Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Singapore Telecommunications / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since March we have consistently said we believe any bottoming process would likely take weeks or months and could come with more tests of the lows, or even an undercut.</li>
<li>We are testing the March lows now in several global indexes, including the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>While this is a logical spot for a bounce, we see rallies as selling opportunities at the index level</li>
</ul>


Since March we have consistently said we believe any bottoming process would likely take weeks or months and could come with more tests of the lows, or even an undercut.
We are testing the March lows now in several global indexes, including the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US).
While this is a logical spot for a bounce, we see rallies as selling opportunities at the index level


MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EM Testing Logical Support; Actionable Themes: Defensives & Reopening Stocks

Chief Economist

Diana Choyleva

Enodo Economics

Enodo Economics is an independent macroeconomic forecasting company that untangles complexity, challenges the consensus, and makes sense of the future. Our focus is on China – one of the most misunderstood economies in the world, but one of the most important to figure out.  Enodo’s chief economist, Diana Choyleva, has been analysing China for almost 20 years, while Enodo’s team boasts a combined 140 years’ experience covering China’s economy, politics and markets. 

Macroeconomics

<h2><strong>China News That Matters</strong></h2>
<ul>
<li>Big in Japan</li>
<li>Huawei on stage as digital iron curtain falls </li>
<li>Milk not Merc: cautious consumers disappoint</li>
<li>Just not worth it in the end</li>
<li>Record-breaking bonds boost growth </li>
</ul>
<div class="content-remarks">
<p>In my weekly digest China News That Matters, I will give you selected summaries, sourced from a variety of local Chinese-language and international news outlets, and highlight why I think the news is significant. These posts are meant to neither be bullish nor bearish, but help you separate the signal from the noise.</p>
</div>

China News That Matters

Big in Japan
Huawei on stage as digital iron curtain falls 
Milk not Merc: cautious consumers disappoint
Just not worth it in the end
Record-breaking bonds boost growth 


In my weekly digest China News That Matters, I will give you selected summaries, sourced from a variety of local Chinese-language and international news outlets, and highlight why I think the news is significant. These posts are meant to neither be bullish nor bearish, but help you separate the signal from the noise.


G-20/Tech War/Consumption/Carrefour Quits/Bonds

<p>Global markets are overdue for a bounce, But a host of uncertainties including are providing a significant headwind for broad developed and emerging market indexes. Our outlook remains cautious and we expect additional weakness and consolidation across global equity markets.  We offer technical insights on major markets, and highlight a number of actionable bottoms up ideas.</p>

Global markets are overdue for a bounce, But a host of uncertainties including are providing a significant headwind for broad developed and emerging market indexes. Our outlook remains cautious and we expect additional weakness and consolidation across global equity markets.  We offer technical insights on major markets, and highlight a number of actionable bottoms up ideas.

Global Equity Strategy: Still Cautious Despite Oversold Conditions

Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>I’ve been underweight consumer staples on valuation and business model disruption risks since 2015 and the sector has de-rated significantly versus the wider market and consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>I’ve also highlighted the disintermediation shock facing the advertising industry – heavy brand advertising to guarantee prime supermarket shelf space is becoming a defunct business model.</li>
<li>Recent results from FMCG giants like Nestle and the advertising sector have disappointed, with tighter client spending…</li>
</ul>


I’ve been underweight consumer staples on valuation and business model disruption risks since 2015 and the sector has de-rated significantly versus the wider market and consumer discretionary.
I’ve also highlighted the disintermediation shock facing the advertising industry – heavy brand advertising to guarantee prime supermarket shelf space is becoming a defunct business model.
Recent results from FMCG giants like Nestle and the advertising sector have disappointed, with tighter client spending…


With ‘Brand Building’ Ad Era Over, Can Food Inflation Rescue FMCG Margins?

Managing Partner at Fresco Capital, Fresco Capital

Tytus Michalski

Managing Partner at Fresco Capital

Fresco Capital

<p>The acquisition of Dollar Shave Club by Unilever for $1B is an inflection point in the Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) industry. The old formula of relying on research and development, massive marketing spending and traditional distribution channels is being replaced by a new formula. While the disruption of the industry won't happen overnight, there are 3 things to watch out for when looking to identify which companies will be at risk.</p><p> </p>

The acquisition of Dollar Shave Club by Unilever for $1B is an inflection point in the Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) industry. The old formula of relying on research and development, massive marketing spending and traditional distribution channels is being replaced by a new formula. While the disruption of the industry won't happen overnight, there are 3 things to watch out for when looking to identify which companies will be at risk. 

Billion Dollar Shave Club & The New FMCG Formula

France

Carrefour SA operates chains of supermarkets, hypermarkets, discount, cash and carry, and frozen food stores in Europe, the Americas, and Asia.

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Carrefour SA (CA FP)

MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EM Testing Logical Support; Actionable Themes: Defensives & Reopening Stocks

We are testing the March lows in several global indexes, including the MSCI $ACWI, ACWI ex-US $ACWX, and EM $EEM. While this is a logical spot for...

Vermilion Research

G-20/Tech War/Consumption/Carrefour Quits/Bonds

China News That Matters Big in Japan Huawei on stage as digital iron curtain falls Milk not Merc: cautious consumers disappoint Just not worth it...

Diana Choyleva

Global Equity Strategy: Still Cautious Despite Oversold Conditions

Global markets are overdue for a bounce, But a host of uncertainties including are providing a significant headwind for broad developed and...

Vermilion Research

With ‘Brand Building’ Ad Era Over, Can Food Inflation Rescue FMCG Margins?

I’ve been underweight consumer staples on valuation and business model disruption risks since 2015 and the sector has de-rated significantly...

Sean Maher

Billion Dollar Shave Club & The New FMCG Formula

The acquisition of Dollar Shave Club by Unilever for $1B is an inflection point in the Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) industry. The old...

Tytus Michalski

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)