External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We have summarized the selected global machinery manufacturers’ estimates about the impact of US tariffs.</li><li>Most players expect the impact will materialize starting from 3Q should the tariffs be in place.</li><li>Based on the numbers provided, Komatsu (6301 JP, NR) seems to be taking a relatively large hit among the major names. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We have summarized the selected global machinery manufacturers’ estimates about the impact of US tariffs.Most players expect the impact will materialize starting from 3Q should the tariffs be in place.Based on the numbers provided, Komatsu (6301 JP, NR) seems to be taking a relatively large hit among the major names. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capital Goods - Major global players’ forecast about tariff impact

<ul><li>For Chinese machinery manufacturers, penetration overseas remains a longterm driver.</li><li>That said, with growth trend reversing since mid-2023 after 2-3 years of extraordinary growth, the way to overseas expansion will likely be bumpy in 2024E, especially when the overseas competitors are recovering from the supply chain bottleneck.</li><li>Geographically, we expect strong demand to continue in the US and the Middle East, but weakness in Europe and China. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

For Chinese machinery manufacturers, penetration overseas remains a longterm driver.That said, with growth trend reversing since mid-2023 after 2-3 years of extraordinary growth, the way to overseas expansion will likely be bumpy in 2024E, especially when the overseas competitors are recovering from the supply chain bottleneck.Geographically, we expect strong demand to continue in the US and the Middle East, but weakness in Europe and China. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery / HDT – 2024 Outlook

<ul><li>Following a rally since early Feb, we believe the market has already priced in the upcoming recovery of machinery demand.</li><li>We see little upside potential in the near term, as (1) the recovery could be more seasonal (MoM) than structural (YoY), with sales of excavator (proxy for the sector) likely falling short of expectation in Mar; (2) We expect the strong credit growth will only translate into a moderate recovery of excavator demand this year (+10% YoY in our industry assumption).</li><li>Therefore, we are selective in our universe, and prefer only AWP (the only type of machinery that stands out by achieving 15% YoY growth in Jan). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Following a rally since early Feb, we believe the market has already priced in the upcoming recovery of machinery demand.We see little upside potential in the near term, as (1) the recovery could be more seasonal (MoM) than structural (YoY), with sales of excavator (proxy for the sector) likely falling short of expectation in Mar; (2) We expect the strong credit growth will only translate into a moderate recovery of excavator demand this year (+10% YoY in our industry assumption).Therefore, we are selective in our universe, and prefer only AWP (the only type of machinery that stands out by achieving 15% YoY growth in Jan). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery – Near-Term Recovery More Seasonal than Structural

United States

Caterpillar Inc. designs, manufactures and markets construction, mining and forestry machinery. The Company also manufactures engines  and other related parts for its equipment, and offers financing and insurance. Caterpillar distributes its products through a worldwide organization of dealers.

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Caterpillar Inc (CAT US)

Capital Goods - Major global players’ forecast about tariff impact

We have summarized the selected global machinery manufacturers’ estimates about the impact of US tariffs. Most players expect the impact will...

CMB International

China Construction Machinery / HDT – 2024 Outlook

That said, with growth trend reversing since mid-2023 after 2-3 years of extraordinary growth, the way to overseas expansion will likely be bumpy...

CMB International

China Construction Machinery – Near-Term Recovery More Seasonal than Structural

Following a rally since early Feb, we believe the market has already priced in the upcoming recovery of machinery demand.

CMB International

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