Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

Yangtze Optical Fibre & Cable / Index Rebalance

Yangtze Optical Fibre & Cable (601869 CH)

<ul>
<li>MSCI announced the quarterly review results on 12 May 2026. As the cycle enters implementation, this note updates the stock setup.</li>
<li>ADD weakness is broad, with CH Mid-vel and CH Low-vel both failing to build bridge support.</li>
<li>DELETEs already sold off, but HK High-vel DELETE still has the weakest first-week implementation profile.</li>
</ul>


MSCI announced the quarterly review results on 12 May 2026. As the cycle enters implementation, this note updates the stock setup.
ADD weakness is broad, with CH Mid-vel and CH Low-vel both failing to build bridge support.
DELETEs already sold off, but HK High-vel DELETE still has the weakest first-week implementation profile.


MS-China June 2026 Rebalance: Pre-Implementation Update

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the post-announcement return pattern of MSCI China June 2026 rebalance stocks, separating A-share (CH) and H-share (HK) cohorts within both ADD and DELETE groups.</li>
<li>DELETE: pre announcement was positive, but CH and HK High-vel history still supports shorts.</li>
<li>ADD: CH High-vel was stretched; bridging window's history is positive but inconsistent.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the post-announcement return pattern of MSCI China June 2026 rebalance stocks, separating A-share (CH) and H-share (HK) cohorts within both ADD and DELETE groups.
DELETE: pre announcement was positive, but CH and HK High-vel history still supports shorts.
ADD: CH High-vel was stretched; bridging window's history is positive but inconsistent.


MS-China June 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Trading Pattern Analysis

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 1Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows in 1Q2025 were US$1,760 million and holdings were US$307 billion, compared to outflows of US$20 billion in 4Q. </li>
<li>We highlight flows for BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 1Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the inflows in 1Q2025 were US$1,760 million and holdings were US$307 billion, compared to outflows of US$20 billion in 4Q. 
We highlight flows for BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power.


Northbound Flows (1Q2025): BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Sieyuan Electric Co Ltd A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 16 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a>, 50 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> and 100 changes for the CSI1000 Index that will be implemented on 13 December.</li>
<li>There are 257 unique names that are adds or deletes and the round-trip trade across all 3 indices is close to US$9bn.</li>
<li>Stocks with the largest inflows and impact have outperformed stocks with the largest outflows and impact over the last few weeks. That could continue for the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 16 changes for the CSI 300 Index, 50 changes for the CSI 500 Index and 100 changes for the CSI1000 Index that will be implemented on 13 December.
There are 257 unique names that are adds or deletes and the round-trip trade across all 3 indices is close to US$9bn.
Stocks with the largest inflows and impact have outperformed stocks with the largest outflows and impact over the last few weeks. That could continue for the next couple of weeks.


CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: US$9bn Round-Trip Trade

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.</li>
<li>The reference period for December 2024 index rebal event ended on 31st October 2024.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final list of expected ADDs and DELs.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.
The reference period for December 2024 index rebal event ended on 31st October 2024.
In this insight, we take a look at our final list of expected ADDs and DELs.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24: Final-Minute Changes to Expectations; Time for a Trade

China

Capital Securities Co., Ltd. provides institutional brokerage services. The Company offers securities brokerage, securities advisory, securities underwriting, securities sponsorship, securities investment, and other services. Capital Securities provides its services throughout China.

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Capital Securities (601136 CH)

MS-China June 2026 Rebalance: Pre-Implementation Update

MSCI China enters implementation phase on June 1st. We provides an update to stock's performance and discussed implementation trades.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MS-China June 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Trading Pattern Analysis

Following MSCI May 2026 announcement, we a look at the trading pattern of affected stocks for MSCI-China from historical perspective by overlaying...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (1Q2025): BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 1Q2025 and highlight flows for BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: US$9bn Round-Trip Trade

The CSI indices (and a bunch of others) rebalance at the close today - it's going to be a big volume day in China. The CSI300 adds have...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec 24: Final-Minute Changes to Expectations; Time for a Trade

We expect the CSI, SSE, and STAR index family ADDs/DELs for December 2024 to be confirmed after market close today. It is a good time to revisit...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MS-China June 2026 Rebalance: Pre-Implementation Update

MSCI China enters implementation phase on June 1st. We provides an update to stock's performance and discussed implementation trades.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MS-China June 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Trading Pattern Analysis

Following MSCI May 2026 announcement, we a look at the trading pattern of affected stocks for MSCI-China from historical perspective by overlaying...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (1Q2025): BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 1Q2025 and highlight flows for BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: US$9bn Round-Trip Trade

The CSI indices (and a bunch of others) rebalance at the close today - it's going to be a big volume day in China. The CSI300 adds have...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24: Final-Minute Changes to Expectations; Time for a Trade

We expect the CSI, SSE, and STAR index family ADDs/DELs for December 2024 to be confirmed after market close today. It is a good time to revisit...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec 24: Final-Minute Changes to Expectations; Time for a Trade