Focused on the Climate–Nature Nexus., Carbon Tracker Initiative

Carbon Tracker Initiative

Focused on the Climate–Nature Nexus.

Carbon Tracker and Planet Tracker - part of the Tracker Group - are award-winning, non-profit financial think tanks focused on the climate–nature nexus.

Equity Bottom-Up

Peyto Exploration & Dev / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Fading Fortunes delivers a clear message investors cannot afford to ignore: Canada’s oil & gas growth story is structurally at odds with global energy realities—and the financial downside is far larger than the potential upside.</li><li>This research provides a rigorous, data-driven assessment showing that new upstream projects—especially oil sands, gas, LNG, exploration and long‑lead developments—are far more likely to destroy value than create it across nearly all plausible transition scenarios.</li><li>It demonstrates how Canadian producers face greater exposure to declining demand, higher breakevens, and longer asset lifespans than most global peers, placing both equity and credit holders at elevated risk.</li></ul>

Fading Fortunes delivers a clear message investors cannot afford to ignore: Canada’s oil & gas growth story is structurally at odds with global energy realities—and the financial downside is far larger than the potential upside.This research provides a rigorous, data-driven assessment showing that new upstream projects—especially oil sands, gas, LNG, exploration and long‑lead developments—are far more likely to destroy value than create it across nearly all plausible transition scenarios.It demonstrates how Canadian producers face greater exposure to declining demand, higher breakevens, and longer asset lifespans than most global peers, placing both equity and credit holders at elevated risk.

Peyto Exploration & Dev Corp - Energy Transition: Canada - Fading Fortunes

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Cenovus Energy, a prominent Canadian oil company, faced several operational challenges and milestones in its second quarter of 2025.</li><li>The company demonstrated resilience and effective crisis management, showcased by their handling of the Caribou Lake wildfire's impact on operations.</li><li>Despite the wildfire requiring the evacuation of over 2,000 workers and an orderly shutdown of their Christina Lake facility, Cenovus displayed robust operational recovery.</li></ul>

Cenovus Energy, a prominent Canadian oil company, faced several operational challenges and milestones in its second quarter of 2025.The company demonstrated resilience and effective crisis management, showcased by their handling of the Caribou Lake wildfire's impact on operations.Despite the wildfire requiring the evacuation of over 2,000 workers and an orderly shutdown of their Christina Lake facility, Cenovus displayed robust operational recovery.

Cenovus Energy: Initiation of Coverage -A Closer Look At Its Refinery Network Optimization & Maintenance Cycles!

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)</a> has <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2020/1104/2020110400676.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it is at an advanced stage of negotiations with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cellnex-telecom-sau" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21258:1" rel="noopener">Cellnex Telecom Sau (CLNX SM)</a> for the disposals of its telecommunications infrastructure assets in Europe.</p>
<p>Subject to the finalisation of definitive documentation, total proceeds on completion of the transactions are ~€10.0bn, including minority partners’ share. The headline transaction price mirrors that rumoured a week ago in the media, and accounts for ~24% of CKH's NAV.</p>
<p>The announcement follows the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2020/1026/2020102600071.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">news</a> last week that CKH will reduce its exposure to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/husky-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22923:1" rel="noopener">Husky Energy (HSE CN)</a> in a deal with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cenovus-energy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24253:1" rel="noopener">Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE CN)</a>.</p>
<p>CKH is trading cheap at a 46% discount to NAV <em>after this morning's ~8.9% share price gain</em>. The implied stub, net of all listed holdings, remains near the -2STD level, based on share prices since the reorganisation of Cheung Kong in <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2015/0603/ltn20150603277.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">June 2015</a>.</p>
<p>For those waiting for a catalyst to enhance/unlock shareholder value, this is it. </p>

CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK) has announced it is at an advanced stage of negotiations with Cellnex Telecom Sau (CLNX SM) for the disposals of its telecommunications infrastructure assets in Europe.
Subject to the finalisation of definitive documentation, total proceeds on completion of the transactions are ~€10.0bn, including minority partners’ share. The headline transaction price mirrors that rumoured a week ago in the media, and accounts for ~24% of CKH's NAV.
The announcement follows the news last week that CKH will reduce its exposure to Husky Energy (HSE CN) in a deal with Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE CN).
CKH is trading cheap at a 46% discount to NAV after this morning's ~8.9% share price gain. The implied stub, net of all listed holdings, remains near the -2STD level, based on share prices since the reorganisation of Cheung Kong in June 2015.
For those waiting for a catalyst to enhance/unlock shareholder value, this is it. 

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<p>This week in StubWorld ...</p>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kwg-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12601:1" rel="noopener"></a>Reportedly <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/las-vegas-sands-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:807:1" rel="noopener">Las Vegas Sands (LVS US)</a> is exploring the sale of its Las Vegas hotel-casinos, the result of which would concentrate its gaming portfolio in Macau and Singapore. <br><br><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cellnex-telecom-sau" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21258:1" rel="noopener">Cellnex Telecom Sau (CLNX SM)</a> is understood to be in advanced talks to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)</a>’s European wireless tower business.</div>
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<p>Preceding my comments on LVS and CK Hutch are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</p>
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<p>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed as a % - of at least 20%.</p>
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This week in StubWorld ...



Reportedly Las Vegas Sands (LVS US) is exploring the sale of its Las Vegas hotel-casinos, the result of which would concentrate its gaming portfolio in Macau and Singapore.   Cellnex Telecom Sau (CLNX SM) is understood to be in advanced talks to acquire CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)’s European wireless tower business.


Preceding my comments on LVS and CK Hutch are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.




These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed as a % - of at least 20%.




StubWorld: Macau/Sing Focus As LVS To Ditch LV; CK Hutch In Tower Talks

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

<p>Oil has traded to the upper bounds of its expected price range in 2017 – and is higher than pundits expected only a couple of months ago. We can certainly see names like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/12530" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12530:1">Valero Energy Corp (VLO US)</a> at new 52-week highs. But this is a 20x trailing earnings stock. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/811" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:811:1">Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM US)</a>, on the other hand, appears to have merely recovered from a “mind the gap” recent short-term oversold position, while still being a 30x trailing earnings and 10x EBITDA/share stock (ie, not that interesting).</p><p>…</p>

Oil has traded to the upper bounds of its expected price range in 2017 – and is higher than pundits expected only a couple of months ago. We can certainly see names like Valero Energy Corp (VLO US) at new 52-week highs. But this is a 20x trailing earnings stock. Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM US), on the other hand, appears to have merely recovered from a “mind the gap” recent short-term oversold position, while still being a 30x trailing earnings and 10x EBITDA/share stock (ie, not that interesting).…

Energy Plays on Cold Winter/$45-55 Oil… What's Breaking Out

Canada

Cenovus Energy Inc. is an integrated oil company. The Company comprises natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids reserves. Cenovus Energy has established natural gas and crude oil production in Alberta and Saskatchewan as well as refineries in Illinois and Texas.

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Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE CN)

Peyto Exploration & Dev Corp - Energy Transition: Canada - Fading Fortunes

Fading Fortunes delivers a clear message investors cannot afford to ignore: Canada’s oil & gas growth story is structurally at odds with...

Carbon Tracker Initiative

Cenovus Energy: Initiation of Coverage -A Closer Look At Its Refinery Network Optimization & Maintenance Cycles!

Cenovus Energy, a prominent Canadian oil company, faced several operational challenges and milestones in its second quarter of 2025. The company...

Baptista Research

CK Hutch: Here's Your Re-Rating Catalyst

CK Hutchison closes in on a Eur10bn tower sale to Spain's Cellnex, which would unlock 24% of NAV and 32% of the unlisted stub value.

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Macau/Sing Focus As LVS To Ditch LV; CK Hutch In Tower Talks

Reportedly Las Vegas Sands (LVS US) is exploring the sale of its Las Vegas hotel-casinos, the result of which would concentrate its gaming...

David Blennerhassett

Energy Plays on Cold Winter/$45-55 Oil… What's Breaking Out

Oil has traded to the upper bounds of its expected price range in 2017 – and is higher than pundits expected only a couple of months ago. We can...

Charles De Trenck

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