Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The Bank of Korea is expected to cut interest rates to 2.75% on 25 February 2025. The decision, however, is not expected to be unanimous and some analysts argue against.</li>
<li>Historical data from 120 BoK announcements and subsequent moves in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)</a> is examined.</li>
<li>Options market pricing seems to lean toward a "surprise and no-change" outcome. Traders can seek opportunities with short straddles or long puts depending on anticipated outcomes.</li>
</ul>


The Bank of Korea is expected to cut interest rates to 2.75% on 25 February 2025. The decision, however, is not expected to be unanimous and some analysts argue against.
Historical data from 120 BoK announcements and subsequent moves in the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY) is examined.
Options market pricing seems to lean toward a "surprise and no-change" outcome. Traders can seek opportunities with short straddles or long puts depending on anticipated outcomes.


KOSPI 200 - Upcoming BOK Rate Decision: Navigating Market Moves and Profit Opportunities

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Ono Pharmaceutical received FDA approval for Romvimza for the treatment of symptomatic tenosynovial giant cell tumor. Shionogi obtains domestic approval for digital therapeutic app, Endeavorride for ADHD.</li>
<li>Samsung Biologics received FDA and European Commission approval for Prolia biosimilar. Celltrion received European approval for Prolia and Eylea biosimilars. Cosette Pharmaceuticals is acquiring Mayne Pharma for A$7.40 per share.</li>
<li>CSPC Pharmaceutical granted an exclusive license to Radiance Biopharma to develop and commercialize antibody drug conjugates SYS6005 in selected geographies. Cipla received FDA approval for anti-cancer drug Nilotinib capsules.</li>
</ul>


Ono Pharmaceutical received FDA approval for Romvimza for the treatment of symptomatic tenosynovial giant cell tumor. Shionogi obtains domestic approval for digital therapeutic app, Endeavorride for ADHD.
Samsung Biologics received FDA and European Commission approval for Prolia biosimilar. Celltrion received European approval for Prolia and Eylea biosimilars. Cosette Pharmaceuticals is acquiring Mayne Pharma for A$7.40 per share.
CSPC Pharmaceutical granted an exclusive license to Radiance Biopharma to develop and commercialize antibody drug conjugates SYS6005 in selected geographies. Cipla received FDA approval for anti-cancer drug Nilotinib capsules.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Feb 23)- Ono Pharma, Shionogi, Samsung Biologics, Celltrion, CSPC, Mayne

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Feb 14th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD3.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Feb 14th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD3.7bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 14th): SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ended on 31 January, changes will be announced first week of March and implemented at the close of trading on 13 March.</li>
<li>We forecast two changes for the Bio Index and one change for the Internet Index. Plus there will be capping changes for all indices.</li>
<li>The largest flows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-sdi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:503:1" rel="noopener">Samsung SDI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:208:1" rel="noopener">POSCO Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alteogen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15886:1" rel="noopener">Alteogen</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16029:1" rel="noopener">Naver Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legochem-biosciences-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19803:1" rel="noopener">Legochem Biosciences</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netmarble-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22839:1" rel="noopener">Netmarble</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ended on 31 January, changes will be announced first week of March and implemented at the close of trading on 13 March.
We forecast two changes for the Bio Index and one change for the Internet Index. Plus there will be capping changes for all indices.
The largest flows will be in Samsung SDI, LG Energy Solution, POSCO Holdings, Alteogen, Naver Corp, Legochem Biosciences, Netmarble and Celltrion Inc.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Smaller Deal Than Usual

<ul>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo received seventh FDA approval for Enhertu in certain types of breast cancers. Eisai received FDA approval for Leqembi’s intravenous monthly maintenance dosing.</li>
<li>Nippon Shinyaku entered into an option agreement with AB2 BIO for the rights of commercialization of Tadekinig alfa in the U.S. for certain rare autoinflammatory diseases.</li>
<li>Shionogi announced positive results from Phase 2 trial of its novel investigational RSV oral antiviral candidate S-337395. Celltrion has received FDA approval for Actemra biosimilar.</li>
</ul>


Daiichi Sankyo received seventh FDA approval for Enhertu in certain types of breast cancers. Eisai received FDA approval for Leqembi’s intravenous monthly maintenance dosing.
Nippon Shinyaku entered into an option agreement with AB2 BIO for the rights of commercialization of Tadekinig alfa in the U.S. for certain rare autoinflammatory diseases.
Shionogi announced positive results from Phase 2 trial of its novel investigational RSV oral antiviral candidate S-337395. Celltrion has received FDA approval for Actemra biosimilar.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Feb 2)- Daiichi Sankyo, Eisai, Nippon Shinyaku, Shionogi, Celltrion

South Korea

Celltrion Inc. produces and sells biosimilar products and also provides consignm ent processing service for other companies.  The Company's main product is Abata cept which is for arthritis treatment

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Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)

KOSPI 200 - Upcoming BOK Rate Decision: Navigating Market Moves and Profit Opportunities

Timely reminder of the anticipated 0.25% Rate Cut by the Bank of Korea tomorrow, 25 Feb. The outcome of the decision is far from certain, and...

Gaudenz Schneider

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Feb 23)- Ono Pharma, Shionogi, Samsung Biologics, Celltrion, CSPC, Mayne

APAC healthcare companies continued to get approvals for new products and initiates clinical trials. The companies continued with acquisitions and...

Tina Banerjee

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 14th): SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Smaller Deal Than Usual

Indications are for a smaller rebalance than usual as index performance suffers and AUM continues to shrink. There are some constituent changes...

Brian Freitas

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Feb 2)- Daiichi Sankyo, Eisai, Nippon Shinyaku, Shionogi, Celltrion

APAC healthcare companies continued to get approvals for new products and initiates clinical trials. The companies continued with acquisitions and...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

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