HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

On August 30, 2021, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cansino-biologics-inc-cc0c90b7-e854-4ba3-929b-914be1bd0d89" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32181:1" rel="noopener">CanSino Biologics Inc (688185 CH)</a> released it 2021/1H financial results. The revenue was RMB2.06 billion, up 51057.67% YoY, and the net profit was RMB937 million, which was the first time for CanSino to be profitable after successive years of losses. However, it seems that the market was not satisfied with the results. On August 31, the Company’s share price was down 3.34%. Although the share price was up 1.5% on September 1, it continued to fall by 4.94% on September 2 and 0.72% on September 3. It is also worth mentioning that since the beginning of Q3, CanSino’s share price has fallen by 52.56%, and the market value is also below RMB100 billion by the end of September 3. This insight mainly analyzed the concerns on key products and the outlook of the Company.

On August 30, 2021, CanSino Biologics Inc (688185 CH) released it 2021/1H financial results. The revenue was RMB2.06 billion, up 51057.67% YoY, and the net profit was RMB937 million, which was the first time for CanSino to be profitable after successive years of losses. However, it seems that the market was not satisfied with the results. On August 31, the Company’s share price was down 3.34%. Although the share price was up 1.5% on September 1, it continued to fall by 4.94% on September 2 and 0.72% on September 3. It is also worth mentioning that since the beginning of Q3, CanSino’s share price has fallen by 52.56%, and the market value is also below RMB100 billion by the end of September 3. This insight mainly analyzed the concerns on key products and the outlook of the Company.

CanSino Biologics (688185.CH/6185.HK) 2021/1H - Concerns on Key Products and the Outlook

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Index Rebalance

<div>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that trade actively as well.</div><div>
China Securities Index Co (CSI) will announce the changes for the December rebalance at the end of  November or beginning December and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.
Half way through the review period that runs from May to October, we see 26 changes at the upcoming December 2021 review. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 9.24% and will result in a one-way trade of just shy of US$3bn.
The Information Technology and Materials sectors gain 4 spots each in the index while Financials are the biggest losers with 7 spots gone.
The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential exclusions and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> by a wide margin on a year to date basis. We recommend building up positions gradually and scaling in on a correction.
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The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that trade actively as well.
China Securities Index Co (CSI) will announce the changes for the December rebalance at the end of  November or beginning December and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.
Half way through the review period that runs from May to October, we see 26 changes at the upcoming December 2021 review. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 9.24% and will result in a one-way trade of just shy of US$3bn.
The Information Technology and Materials sectors gain 4 spots each in the index while Financials are the biggest losers with 7 spots gone.
The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential exclusions and the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) by a wide margin on a year to date basis. We recommend building up positions gradually and scaling in on a correction.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Large Turnover as Potential Inclusions Keep Rallying

Given the global COVID-19 situation is still not yet optimistic, the vaccine is widely recognized the best solution to end the pandemic. Recently, the inhaled COVID-19 vaccine of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cansino-biologics-inc-cc0c90b7-e854-4ba3-929b-914be1bd0d89" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32181:1" rel="noopener">CanSino Biologics Inc (688185 CH)</a> (or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cansino-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27739:1" rel="noopener">CanSino Biologics Inc (6185 HK)</a>) is applying for emergency use in China, which is currently in phase II clinical trial. At present, the R&amp;D of nasal spray/inhaled COVID-19 vaccines of different companies are actively in process, and CanSino is expected to take the lead in this field and realize the corner overtaking, which worth the attention of investors.

Given the global COVID-19 situation is still not yet optimistic, the vaccine is widely recognized the best solution to end the pandemic. Recently, the inhaled COVID-19 vaccine of CanSino Biologics Inc (688185 CH) (or CanSino Biologics Inc (6185 HK)) is applying for emergency use in China, which is currently in phase II clinical trial. At present, the R&amp;D of nasal spray/inhaled COVID-19 vaccines of different companies are actively in process, and CanSino is expected to take the lead in this field and realize the corner overtaking, which worth the attention of investors.

CanSino Biologics (688185.CH/6185.HK) - Time for Corner Overtaking?

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>Medical institutions in 10 provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) have implemented the alliance volume-based purchase (VBP) of commonly used drugs and drugs that in short supply.</li>
<li>The COVID-19 vaccine has entered the second half of development.</li>
<li>From January to April this year, the number of CDE acceptance increased significantly compared with the same period last year</li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated M&amp;A deal and new progress on drugs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hygeia-healthcare-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28875:1" rel="noopener">Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luye-pharma-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:488:1" rel="noopener">Luye Pharma (2186 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cspc-pharmaceutical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:229:1" rel="noopener">CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK)</a>.Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 0.9%, while CSI 300 increased 3.64% over the same period of time. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
Medical institutions in 10 provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) have implemented the alliance volume-based purchase (VBP) of commonly used drugs and drugs that in short supply.
The COVID-19 vaccine has entered the second half of development.
From January to April this year, the number of CDE acceptance increased significantly compared with the same period last year
Company news:News about the updated M&amp;A deal and new progress on drugs of Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK), Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK), Luye Pharma (2186 HK) and CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK).Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 0.9%, while CSI 300 increased 3.64% over the same period of time. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Post market close on 28 May, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and China Securities Index Company announced the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a>. The changes will be effective after the close of trading on 11 June.Just as we forecast, the inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ninebot-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32180:1" rel="noopener">Ninebot Ltd (689009 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sansure-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32182:1" rel="noopener">Sansure Biotech Inc (688289 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cansino-biologics-inc-cc0c90b7-e854-4ba3-929b-914be1bd0d89" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32181:1" rel="noopener">CanSino Biologics Inc (688185 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/verisilicon-microelectronics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32183:1" rel="noopener">VeriSilicon Microelectronics (688521 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32184:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Biotech Inc (688065 CH)</a>, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suntar-environmental-techn-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30342:1" rel="noopener">Suntar Environmental Techn-A (688101 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-qingyi-photomask-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30351:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Qingyi Photomask Ltd (688138 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/traffic-control-technology-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30309:1" rel="noopener">Traffic Control Technology Co (688015 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hillstone-networks-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30321:1" rel="noopener">Hillstone Networks Co Ltd (688030 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ningbo-solartron-technolog-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30380:1" rel="noopener">Ningbo Solartron Technolog-A (688299 CH)</a> have been deleted from the index.The changes imply that a 6 month minimum listing was used. Given the increase in number of stocks that are listed for more than 1 year, this could be last review where a 6 month minimum listing history is used.Inflows into the ETFs have continued and the impact on the inclusions and exclusions will be a few days of ADV with estimated one-way turnover at 5.3%.The inclusions have outperformed the deletions over the last couple of months and there has been an increase in excess volume over the last couple of weeks. We would use any sharp moves in the stock to pare down existing positions in the trade.

Post market close on 28 May, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and China Securities Index Company announced the changes to the SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX). The changes will be effective after the close of trading on 11 June.Just as we forecast, the inclusions are Ninebot Ltd (689009 CH), Sansure Biotech Inc (688289 CH), CanSino Biologics Inc (688185 CH), VeriSilicon Microelectronics (688521 CH) and Cathay Biotech Inc (688065 CH), while Suntar Environmental Techn-A (688101 CH), Shenzhen Qingyi Photomask Ltd (688138 CH), Traffic Control Technology Co (688015 CH), Hillstone Networks Co Ltd (688030 CH) and Ningbo Solartron Technolog-A (688299 CH) have been deleted from the index.The changes imply that a 6 month minimum listing was used. Given the increase in number of stocks that are listed for more than 1 year, this could be last review where a 6 month minimum listing history is used.Inflows into the ETFs have continued and the impact on the inclusions and exclusions will be a few days of ADV with estimated one-way turnover at 5.3%.The inclusions have outperformed the deletions over the last couple of months and there has been an increase in excess volume over the last couple of weeks. We would use any sharp moves in the stock to pare down existing positions in the trade.

STAR Board - STAR50 Index Rebalance: Inclusions Outperform Exclusions as Positioning Jumps

China

CanSino Biologics Inc. develops and manufactures biological vaccine products. The Company discovers quadrivalence meningococcal conjugate, pneumococcal polysaccharide, and adenovirus vector-based tuberculosis vaccines for human use. CanSino Biologics serves customers worldwide.

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CanSino Biologics (688185 CH)