employed customer with a focus on first time home loan takers in the low and middle income group.
Coming up for six-month lockup expiry on 18th Jun 2024 are the firm's pre-IPO shareholders and a portion of the promoters’ stakes.


India Shelter Finance US$240m Lock-Up Expiry - Multi-Bagger Gains Are Ripe for the Taking

India

Can Fin Homes is a housing finance company promoted by Canara Bank, focusing primarily on individual housing loans for middle-aged first-time homebuyers in the affordable and middle-income sectors. The company provides housing loans for construction, purchase, and renovation, as well as non-housing loans like mortgage and top-up loans. Headquartered in Bengaluru, Karnataka, India, the company was founded in 1987.

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Can Fin Homes (CANF IN)

Narrative and Numbers | Housing Finance - PSUs | FY24

PNB Housing focuses on affordable housing, LIC Housing Finance struggles with size and risk appetite, Can Fin Homes faces questions on internal...

Pranav Bhavsar

Bajaj Housing Finance Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Bigger and Faster

Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN) is looking to raise around US$830m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

Can Fin Homes Ltd. - Growth Recovery in Sight, Maintain BUY!

CANF’s disbursement growth was weak and de-grew by 6/30% YoY/QoQ. AUM growth was slowest in 12 quarters, registering a growth of ~9/2% YoY/QoQ (vs...

Axis Direct

Can Fin Homes Ltd - Strong RoE to Sustain, Growth to Pick Up

The company is confident of recouping growth as most of the internal systems and processes have been streamlined. It is guiding for loan growth of...

Sharekhan

India Shelter Finance US$240m Lock-Up Expiry - Multi-Bagger Gains Are Ripe for the Taking

India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN) listed in India on 20th Dec 2023 after raising US$144m. The pre-IPO investors had trimmed a portion of their...

Clarence Chu

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