Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Shin Kong Financial Holding / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The last couple of days have seen the TWD increase value against the USD extremely sharply. This has caused the Shin Kong/Taishin risk arb spread to widen. </li>
<li>There is no expectation that the merger will be delayed, but the change in USDTWD rate introduces a new dynamic into the ShinKong-as-Taishin-vs Peers trade.</li>
<li>Careful consideration of this trade going forward is worthwhile. What may have been the better trade may no longer be the better trade.</li>
</ul>


The last couple of days have seen the TWD increase value against the USD extremely sharply. This has caused the Shin Kong/Taishin risk arb spread to widen. 
There is no expectation that the merger will be delayed, but the change in USDTWD rate introduces a new dynamic into the ShinKong-as-Taishin-vs Peers trade.
Careful consideration of this trade going forward is worthwhile. What may have been the better trade may no longer be the better trade.


ShinKong (2888 TT)/Taishin (2887 TT) - Time To Deal Is Shorter, But Risk To Peers Is Higher

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 2nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD944.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,396mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc Financial, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 2nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD944.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,396mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc Financial, Mediatek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 2nd): TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc Financial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 25th which has an aggregated holding worth USD845.1bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD721mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC (2330 TT).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 25th which has an aggregated holding worth USD845.1bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD721mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC (2330 TT).


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 25th): TSMC

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 18th which has an aggregated holding worth USD815.1bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD2,916mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SCSB, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 18th which has an aggregated holding worth USD815.1bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD2,916mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SCSB, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 18th): SCSB, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Quanta Computer

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 11th which has an aggregated holding worth USD842.1bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,406mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 11th which has an aggregated holding worth USD842.1bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,406mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 11th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial

Taiwan

Cathay Financial Holding Co., Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides traditional life, health care, and accident insurances, as well as banking, security underwriting, and brokerage services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Cathay Financial Holding Co (2882 TT)

ShinKong (2888 TT)/Taishin (2887 TT) - Time To Deal Is Shorter, But Risk To Peers Is Higher

For months, Shin Kong and Taishin gained ground vs Peers after underperforming to a 10-year relative low. Now, USDTWD FX volatility and strength...

Travis Lundy

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 2nd): TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 25th): TSMC

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week. We estimate that weekly foreign flows to be inflows of USD721m and highlighted foreign...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 18th): SCSB, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Quanta Computer

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SCSB, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Quanta Computer,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 11th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)