Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Screening US-listed China plays with negative EV and positive tailing EBITDA generates eight names. </li>
<li>Of these companies, only two are expected to be EBITDA positive in FY22. </li>
<li>They are <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joyy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:285:1" rel="noopener">JOYY (YY US)</a></strong> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sohu-com-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22853:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Sohu.com (SOHU US</strong>)</a>. This insight looks at both names. </li>
</ul>


Screening US-listed China plays with negative EV and positive tailing EBITDA generates eight names. 
Of these companies, only two are expected to be EBITDA positive in FY22. 
They are JOYY (YY US) and Sohu.com (SOHU US). This insight looks at both names. 


Negative EVs: JOYY & Sohu's Steep Discount To Net Cash

J Capital Research

Independent Insight Provider

J Capital Research, a U.S. company, publishes highly diligenced research reports on publicly traded companies, relying on deep, on-the-ground primary research. J Capital has particular expertise in the Chinese market, but we look at over-valued companies throughout the world. As an activist short- and long-research shop, when we form a clear view, we publish free, public reports to inform the investing public and never disguise our identity. We believe the internet has afforded an opportunity to small, unaffiliated investors to leapfrog the big banks, with their conflicts of interest, and obtain unbiased information on traded companies. We pride ourselves on our independence and the quality of our work. We hope the work speaks for itself.

Bitmain Technologies Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Bitmain is taking control of listed proxy firms in the United States. That could mean that the mining results of some proxies are overstated, and investors should avoid those companies.</li>
<li>It would be easy for Bitmain, the Chinese chip designer with about 80% of the global market for Bitcoin mining gear and significant mining operations of its own,¹ to report the same mining results for more than one company.</li>
<li>Many of these proxies pay Bitmain to mine on their behalf. Since Bitmain remains private, it has no responsibility to report related-party transactions.</li>
</ul>


Bitmain is taking control of listed proxy firms in the United States. That could mean that the mining results of some proxies are overstated, and investors should avoid those companies.
It would be easy for Bitmain, the Chinese chip designer with about 80% of the global market for Bitcoin mining gear and significant mining operations of its own,¹ to report the same mining results for more than one company.
Many of these proxies pay Bitmain to mine on their behalf. Since Bitmain remains private, it has no responsibility to report related-party transactions.


The Equity Dispatch #47: Bitmain’s Quest for a Backdoor Listing: CANG and More

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Dongzheng Automotive Finance / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saic-motor-corp-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20833:1" rel="noopener">SAIC Motor (600104 CH)</a> completed the auction procedures for acquiring a 71.04% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>. This will trigger an unconditional MGO at HK$1.2430 per H Share.</li>
<li>The offeror and Dongzheng are required to issue the composite document on or before 11 August jointly. However, an application has been made to the Executive to extend the deadline. </li>
<li>At last close and for an end of September completion, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 3.6% and 20.9%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



SAIC Motor (600104 CH) completed the auction procedures for acquiring a 71.04% stake in Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK). This will trigger an unconditional MGO at HK$1.2430 per H Share.
The offeror and Dongzheng are required to issue the composite document on or before 11 August jointly. However, an application has been made to the Executive to extend the deadline. 
At last close and for an end of September completion, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 3.6% and 20.9%, respectively.


SAIC Completes Dongzheng Stake Acquisition, Unconditional MGO

<ul>
<li>The potential MGO price is HK$1.2430 per H Share vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>’s previously noted HK$1.294 per H Share due to the change in RMB/HK$ rates.</li>
<li>The completion procedures for the auction will take place within six months. Approvals have low risk as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saic-motor-corp-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20833:1" rel="noopener">SAIC Motor (600104 CH)</a>’s controlling shareholder is owned by the Shanghai SASAC.</li>
<li>At the last close and for a 1 November completion, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 5.3% and 12.7%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The potential MGO price is HK$1.2430 per H Share vs Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)’s previously noted HK$1.294 per H Share due to the change in RMB/HK$ rates.
The completion procedures for the auction will take place within six months. Approvals have low risk as the SAIC Motor (600104 CH)’s controlling shareholder is owned by the Shanghai SASAC.
At the last close and for a 1 November completion, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 5.3% and 12.7%, respectively.


Dongzheng’s Potential MGO Price from SAIC at HK$1.2430

<ul>
<li>On 19 May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saic-motor-corp-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20833:1" rel="noopener">SAIC Motor (600104 CH)</a> emerged as the successful bidder for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-zhengtong-auto-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17001:1" rel="noopener">China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK)</a>’s 71.04% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>As SAIC will hold 30%+ of the voting rights, it will result in an MGO at a price not less than the auction price of HK$1.294 per H Share.</li>
<li>Dongzheng shares remain in a trading halt. The equity interest will transfer to SAIC and the MGO launched when the Shanghai Financial Court issues an auction sale judgment. </li>
</ul>


On 19 May, SAIC Motor (600104 CH) emerged as the successful bidder for China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK)’s 71.04% stake in Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK).
As SAIC will hold 30%+ of the voting rights, it will result in an MGO at a price not less than the auction price of HK$1.294 per H Share.
Dongzheng shares remain in a trading halt. The equity interest will transfer to SAIC and the MGO launched when the Shanghai Financial Court issues an auction sale judgment. 


SAIC Wins the Auction for the 71.04% Stake in Dongzheng, MGO Upcoming

China

Cango Inc. operates as a platform as a service company. The Company offers automotive transaction service platform that connects dealers, financial institutions, car buyers, and other industry participants. Cango serves clients in China.

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Cango Inc (CANG US)

Negative EVs: JOYY & Sohu's Steep Discount To Net Cash

I'd tilt slightly towards Sohu. It did successfully sell Sogou; whereas Joyy failed to sell YY live. That may provide some insight as to how the...

David Blennerhassett

The Equity Dispatch #47: Bitmain’s Quest for a Backdoor Listing: CANG and More

Bitmain is taking control of listed proxy firms in the United States. That could mean that the mining results of some proxies are overstated, and...

J Capital Research

SAIC Completes Dongzheng Stake Acquisition, Unconditional MGO

At last close and for an end of September completion, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 3.6% and 20.9%, respectively.

Arun George

Dongzheng’s Potential MGO Price from SAIC at HK$1.2430

The completion procedures for the auction will take place within six months. At the last close and for a 1 November completion, the annualised...

Arun George

SAIC Wins the Auction for the 71.04% Stake in Dongzheng, MGO Upcoming

SAIC, the successful bidder, will hold 30%+ of the voting rights, requiring an MGO at a price not less than the auction price of HK$1.294. Shares...

Arun George

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