Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The WTR Consumer Stock Index trailed the Small Cap S&amp;P 600 in 2Q, declining 2.4% versus the 1.1% gain in the broader index.</li><li>The underperformance of our index was mostly due to a larger decline in prospective earnings, coupled with a lesser expansion in its prospective P/E ratio.</li><li>Our index saw prospective earnings decline 7.2% in 2Q versus a 5.0% decline in the S&amp;P 600, while its prospective P/E ratio expanded 0.8x in 2Q to 15.7x versus the 0.9x expansion to 15.3x in the S&amp;P 600.</li></ul>

The WTR Consumer Stock Index trailed the Small Cap S&amp;P 600 in 2Q, declining 2.4% versus the 1.1% gain in the broader index.The underperformance of our index was mostly due to a larger decline in prospective earnings, coupled with a lesser expansion in its prospective P/E ratio.Our index saw prospective earnings decline 7.2% in 2Q versus a 5.0% decline in the S&amp;P 600, while its prospective P/E ratio expanded 0.8x in 2Q to 15.7x versus the 0.9x expansion to 15.3x in the S&amp;P 600.

Consumer Products Monthly WTR Consumer Index Lags S&P 600 in 2Q

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>KMD Brands (KMD) provided a mixed FY26 update.</li><li>The key disappointment for us was the higher-than-expected net debt position, which requires disciplined execution through FY27 ahead of the NZ$43m reduction in its debt facility.</li><li>While we are encouraged by the ongoing operational recovery, balance-sheet execution keeps the risk–reward balanced.</li></ul>

KMD Brands (KMD) provided a mixed FY26 update.The key disappointment for us was the higher-than-expected net debt position, which requires disciplined execution through FY27 ahead of the NZ$43m reduction in its debt facility.While we are encouraged by the ongoing operational recovery, balance-sheet execution keeps the risk–reward balanced.

KMD Brands Carrying More Debt on the Recovery Path

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE / Technical Analysis

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (MC FP)

<ul>
<li>Select regions such as the US, Europe, Japan, and India are bullish, while others are not -- namely Hong Kong and China.</li>
<li>Relative strength (RS) for MSCI ACWI Technology is breaking out to new highs while RS on the MSCI ACWI Discretionary Sector is on the cusp of a breakout. </li>
<li>We highlight several buy opportunities within global Technology and Consumer Discretionary.</li>
</ul>


Select regions such as the US, Europe, Japan, and India are bullish, while others are not -- namely Hong Kong and China.
Relative strength (RS) for MSCI ACWI Technology is breaking out to new highs while RS on the MSCI ACWI Discretionary Sector is on the cusp of a breakout. 
We highlight several buy opportunities within global Technology and Consumer Discretionary.


Add To Global Technology and Consumer Discretionary

<p>We are beginning to see early signs of rotations back into more risk-on areas of the equity market -- a bullish sign for the broad market. Short-term outperformance and constructive consolidation/bottoming patterns are evident within biotech (<strong>IBB, XBI</strong>), small- and micro-caps (<strong>IWM, IWC</strong>), and emerging markets (<strong>EEM</strong>). This only adds to our positive outlook for the weeks and months ahead; continue to buy pullbacks.</p>

We are beginning to see early signs of rotations back into more risk-on areas of the equity market -- a bullish sign for the broad market. Short-term outperformance and constructive consolidation/bottoming patterns are evident within biotech (IBB, XBI), small- and micro-caps (IWM, IWC), and emerging markets (EEM). This only adds to our positive outlook for the weeks and months ahead; continue to buy pullbacks.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Risk-On Rotations Vs. Weaker Seasonality; Russell 2000, Biotech, EM Improving

<div>The action we are seeing in broad indexes, Sectors, and in market dynamics continues to support our overall bullish outlook. Additionally, the mild deterioration in market dynamics that we discussed the past two weeks is now much less of a concern. Continue to buy dips. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Energy, and Health Care.</div>

The action we are seeing in broad indexes, Sectors, and in market dynamics continues to support our overall bullish outlook. Additionally, the mild deterioration in market dynamics that we discussed the past two weeks is now much less of a concern. Continue to buy dips. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Energy, and Health Care.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

Canada

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, distributes, and retails outerwear for men, women, and children. Canada Goose Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Canada Goose Holdings (GOOS CN)

Consumer Products Monthly WTR Consumer Index Lags S&P 600 in 2Q

The WTR Consumer Stock Index trailed the Small Cap S&P 600 in 2Q, declining 2.4% versus the 1.1% gain in the broader index.

Water Tower Research

KMD Brands Carrying More Debt on the Recovery Path

KMD Brands (KMD) provided a mixed FY26 update. The key disappointment for us was the higher-than-expected net debt position, which requires...

Forsyth Barr

Add To Global Technology and Consumer Discretionary

Relative strength (RS) for MSCI ACWI Technology is breaking out to new highs while RS on the ACWI Discretionary Sector is on the cusp of a...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Risk-On Rotations Vs. Weaker Seasonality; Russell 2000, Biotech, EM Improving

We are seeing signs of rotations back into more risk-on areas of the equity market -- a bullish sign for the broad market. Add to biotech, small-...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

The action we are seeing in broad indexes, Sectors, and in market dynamics continues to support our overall bullish outlook. Continue to buy dips.

Vermilion Research

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