Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

I recently had occasion to update my thinking on China, its massive waste generation in the last 10-15 years, and Chinese Communist Party members as major beneficiaries of this massive waste, and therefore also the continued need for Xi Jinping to keep cleaning up the more blatant instances of corruption and wealth transfer. The commodities boom of &lsquo;00s proved to be backed by a massive wave of over-production, waste and a social movement to self-enrichment by the privileged class of China. President Xi Jinping in many ways is now contributing to lower commodity prices as a byproduct of his crackdown. There is a twist, though. Not only does this piece make a link between Chinese Corruption and massive waste, but it also puts in its conclusions a couple of directional political Catch-22s President Xi may face.&nbsp;

I recently had occasion to update my thinking on China, its massive waste generation in the last 10-15 years, and Chinese Communist Party members as major beneficiaries of this massive waste, and therefore also the continued need for Xi Jinping to keep cleaning up the more blatant instances of corruption and wealth transfer. The commodities boom of &lsquo;00s proved to be backed by a massive wave of over-production, waste and a social movement to self-enrichment by the privileged class of China. President Xi Jinping in many ways is now contributing to lower commodity prices as a byproduct of his crackdown. There is a twist, though. Not only does this piece make a link between Chinese Corruption and massive waste, but it also puts in its conclusions a couple of directional political Catch-22s President Xi may face.&nbsp;

Implications and Fallout from Absolute Corruption of the Political Elite

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a>'s FY25 recuring underlying profit was HK$9.7bn, 5% higher than in FY24.</li>
<li>83%-Held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5775:1" rel="noopener">Swire Properties (1972 HK)</a> reported an attributable loss of HK$1.53bn in FY25, up from HK$766mn, as Hong Kong property writedowns dented strong(er) mainland China retail ops. </li>
<li>Swire Pac also announced it would place out 2.52% of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a>. Cathay's FY25 bottom line gained 9.5% yoy. </li>
</ul>



Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)'s FY25 recuring underlying profit was HK$9.7bn, 5% higher than in FY24.
83%-Held Swire Properties (1972 HK) reported an attributable loss of HK$1.53bn in FY25, up from HK$766mn, as Hong Kong property writedowns dented strong(er) mainland China retail ops. 
Swire Pac also announced it would place out 2.52% of its stake in Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK). Cathay's FY25 bottom line gained 9.5% yoy. 


Swire (19 HK): On The FY25 Results, Swire Props' HK Writedowns, & Cathay Placement

Founder

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Cherrystone Hill Research

This post is a follow-up to discuss potential follow-on impacts of Hutchison Whampoa's restructuring on the Watson's retail segment. With a deal for O2 in the works, a Watson's listing or sale could be a source of permanent funding for this transaction. As an entity with its own currency, Watson's could accelerate its expansion program. The same is true if a retailer with global ambitions buys control.

This post is a follow-up to discuss potential follow-on impacts of Hutchison Whampoa's restructuring on the Watson's retail segment. With a deal for O2 in the works, a Watson's listing or sale could be a source of permanent funding for this transaction. As an entity with its own currency, Watson's could accelerate its expansion program. The same is true if a retailer with global ambitions buys control.

Hutchison Whampoa Restructuring: Next Move for Watson's? Part Two

<ul>
<li>You wouldn't short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rohm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2953:1" rel="noopener">ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP)</a>. Look to add on a big dip.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener"> (2688 HK)</a> remains a challenging situation. But arguably there is upside potential here; but it's not a high conviction trade.</li>
<li>Large treasury share cancellations in vogue from the likes of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:393:1" rel="noopener">SK Inc (034730 KS)</a>, among a slew others.</li>
</ul>


You wouldn't short ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP). Look to add on a big dip.

ENN Energy (2688 HK) remains a challenging situation. But arguably there is upside potential here; but it's not a high conviction trade.
Large treasury share cancellations in vogue from the likes of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), SK Inc (034730 KS), among a slew others.


Last Week In Event SPACE: ROHM, ENN Energy, Samsung Electronics, SK Inc, JCNC/Astra

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Slower pace of January activity growth explained by timing of long LNY holidays in 2025/26 </li>
<li>Initial numbers from LNY holiday period show more trips,  but tight purse-strings</li>
<li>Airlines appear to be managing well; a clearer picture of consumer will emerge soon</li>
</ul>


Slower pace of January activity growth explained by timing of long LNY holidays in 2025/26 
Initial numbers from LNY holiday period show more trips,  but tight purse-strings
Airlines appear to be managing well; a clearer picture of consumer will emerge soon


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | January Impacted by LNY Timing | Initial LNY 2026 Numbers So-So

Hong Kong

Cathay Pacific is a premium travel lifestyle brand offering scheduled passenger and cargo air transportation, along with low-cost travel and various lifestyle products and services. The airline connects Hong Kong, mainland China, and the world through its hub at Hong Kong International Airport. It was founded in Hong Kong in 1946.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Cathay Pacific (293 HK)

Implications and Fallout from Absolute Corruption of the Political Elite

I recently had occasion to update my thinking on China, its massive waste generation in the last 10-15 years, and Chinese Communist Party members...

Charles De Trenck

Swire (19 HK): On The FY25 Results, Swire Props' HK Writedowns, & Cathay Placement

Swire Pac is cheap. You could set up the stub here. Swire Props at 0.33x is also inexpensive. But HK IP continues to drag. I'd might be inclined...

David Blennerhassett

Hutchison Whampoa Restructuring: Next Move for Watson's? Part Two

This post is a follow-up to discuss potential follow-on impacts of Hutchison Whampoa's restructuring on the Watson's retail segment. With a deal...

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Last Week In Event SPACE: ROHM, ENN Energy, Samsung Electronics, SK Inc, JCNC/Astra

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | January Impacted by LNY Timing | Initial LNY 2026 Numbers So-So

January's Chinese tourism activity data were hurt by the timing of the LNY holiday. We have initial holiday numbers, but we'll get a better sense...

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)