Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Kuang-Chi Technologies   / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 11 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> with implementation taking place at the close on 12 December.</li>
<li>Nearly all the changes are in line with forecasts. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-zhongtian-technologies-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12699:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Zhongtian Technologies Co, Ltd. (600522 CH)</a> is the one surprise addition.</li>
<li>The adds outperformed the deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI300</a> from June-September but have given back a chunk of the gains since then. Expect positioning to build over the next few days.</li>
</ul>


There are 11 changes for the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) with implementation taking place at the close on 12 December.
Nearly all the changes are in line with forecasts. Jiangsu Zhongtian Technologies Co, Ltd. (600522 CH) is the one surprise addition.
The adds outperformed the deletes and the CSI300 from June-September but have given back a chunk of the gains since then. Expect positioning to build over the next few days.


CSI300 Index Rebalance: 11 Changes & US$7.77bn Trade

Victory Giant Technology -A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 12 changes at the December rebalance with the Information Technology sector gaining 2 index spots and a smaller number of changes in the other sectors.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 2.7% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 69.8bn (US$9.8bn). There are 8 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> over the last 5 months while the forecast deletes have underperformed the index.</li>
</ul>


There could be 12 changes at the December rebalance with the Information Technology sector gaining 2 index spots and a smaller number of changes in the other sectors.
We estimate one-way turnover of 2.7% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 69.8bn (US$9.8bn). There are 8 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.
The forecast adds have outperformed the CSI 300 Index over the last 5 months while the forecast deletes have underperformed the index.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 12 Changes a Side as Trade Nears US$10bn

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Qingdao Port International  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.</li>
<li>Currently, we see 9 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 45 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
Currently, we see 9 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 45 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec25: Some Changes to Expectations; Large Index Flows

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 2Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows in 2Q2025 were US$6,431 million and holdings were US$320 billion.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, Wuliangye.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 2Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the inflows in 2Q2025 were US$6,431 million and holdings were US$320 billion.
We highlight flows for Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, Wuliangye.


Northbound Flows (2Q2025): Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 1Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows in 1Q2025 were US$1,760 million and holdings were US$307 billion, compared to outflows of US$20 billion in 4Q. </li>
<li>We highlight flows for BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 1Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the inflows in 1Q2025 were US$1,760 million and holdings were US$307 billion, compared to outflows of US$20 billion in 4Q. 
We highlight flows for BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power.


Northbound Flows (1Q2025): BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power

China

Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting Systems Company Limited develops, produces and sells automotive lightings. The Company produces headlamps, rear combination lamps, fog lights, warning triangle and other automotive lamps.

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Changzhou Xingyu Automotive (601799 CH)

CSI300 Index Rebalance: 11 Changes & US$7.77bn Trade

There are 11 changes for the CSI300 Index in Dec. Not too many surprises. Estimated turnover is 2.2% leading to a round-trip trade of US$7.77bn....

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 12 Changes a Side as Trade Nears US$10bn

There could be 12 changes in Dec. Estimate one-way turnover is 2.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$9.8bn. The adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec25: Some Changes to Expectations; Large Index Flows

The 9 expected changes for CSI 300 could trigger US$3bn index flows one-way. Separately, the 45 expected changes for CSI 500 could also trigger...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Northbound Flows (2Q2025): Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for June and highlighted flows for Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (1Q2025): BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 1Q2025 and highlight flows for BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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CSI300 Index Rebalance: 11 Changes & US$7.77bn Trade

There are 11 changes for the CSI300 Index in Dec. Not too many surprises. Estimated turnover is 2.2% leading to a round-trip trade of US$7.77bn....

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 12 Changes a Side as Trade Nears US$10bn

There could be 12 changes in Dec. Estimate one-way turnover is 2.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$9.8bn. The adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec25: Some Changes to Expectations; Large Index Flows

The 9 expected changes for CSI 300 could trigger US$3bn index flows one-way. Separately, the 45 expected changes for CSI 500 could also trigger...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Northbound Flows (2Q2025): Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for June and highlighted flows for Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (1Q2025): BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 1Q2025 and highlight flows for BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec25: Some Changes to Expectations; Large Index Flows