Mid-market focused investment bank within SE Asia, Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

Evolve Capital Research

Mid-market focused investment bank within SE Asia

Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/old-chang-kee-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10465:1" rel="noopener">Old Chang Kee (OCK SP)</a> is a SGX-Catalist listed company, specializing in grab-and-go finger food such as its signature curry puff as well as skewered seafood offerings. </li>
<li>It also offers chicken-based products such as chicken wings and chicken balls as a halal-certified food operator.</li>
<li>We initiate non-rated coverage on Old Chang Kee. Post-COVID, the firm’s revenue had steadily recovered to pre-COVID levels by FY23, with a notable shift in its sales mix.</li>
</ul>



Old Chang Kee (OCK SP) is a SGX-Catalist listed company, specializing in grab-and-go finger food such as its signature curry puff as well as skewered seafood offerings. 
It also offers chicken-based products such as chicken wings and chicken balls as a halal-certified food operator.
We initiate non-rated coverage on Old Chang Kee. Post-COVID, the firm’s revenue had steadily recovered to pre-COVID levels by FY23, with a notable shift in its sales mix.


Old Chang Kee Initiation - Defying the Dip, Resilience Amidst F&B Headwinds

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55" rel="noopener">Capitaland (CAPL SP)</a> 3Q21 Business Updates – A good start with key metrics growing robustly</h3><ul><li>9M21 revenue came in at S$1.6bn with Fee income Related Business (FRB) making up 40% of total revenue and Real-estate investment business making up the remaining 60%. 9M21 FRB rose by 19% YoY to S$656m, with fund management rising by 35% YoY to S$292m, followed by property management rising by 2.6% YoY to S$236m and lodging management rising by 23% to S$128m, respectively     </li></ul>

SingaporeCapitaland (CAPL SP) 3Q21 Business Updates – A good start with key metrics growing robustly9M21 revenue came in at S$1.6bn with Fee income Related Business (FRB) making up 40% of total revenue and Real-estate investment business making up the remaining 60%. 9M21 FRB rose by 19% YoY to S$656m, with fund management rising by 35% YoY to S$292m, followed by property management rising by 2.6% YoY to S$236m and lodging management rising by 23% to S$128m, respectively     

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55" rel="noopener">Capitaland (CAPL SP)</a> shares debut at S$2.95/share; Total RE AUM at S$119bn</h3><p>CLI made its trading debut at S$2.95/share (US$11.4bn market cap) on the Singapore Exchange under the trading name CapitaLandInvest. CLI takes over from CapitaLand Limited, which ceased trading at S$4.00 and will delist from the SGX on 21Sep. For every 100 CapitaLand shares owned, shareholders received 100 shares of CLI, S$95.10 in cash and 15.5 units of CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust. The total implied consideration was S$4.102/share, with CLI shares valued at S$2.823 each. CLI's listing comes after CapitaLand Limited restructured business to form two distinct entities – CLI, the listed real estate investment management business; and CapitaLand Development, the privatised property development arm. The former had about S$119bn of RE AUM as at 30Jun21, of which more than 80% are located in Asia. Its real estate funds under management stood at about S$83bn, spanning six listed real estate investment trusts and business trusts and over 20 private funds.</p>

SingaporeCapitaland (CAPL SP) shares debut at S$2.95/share; Total RE AUM at S$119bnCLI made its trading debut at S$2.95/share (US$11.4bn market cap) on the Singapore Exchange under the trading name CapitaLandInvest. CLI takes over from CapitaLand Limited, which ceased trading at S$4.00 and will delist from the SGX on 21Sep. For every 100 CapitaLand shares owned, shareholders received 100 shares of CLI, S$95.10 in cash and 15.5 units of CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust. The total implied consideration was S$4.102/share, with CLI shares valued at S$2.823 each. CLI's listing comes after CapitaLand Limited restructured business to form two distinct entities – CLI, the listed real estate investment management business; and CapitaLand Development, the privatised property development arm. The former had about S$119bn of RE AUM as at 30Jun21, of which more than 80% are located in Asia. Its real estate funds under management stood at about S$83bn, spanning six listed real estate investment trusts and business trusts and over 20 private funds.

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55" rel="noopener">Capitaland (CAPL SP)</a> and City Developments (CIT SP) set to launch CanningHill Piers in 4Q21</h3><p>CanningHill Piers, a 696-unit development located between Fort Canning Hill and Singapore River, is set to launch in 4Q21. The development, by joint developers CAPL and CIT, will feature two residential towers. One of them is 48 storeys at 180m tall, which the developers say will be the tallest residential development along the Singapore River. The other tower of 24 storeys overlooks Fort Canning Hill and is 100m in height. Unit types range from one- to five-bedders, Sky Suites, and a penthouse unit, of sizes from 410-8,950sqft.</p><h3>Strata office deals heating up; 1H21 transaction value at record high</h3><p>A 3,079sqft, strata-titled office unit on the 37th floor of Suntec Tower 1 of Suntec City changed hands recently for S$10.52m (S$3,417psf). The price achieved translates to a capital gain of 44% over two years as the seller had purchased the unit in Mar19 for S$7.3m (S$2,347psf). Total strata office transaction volume climbed steadily to 162 units in 1H21, up 20.9% HoH from 134 in 2H20, while total transaction values increased 106.6% over the same period to S$691.5m. This surpassed all previous half-yearly transaction values that hovered below S$600 m since 1H15. Many of the larger quantum sales took place in 2Q21, with 81 strata office deals worth S$454m recorded for 2Q21. This was up from S$237.5m in 1Q21 for the same number of units.</p>

SingaporeCapitaland (CAPL SP) and City Developments (CIT SP) set to launch CanningHill Piers in 4Q21CanningHill Piers, a 696-unit development located between Fort Canning Hill and Singapore River, is set to launch in 4Q21. The development, by joint developers CAPL and CIT, will feature two residential towers. One of them is 48 storeys at 180m tall, which the developers say will be the tallest residential development along the Singapore River. The other tower of 24 storeys overlooks Fort Canning Hill and is 100m in height. Unit types range from one- to five-bedders, Sky Suites, and a penthouse unit, of sizes from 410-8,950sqft.Strata office deals heating up; 1H21 transaction value at record highA 3,079sqft, strata-titled office unit on the 37th floor of Suntec Tower 1 of Suntec City changed hands recently for S$10.52m (S$3,417psf). The price achieved translates to a capital gain of 44% over two years as the seller had purchased the unit in Mar19 for S$7.3m (S$2,347psf). Total strata office transaction volume climbed steadily to 162 units in 1H21, up 20.9% HoH from 134 in 2H20, while total transaction values increased 106.6% over the same period to S$691.5m. This surpassed all previous half-yearly transaction values that hovered below S$600 m since 1H15. Many of the larger quantum sales took place in 2Q21, with 81 strata office deals worth S$454m recorded for 2Q21. This was up from S$237.5m in 1Q21 for the same number of units.

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55" rel="noopener">Capitaland (CAPL SP)</a> 1H21 PATMI +846% YoY; Solid divestments and investments YTD, fund management and residential the bright spot</h3><ul><li>1H21 revenue increased by 34.7% YoY to S$2,730m, mainly driven by development projects as more units were handed over in China and higher progressive revenue recognition from One Pearl Bank in Singapore, partially offset by lower handover of units in Vietnam. The increase was also attributed to lower rental rebates granted to tenants in Singapore and China, higher transactional fee from the listed REITs and unlisted funds, as well as contribution from the newly acquired business park properties in China and an office building in Singapore, 79 Robinson Road, which commenced operation 2H20</li><li>1H21 PATMI increased by 845.5% YoY and came in at S$922.2m, while operating PATMI increased by 66% YoY to S$433.6m. CAPL booked portfolio/FV gains of S$489m and no FV losses/impairments in 1H21. As at 30Jun21, net D/E ratio was at 0.64x and total cash and available undrawn facilities amounted to ~S$14.8bn. CAPL made total S$3.6bn investments (&gt;S$3bn in new economy) and S$11.2bn gross divestments (effective value of S$3.3bn) YTD (vs annual recycling target of S$3bn)</li><li>Residential – In SG, CAPL sold 197 units with sales value of S$330m (close to 6x of 1H20). ~92% of launched units have been sold. CanningHill Piers is targeted to be launched in 2H21. In China, CAPL sold 2,625 units in 1H21 (+48.4% YoY), which translated to sales value of RMB8,007m (+43% YoY). In terms of handovers from 3Q21 onwards, CAPL is expected to recognise ~RMB14.1bn from a total of ~6,700 units sold. In Vietnam, CAPL Achieved 80% of 1H21 handover plan of 177 units. Handover pipeline comprising 554 units with a value of S$193m expected to be handed over from 3Q21 onwards. ~87% of launched units have been sold as of 1H21. Two projects are targeted to be launched in 2H21</li><li>Retail and Commercial – CN registered increase in shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales YoY in 2Q21, but SG’s recovery is interrupted by new restrictions  in 2Q21. SG’s shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales recorded low improvement in 2Q21. Retail occupancy in CN, SG, MY stood at 91.9%, 97.1% and 86% in 2Q21 (vs 90.7%, 97.2% and 87.6% in 1Q21 and 89%, 97.8% and 88.2% in 4Q20), respectively. Office occupancy in SG, Japan, South Korea and Germany stood at 90.4%, 93.9%, 96.8% and 95.5%, respectively</li><li>Lodging – &gt;3,000 units turned operational YTD 2021, bringing total operational units to 71,901 for 7M21 and &gt;8,300 new units secured via management contracts YTD 2021. There was an increase in overall 2Q21 RevPAU by 53% YoY and 19% QoQ from S$43 to S$66, led by Europe (+44% QoQ), China (+22%), Gulf Region (+19%), Singapore (+9%), SEA (+6%) and North Asia (+4%). CAPL is on track to meet 2023 target of 160K units under management with currently c.129K units under management</li><li>1H21 fund management fee income came in at S$188.7m, a 29% YoY increase and 18% HoH. 1H21 fund AUM rose 6.9% YoY to S$83bn, on track to meet 2024 AUM target of S$100bn. CAPL set up 3 new private funds totalling US$800m in Korea, India, Hong Kong and China</li><li>CAPL is currently trading at 19.7x FY21E P/E and 0.92x P/B.</li></ul>

SingaporeCapitaland (CAPL SP) 1H21 PATMI +846% YoY; Solid divestments and investments YTD, fund management and residential the bright spot1H21 revenue increased by 34.7% YoY to S$2,730m, mainly driven by development projects as more units were handed over in China and higher progressive revenue recognition from One Pearl Bank in Singapore, partially offset by lower handover of units in Vietnam. The increase was also attributed to lower rental rebates granted to tenants in Singapore and China, higher transactional fee from the listed REITs and unlisted funds, as well as contribution from the newly acquired business park properties in China and an office building in Singapore, 79 Robinson Road, which commenced operation 2H201H21 PATMI increased by 845.5% YoY and came in at S$922.2m, while operating PATMI increased by 66% YoY to S$433.6m. CAPL booked portfolio/FV gains of S$489m and no FV losses/impairments in 1H21. As at 30Jun21, net D/E ratio was at 0.64x and total cash and available undrawn facilities amounted to ~S$14.8bn. CAPL made total S$3.6bn investments (&gt;S$3bn in new economy) and S$11.2bn gross divestments (effective value of S$3.3bn) YTD (vs annual recycling target of S$3bn)Residential – In SG, CAPL sold 197 units with sales value of S$330m (close to 6x of 1H20). ~92% of launched units have been sold. CanningHill Piers is targeted to be launched in 2H21. In China, CAPL sold 2,625 units in 1H21 (+48.4% YoY), which translated to sales value of RMB8,007m (+43% YoY). In terms of handovers from 3Q21 onwards, CAPL is expected to recognise ~RMB14.1bn from a total of ~6,700 units sold. In Vietnam, CAPL Achieved 80% of 1H21 handover plan of 177 units. Handover pipeline comprising 554 units with a value of S$193m expected to be handed over from 3Q21 onwards. ~87% of launched units have been sold as of 1H21. Two projects are targeted to be launched in 2H21Retail and Commercial – CN registered increase in shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales YoY in 2Q21, but SG’s recovery is interrupted by new restrictions  in 2Q21. SG’s shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales recorded low improvement in 2Q21. Retail occupancy in CN, SG, MY stood at 91.9%, 97.1% and 86% in 2Q21 (vs 90.7%, 97.2% and 87.6% in 1Q21 and 89%, 97.8% and 88.2% in 4Q20), respectively. Office occupancy in SG, Japan, South Korea and Germany stood at 90.4%, 93.9%, 96.8% and 95.5%, respectivelyLodging – &gt;3,000 units turned operational YTD 2021, bringing total operational units to 71,901 for 7M21 and &gt;8,300 new units secured via management contracts YTD 2021. There was an increase in overall 2Q21 RevPAU by 53% YoY and 19% QoQ from S$43 to S$66, led by Europe (+44% QoQ), China (+22%), Gulf Region (+19%), Singapore (+9%), SEA (+6%) and North Asia (+4%). CAPL is on track to meet 2023 target of 160K units under management with currently c.129K units under management1H21 fund management fee income came in at S$188.7m, a 29% YoY increase and 18% HoH. 1H21 fund AUM rose 6.9% YoY to S$83bn, on track to meet 2024 AUM target of S$100bn. CAPL set up 3 new private funds totalling US$800m in Korea, India, Hong Kong and ChinaCAPL is currently trading at 19.7x FY21E P/E and 0.92x P/B.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (13Aug21) - CAPL Residential and FM Bright Spots

Singapore

CapitaLand Limited is a real estate company focused on investment holding. The Company and its subsidiaries are principally engaged in investment holding, real estate development, investment in real estate financial products and real estate assets, investment advisory and management services, as well as the management of serviced residences.

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Capitaland (CAPL SP)

Old Chang Kee Initiation - Defying the Dip, Resilience Amidst F&B Headwinds

We initiate non-rated coverage on Old Chang Kee. Post-COVID, the firm’s revenue had steadily recovered to pre-COVID levels by FY23, with a notable...

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