India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Demand outside gold remains soft; co‑funding costs show early easing; asset quality stress is shifting, with vehicle finance and micro‑LAP emerging as pain points.</li>
<li>The divergence across NBFC subsegments (gold, affordable housing, vehicle finance, micro-LAP) is widening, making sector-level staging less helpful - selective bets will matter more.</li>
<li>We remain biased toward affordable HFCs, gold financiers (to ride momentum), and select diversified NBFCs. Vigilance is needed to combat NIM pressure and rising unsecured stress.</li>
</ul>


Demand outside gold remains soft; co‑funding costs show early easing; asset quality stress is shifting, with vehicle finance and micro‑LAP emerging as pain points.
The divergence across NBFC subsegments (gold, affordable housing, vehicle finance, micro-LAP) is widening, making sector-level staging less helpful - selective bets will matter more.
We remain biased toward affordable HFCs, gold financiers (to ride momentum), and select diversified NBFCs. Vigilance is needed to combat NIM pressure and rising unsecured stress.


NBFC Q2FY26 Outlook - Rate Cuts, Credit Stress & Selective Wins in NBFCs

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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<ul><li>UltraTech Cement: We maintain BUY on UltraTech (UTCEM) with a revised target price of INR 12,800 (valuing it at 17x Mar-27E consolidated EBITDA)</li><li>In Q1FY26, UTCEM’s delivered 10% volume growth (sub-par +3% LTL), aided by India Cements (ICEM) consolidation</li><li>Unit EBITDA expanded INR 72/MT QoQ to INR 1,197/ MT on healthy pricing</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

UltraTech Cement: We maintain BUY on UltraTech (UTCEM) with a revised target price of INR 12,800 (valuing it at 17x Mar-27E consolidated EBITDA)In Q1FY26, UTCEM’s delivered 10% volume growth (sub-par +3% LTL), aided by India Cements (ICEM) consolidationUnit EBITDA expanded INR 72/MT QoQ to INR 1,197/ MT on healthy pricingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: UltraTech Cement, Havells India, JK Cement, Can Fin Homes, Mastek

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

<ul>
<li>During rate cut cycle, NBFCs with a higher proportion of floating-rate liabilities &amp; a relatively lower proportion of floating-rate assets are poised to experience an expansion in their profitability.</li>
<li>This insight analyzes the asset-liability profiles of select Vehicle Financiers, Prime HFCs, and Affordable HFCs to identify their sensitivity to interest rate movements</li>
<li>Overall, NBFCs expect the benefit of the rate cut to have a lagged effect from H2FY26, leading  expansion in NIM and overall profitability</li>
</ul>


During rate cut cycle, NBFCs with a higher proportion of floating-rate liabilities &amp; a relatively lower proportion of floating-rate assets are poised to experience an expansion in their profitability.
This insight analyzes the asset-liability profiles of select Vehicle Financiers, Prime HFCs, and Affordable HFCs to identify their sensitivity to interest rate movements
Overall, NBFCs expect the benefit of the rate cut to have a lagged effect from H2FY26, leading  expansion in NIM and overall profitability


Thematic Report : Impact of Rate Cuts on Profitability of NBFCs and HFCs in India

<ul><li>Dixon Technologies: Dixon reported yet another quarter of strong operational performance with revenue/EBITDA growing by 117%/112% (+7%/+8% vs HSIE), led by 2.9x growth in the mobile &amp; EMS division revenues (ramp in volumes with existing customers and consolidation of the Ismartu acquisition)</li><li>Having achieved c.21mn smartphones in 9M, Dixon remains on track to close the year with c 30mn units</li><li>Commercialization of the display module facility remains on track to go online in 1HFY26 while it continues to look to further deepen backward integration capabilities through partnerships for precision components, mechanicals, camera modules, and battery packs</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Dixon Technologies: Dixon reported yet another quarter of strong operational performance with revenue/EBITDA growing by 117%/112% (+7%/+8% vs HSIE), led by 2.9x growth in the mobile &amp; EMS division revenues (ramp in volumes with existing customers and consolidation of the Ismartu acquisition)Having achieved c.21mn smartphones in 9M, Dixon remains on track to close the year with c 30mn unitsCommercialization of the display module facility remains on track to go online in 1HFY26 while it continues to look to further deepen backward integration capabilities through partnerships for precision components, mechanicals, camera modules, and battery packsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Dixon Technologies, Supreme Industries, Karur Vysya Bank, Can Fin Homes

<ul><li>SBI Life Insurance: SBILIFE’s H1FY25 VNB printed at INR24.2bn (+2.5% YoY), as the VNB margin softened to 26.8% (-180bps YoY) on the back of a higher share of ULIP in the overall APE mix at 69% (H1FY24: 64%)</li><li>Based on the management commentary, we maintain our APE growth forecast (+14% YoY), driven by sustained growth in individual business, and a weak Q4FY24 in the base</li><li>Our high conviction BUY is anchored on three powerful and sustainable moats: (a) exclusive access to SBI’s massive distribution network (branch penetration at ~2%), (b) scope for improvement in margin-accretive traditional mix, and (c) cost leadership (excl renewal comm)/APE ratio among peers (H1FY25: 37.1%, H1FY24: 36.3%)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SBI Life Insurance: SBILIFE’s H1FY25 VNB printed at INR24.2bn (+2.5% YoY), as the VNB margin softened to 26.8% (-180bps YoY) on the back of a higher share of ULIP in the overall APE mix at 69% (H1FY24: 64%)Based on the management commentary, we maintain our APE growth forecast (+14% YoY), driven by sustained growth in individual business, and a weak Q4FY24 in the baseOur high conviction BUY is anchored on three powerful and sustainable moats: (a) exclusive access to SBI’s massive distribution network (branch penetration at ~2%), (b) scope for improvement in margin-accretive traditional mix, and (c) cost leadership (excl renewal comm)/APE ratio among peers (H1FY25: 37.1%, H1FY24: 36.3%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: SBI Life Insurance, Godrej Properties, SRF, AU Small Finance Bank

India

Can Fin Homes is a housing finance company promoted by Canara Bank, focusing primarily on individual housing loans for middle-aged first-time homebuyers in the affordable and middle-income sectors. The company provides housing loans for construction, purchase, and renovation, as well as non-housing loans like mortgage and top-up loans. Headquartered in Bengaluru, Karnataka, India, the company was founded in 1987.

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Can Fin Homes (CANF IN)

NBFC Q2FY26 Outlook - Rate Cuts, Credit Stress & Selective Wins in NBFCs

Soft demand outside gold, easing co-funding costs, shifting asset quality stress in vehicle finance and micro-LAP. Divergence in NBFC subsegments...

Sudarshan Bhandari

HSIE Results Daily: UltraTech Cement, Havells India, JK Cement, Can Fin Homes, Mastek

UltraTech Cement: We maintain BUY on UltraTech (UTCEM) with a revised target price of INR 12,800 (valuing it at 17x Mar-27E consolidated EBITDA)

HDFC Securities

Thematic Report : Impact of Rate Cuts on Profitability of NBFCs and HFCs in India

NBFCs with more floating-rate liabilities and less floating-rate assets set to profit from rate cuts, with increased profitability expected in...

Nimish Maheshwari

HSIE Results Daily: Dixon Technologies, Supreme Industries, Karur Vysya Bank, Can Fin Homes

Dixon reported yet another quarter of strong operational performance with revenue/EBITDA growing by 117%/112% (+7%/+8% vs HSIE)

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: SBI Life Insurance, Godrej Properties, SRF, AU Small Finance Bank

SBILIFE’s H1FY25 VNB printed at INR24.2bn (+2.5% YoY), as the VNB margin softened to 26.8% (-180bps YoY) on the back of a higher share of ULIP in...

HDFC Securities

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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NBFC Q2FY26 Outlook - Rate Cuts, Credit Stress & Selective Wins in NBFCs

​Soft demand outside gold, easing co-funding costs, shifting asset quality stress in vehicle finance and micro-LAP. Divergence in NBFC subsegments...

Sudarshan Bhandari

HSIE Results Daily: UltraTech Cement, Havells India, JK Cement, Can Fin Homes, Mastek

UltraTech Cement: We maintain BUY on UltraTech (UTCEM) with a revised target price of INR 12,800 (valuing it at 17x Mar-27E consolidated EBITDA)

HDFC Securities

Thematic Report : Impact of Rate Cuts on Profitability of NBFCs and HFCs in India

​NBFCs with more floating-rate liabilities and less floating-rate assets set to profit from rate cuts, with increased profitability expected in...

Nimish Maheshwari

HSIE Results Daily: Dixon Technologies, Supreme Industries, Karur Vysya Bank, Can Fin Homes

Dixon reported yet another quarter of strong operational performance with revenue/EBITDA growing by 117%/112% (+7%/+8% vs HSIE)

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: SBI Life Insurance, Godrej Properties, SRF, AU Small Finance Bank

SBILIFE’s H1FY25 VNB printed at INR24.2bn (+2.5% YoY), as the VNB margin softened to 26.8% (-180bps YoY) on the back of a higher share of ULIP in...

HDFC Securities

Soft demand outside gold, easing co-funding costs, shifting asset quality stress in vehicle finance and micro-LAP. Divergence in NBFC subsegments...

NBFCs with more floating-rate liabilities and less floating-rate assets set to profit from rate cuts, with increased profitability expected in...