Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In June-July I warned of a reinvestment trade into S-REITs due to the S$2.0-3.0bn cash-out by investors in Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust and sellers into the SPHREIT Chain Offer.</li>
<li>Many investors who would need to re-allocate. The trade was to buy major S-REITs. From my last insight, a basket is up 5.3%. MCT has already topped out vs peers.</li>
<li>The question is.... is there still a trade left to run?</li>
</ul>


In June-July I warned of a reinvestment trade into S-REITs due to the S$2.0-3.0bn cash-out by investors in Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust and sellers into the SPHREIT Chain Offer.
Many investors who would need to re-allocate. The trade was to buy major S-REITs. From my last insight, a basket is up 5.3%. MCT has already topped out vs peers.
The question is.... is there still a trade left to run?


<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sph-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP)</a> "option" has performed admirably so far, up 4.2% in a month, and now it is time to look elsewhere. </li>
<li>SPH REIT has outperformed its Retail S-REIT peers and is now near the top of its undisturbed 3-year range. </li>
<li>And there are potential large flow events on the horizon which would benefit the Peers more than SPH REIT.</li>
</ul>


The SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP) "option" has performed admirably so far, up 4.2% in a month, and now it is time to look elsewhere. 
SPH REIT has outperformed its Retail S-REIT peers and is now near the top of its undisturbed 3-year range. 
And there are potential large flow events on the horizon which would benefit the Peers more than SPH REIT.


SPH REIT Option Has 1 Week To Go - Look Elsewhere

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Grab raised around US$4.5bn in its de-SPAC listing in Dec 2021. The shares are now trading around 68% below the listing price.</li>
<li>At the time of listing, all of its top investors were locked up for six months. The lock-up expires on 30th May 2022.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


Grab raised around US$4.5bn in its de-SPAC listing in Dec 2021. The shares are now trading around 68% below the listing price.
At the time of listing, all of its top investors were locked up for six months. The lock-up expires on 30th May 2022.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Grab IPO Lock-Up - Over 60% of the Stock Worth Nearly US$8bn Comes Free

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>On 5th May 2022, Thai Beverage announced that BeerCo will resume its Proposed Spin-off Listing. This time the company is aiming to raise less than US$1bn, as per media reports.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal earlier, as the company had tried to spin-off BeerCo in 2021 as well before finally calling it off in April 2021.</li>
<li>In this note we undertake a peer comparison and talk about valuations</li>
</ul>


On 5th May 2022, Thai Beverage announced that BeerCo will resume its Proposed Spin-off Listing. This time the company is aiming to raise less than US$1bn, as per media reports.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal earlier, as the company had tried to spin-off BeerCo in 2021 as well before finally calling it off in April 2021.
In this note we undertake a peer comparison and talk about valuations


ThaiBev BeerCo 2022 Pre-IPO - Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a>’s EGM, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>/MNACT’s EGM and trust scheme meeting will take place on 23 May. The effective date is 8 August.</li>
<li>The IFA considers the scheme consideration to be fair. We think that IFA’s valuation approach is broadly sound with some areas for improvement. </li>
<li>For a 17 August payment, the gross and annualised spread of the cash-only consideration (including permitted clean-up DPU) is 1.6% and 5.6%, respectively. </li>
</ul>



Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)’s EGM, Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)/MNACT’s EGM and trust scheme meeting will take place on 23 May. The effective date is 8 August.
The IFA considers the scheme consideration to be fair. We think that IFA’s valuation approach is broadly sound with some areas for improvement. 
For a 17 August payment, the gross and annualised spread of the cash-only consideration (including permitted clean-up DPU) is 1.6% and 5.6%, respectively. 


MNACT's Scheme Meeting on 23 May, IFA Opinion

Singapore

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust operates as a retail estate investment trust. The Compnay invests in retail and office properties and integrated developments. Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust serves clients in Asia Pacific.

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP)

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Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP)

Update on the S-REIT Re-Allocation Trade

The S-REIT Re-Allocation Basket is +5.3%(TR) from close after I wrote (25 July) to yesterday. Not enough excess value has traded. Should it run?...

Travis Lundy

SPH REIT Option Has 1 Week To Go - Look Elsewhere

SPH REIT "option" has done well and now it is time to look elsewhere. This could mean a reversion trade, an option trade, or in part an index...

Travis Lundy

Grab IPO Lock-Up - Over 60% of the Stock Worth Nearly US$8bn Comes Free

Grab raised around US$4.5bn in its de-SPAC listing in Dec 2021. The shares are now trading around 68% below the listing price. The lockup release...

Sumeet Singh

ThaiBev BeerCo 2022 Pre-IPO - Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

Thai Beverage recently announced that BeerCo will resume its Proposed Spin-off Listing. In this note, we talk about peer comparison and look at...

Sumeet Singh

MNACT's Scheme Meeting on 23 May, IFA Opinion

The IFA considers the scheme consideration to be fair. For a 17 August payment, the annualised spread of the cash-only consideration (including...

Arun George

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