HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We would see CanSino’s performance pick up obviously in 2024 - Revenue of meningococcal vaccines would up about 50% YoY. Both R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses would show a declining trend.</li>
<li>Starting from 2025, CanSino’s product matrix will become more diverse.Its financial performance will enter a virtuous cycle. Revenue in 2025 may exceed expectations, depending on the approval time of PCV13i.</li>
<li>CanSino is one of the few domestic vaccine companies that has ability to explore the international market. Mispricing/expectation differences in the market will give investors the opportunity for excess returns.</li>
</ul>


We would see CanSino’s performance pick up obviously in 2024 - Revenue of meningococcal vaccines would up about 50% YoY. Both R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses would show a declining trend.
Starting from 2025, CanSino’s product matrix will become more diverse.Its financial performance will enter a virtuous cycle. Revenue in 2025 may exceed expectations, depending on the approval time of PCV13i.
CanSino is one of the few domestic vaccine companies that has ability to explore the international market. Mispricing/expectation differences in the market will give investors the opportunity for excess returns.


CanSino Biologics (6185.HK/688185.CH) - 2024 Is the Best Time to Bottom-Fish This Stock

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This is the Brand Spanking New and Extra Spiffy H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly designed to help investors see the relationships easily. We used to do it. </li>
<li>We decided to bring it back better. There are lots of cool interactive tables, and charts, heat maps, and comparative data. And 19 Trade Recommendations. </li>
<li>We hope this new version serves readers even better. Feedback is actively solicited to see if we can improve it from here. </li>
</ul>


This is the Brand Spanking New and Extra Spiffy H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly designed to help investors see the relationships easily. We used to do it. 
We decided to bring it back better. There are lots of cool interactive tables, and charts, heat maps, and comparative data. And 19 Trade Recommendations. 
We hope this new version serves readers even better. Feedback is actively solicited to see if we can improve it from here. 


The Brand Spanking New Extra Spiffy 🦄H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly (As of 11 Aug 2023)

<ul>
<li>In 23Q3, CanSino’s revenue returned to positive growth and net loss narrowed as MCV4 sales exceeded expectations. Such strong growth momentum is expected to continue in 2024.</li>
<li>As negative impact of COVID-19 assets impairment on revenue/asset sides would basically come to an end this year,2024 performance would reflect growth on the basis of this year's low base.</li>
<li>The potential resurgence of pandemic/influenza virus and PCV13i NDA submission could be catalysts. Performance turning point could appear in 2025.The cooperation with Gates Foundation would open up the internationalization prospect.</li>
</ul>


In 23Q3, CanSino’s revenue returned to positive growth and net loss narrowed as MCV4 sales exceeded expectations. Such strong growth momentum is expected to continue in 2024.
As negative impact of COVID-19 assets impairment on revenue/asset sides would basically come to an end this year,2024 performance would reflect growth on the basis of this year's low base.
The potential resurgence of pandemic/influenza virus and PCV13i NDA submission could be catalysts. Performance turning point could appear in 2025.The cooperation with Gates Foundation would open up the internationalization prospect.


CanSino Biologics (6185.HK/688185.CH) 23Q3 - Some Positive Business Progress Worth the Attention

<p>Given the global COVID-19 situation is still not yet optimistic, the vaccine is widely recognized the best solution to end the pandemic. Recently, the inhaled COVID-19 vaccine of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cansino-biologics-inc-cc0c90b7-e854-4ba3-929b-914be1bd0d89" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32181:1" rel="noopener">CanSino Biologics Inc (688185 CH)</a> (or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cansino-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27739:1" rel="noopener">CanSino Biologics Inc (6185 HK)</a>) is applying for emergency use in China, which is currently in phase II clinical trial. At present, the R&amp;D of nasal spray/inhaled COVID-19 vaccines of different companies are actively in process, and CanSino is expected to take the lead in this field and realize the corner overtaking, which worth the attention of investors.</p>

Given the global COVID-19 situation is still not yet optimistic, the vaccine is widely recognized the best solution to end the pandemic. Recently, the inhaled COVID-19 vaccine of CanSino Biologics Inc (688185 CH) (or CanSino Biologics Inc (6185 HK)) is applying for emergency use in China, which is currently in phase II clinical trial. At present, the R&amp;D of nasal spray/inhaled COVID-19 vaccines of different companies are actively in process, and CanSino is expected to take the lead in this field and realize the corner overtaking, which worth the attention of investors.

CanSino Biologics (688185.CH/6185.HK) - Time for Corner Overtaking?

<ul>
<li>Recent share-price declines in healthcare is mainly related to anti-corruption campaigns. Here're some updates.We recommend investors not to rush to buy the dip, but wait for the bottom.</li>
<li>We recommend A-share healthcare companies to buy back shares/increase dividends, in which case, despite slowing growth, A-shares are still the RMB-asset with the greatest potential for increases in expected returns.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cansino-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27739:1" rel="noopener">CanSino Biologics (6185 HK)</a> has entered a Framework Agreement with AstraZeneca, but investors should not be overly optimistic about the short-term or even medium-term performance contribution brought by this cooperation.</li>
</ul>


Recent share-price declines in healthcare is mainly related to anti-corruption campaigns. Here're some updates.We recommend investors not to rush to buy the dip, but wait for the bottom.
We recommend A-share healthcare companies to buy back shares/increase dividends, in which case, despite slowing growth, A-shares are still the RMB-asset with the greatest potential for increases in expected returns.

CanSino Biologics (6185 HK) has entered a Framework Agreement with AstraZeneca, but investors should not be overly optimistic about the short-term or even medium-term performance contribution brought by this cooperation.


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug11)-Anti-Corruption Update, Increase A-Share Shareholder Return, CanSino

China

CanSino Biologics Inc. develops and manufactures biological vaccine products. The Company discovers quadrivalence meningococcal conjugate, pneumococcal polysaccharide, and adenovirus vector-based tuberculosis vaccines for human use. CanSino Biologics serves customers worldwide.

CanSino Biologics (6185 HK)