Listed Real Estate Asia, KT Capital Group

Jacob Cheng

Listed Real Estate Asia

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Equity Bottom-Up

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Singapore’s interest rate, 3M SORA, has declined steeply from 3.034% in January to 1.563% in September</li>
<li>The steep decline in interest rate will directly benefit S-REITs, through reduced borrow cost, more attractive valuation, as well as stabilizing cap rates to support book valuation</li>
<li>Among S-REITs, we think CICT SP, with its portfolio mostly Singapore assets, will benefit the most from this structural trend</li>
</ul>


The Singapore’s interest rate, 3M SORA, has declined steeply from 3.034% in January to 1.563% in September
The steep decline in interest rate will directly benefit S-REITs, through reduced borrow cost, more attractive valuation, as well as stabilizing cap rates to support book valuation
Among S-REITs, we think CICT SP, with its portfolio mostly Singapore assets, will benefit the most from this structural trend


CICT SP: Buy Singapore REITs on Steep Interest Rate Decline (3M SORA)

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Nicholas Tan

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-integrated-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:105:1" rel="noopener">Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP)</a> is looking to raise at least S$500M (US$388m) in a primary placement.</li>
<li>The deal represents 9.7 days of 3 month ADV and ~3% of market cap.</li>
<li>In this note, we comment on the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP) is looking to raise at least S$500M (US$388m) in a primary placement.
The deal represents 9.7 days of 3 month ADV and ~3% of market cap.
In this note, we comment on the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust Placement: DPU Accretive Acquisition for a Familiar Asset

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We think Singapore REITs are positioned for a re-rating on the back of multiple catalysts: interest rate decline, accelerated M&amp;A and recovery in physical real estate market</li>
<li>3M SORA has declined sharply from 3.034% in January to 1.32% in November.  The steep decline in rates will boost earnings and result in more favorable REIT valuations</li>
<li>The physical market in Singapore is also recovering, especially in the office and residential market.  We think CICT, FCT, and UOL are well positioned to benefit from this cycle</li>
</ul>


We think Singapore REITs are positioned for a re-rating on the back of multiple catalysts: interest rate decline, accelerated M&amp;A and recovery in physical real estate market
3M SORA has declined sharply from 3.034% in January to 1.32% in November.  The steep decline in rates will boost earnings and result in more favorable REIT valuations
The physical market in Singapore is also recovering, especially in the office and residential market.  We think CICT, FCT, and UOL are well positioned to benefit from this cycle


LONG Singapore REITs: Capturing the Yield Compression Cycle and Asset Recycling Renaissance

Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

<ul><li>Henderson sells Kowloon project to Miramar Hotel for $400M in a strategic move to shift focus and secure a profitable deal.</li><li>CapitaLand shifts Tan to commercial REIT and hires Yong to lead Malaysia Trust, showing active leadership changes within the company.</li><li>CapitaLand India Trust initiates $54M Hyderabad IT Park revamp, signaling a significant investment in the Indian real estate market.</li></ul>

Henderson sells Kowloon project to Miramar Hotel for $400M in a strategic move to shift focus and secure a profitable deal.CapitaLand shifts Tan to commercial REIT and hires Yong to lead Malaysia Trust, showing active leadership changes within the company.CapitaLand India Trust initiates $54M Hyderabad IT Park revamp, signaling a significant investment in the Indian real estate market.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (21-Jan-2025): Henderson sells Kowloon project to Miramar for $400M.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spdr-straits-times-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35880:1" rel="noopener">SPDR Straits Times Index ETF (STTF SP)</a> will need to sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc-1be53f2f-f106-4f4f-b9be-5cf1341e76ae" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36111:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMI SP)</a> at the close of trading on 15 March.</li>
<li>Other global index trackers will need to sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMP PM)</a> at the close on 15 March.</li>
<li>There will be around US$55m to sell across both lines and varying liquidity has opened up a huge spread between the listings.</li>
</ul>


The SPDR Straits Times Index ETF (STTF SP) will need to sell Emperador (EMI SP) at the close of trading on 15 March.
Other global index trackers will need to sell Emperador (EMP PM) at the close on 15 March.
There will be around US$55m to sell across both lines and varying liquidity has opened up a huge spread between the listings.


STTF Index Rebalance: The Widening Emperador Spread

Singapore

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust operates as a retail estate investment trust. The Compnay invests in retail and office properties and integrated developments. Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust serves clients in Asia Pacific.

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP)

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Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP)

CICT SP: Buy Singapore REITs on Steep Interest Rate Decline (3M SORA)

Singapore 3M SORA steeply declined from 3.034% in January to 1.563% in September. This is a powerful catalyst and will benefit S-REITs directly. ...

Jacob Cheng

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust Placement: DPU Accretive Acquisition for a Familiar Asset

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust is looking to raise at least S$500M (US$388m) in a primary placement. In this note, we comment on the deal...

Nicholas Tan

LONG Singapore REITs: Capturing the Yield Compression Cycle and Asset Recycling Renaissance

We think Singapore REITs are well positioned for a re-rating, on the back of steep interest rate decline, accelerated M&As and recovery in the...

Jacob Cheng

Asia Real Estate Tracker (21-Jan-2025): Henderson sells Kowloon project to Miramar for $400M.

CapitaLand makes strategic moves in Asia real estate market, including sale of Kowloon project, leadership changes, and investment in Hyderabad IT...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

STTF Index Rebalance: The Widening Emperador Spread

The STTF ETF will need to sell Singapore listed Emperador at the close on 15 March. Global passive portfolios will be selling Emperador in the...

Brian Freitas

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