IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saint-care-holding-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13470:1" rel="noopener">Saint-Care Holding (2374 JP)</a> has recommended an MBO from the founding family at JPY1,220, a 48.8% premium to the last close price.</li>
<li>The offer is attractive compared to historical trading ranges and is above the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation range. </li>
<li>Due to the irrevocables, it is not onerous to meet the minimum acceptance condition. This is a done deal.  </li>
</ul>



Saint-Care Holding (2374 JP) has recommended an MBO from the founding family at JPY1,220, a 48.8% premium to the last close price.
The offer is attractive compared to historical trading ranges and is above the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation range. 
Due to the irrevocables, it is not onerous to meet the minimum acceptance condition. This is a done deal.  


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 8th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD15,664m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Furukawa Electric, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SoftBank, Advantest, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, IHI, Chugai Pharmaceutical, Toyota Motor, Furukawa Electric, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 8th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD15,664m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Furukawa Electric, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SoftBank, Advantest, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, IHI, Chugai Pharmaceutical, Toyota Motor, Furukawa Electric, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 8th): Furukawa Electric, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SoftBank

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benesse-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12877:1" rel="noopener">Benesse Holdings (9783 JP)</a> notes that the pre-condition for EQT-backed MBO has been satisfied. The offer price remains unchanged at JPY2,600 per share, a 45.1% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>EQT has noted a possibility of extending the tender offer close from 4 to 13 March, which suggests a limited appetite to bump the offer.</li>
<li>The shares are trading 1.3% above terms. A 51% minority acceptance rate and no competing bidder indicate an unfavourable risk/reward profile - a 27% downside on deal break. </li>
</ul>



Benesse Holdings (9783 JP) notes that the pre-condition for EQT-backed MBO has been satisfied. The offer price remains unchanged at JPY2,600 per share, a 45.1% premium to the undisturbed price.
EQT has noted a possibility of extending the tender offer close from 4 to 13 March, which suggests a limited appetite to bump the offer.
The shares are trading 1.3% above terms. A 51% minority acceptance rate and no competing bidder indicate an unfavourable risk/reward profile - a 27% downside on deal break. 


Benesse Holdings (9783 JP): EQT-Backed MBO Offer Unchanged at JPY2,600

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benesse-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12877:1" rel="noopener">Benesse Holdings (9783 JP)</a> has recommended an EQT-backed pre-conditional MBO offer of JPY2,600 per share, a 45.1% and 36.3% premium to the undisturbed price and last close, respectively.</li>
<li>The pre-conditions primarily relate to Japanese and Chinese approvals, which can be waived. Chinese SAMR approval should be forthcoming as education is not a geopolitical fraught sector.</li>
<li>The offer is long-dated and opens in early February 2024. While not a knockout bid, the offer is fair in the context of Benesse’s muted outlook. </li>
</ul>



Benesse Holdings (9783 JP) has recommended an EQT-backed pre-conditional MBO offer of JPY2,600 per share, a 45.1% and 36.3% premium to the undisturbed price and last close, respectively.
The pre-conditions primarily relate to Japanese and Chinese approvals, which can be waived. Chinese SAMR approval should be forthcoming as education is not a geopolitical fraught sector.
The offer is long-dated and opens in early February 2024. While not a knockout bid, the offer is fair in the context of Benesse’s muted outlook. 


Benesse Holdings (9783 JP): EQT Backed Pre-Conditional MBO Tender Offer at JPY2,600

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/10235" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10235:1">Charm Care Corp (6062 JP)</a> is a relatively fast-growing Osaka-based smallcap ($130mm) JASDAQ-listed private senior-care facilities operator with 40+ care facilities and a total of 2,930 rooms under management as of end-December in the Tokyo and Kanagawa areas, the Osaka area, and the Hyogo and Kyoto areas. The company was listed in April 2012 as a <em>truly</em> tiny cap. Since then, revenues are up 3-fold and the market cap is up 8-fold. It is still growing quickly.  </p><div class="content-highlight"><p><em>This is a small cap offering. The</em>…</p></div>

Charm Care Corp (6062 JP) is a relatively fast-growing Osaka-based smallcap ($130mm) JASDAQ-listed private senior-care facilities operator with 40+ care facilities and a total of 2,930 rooms under management as of end-December in the Tokyo and Kanagawa areas, the Osaka area, and the Hyogo and Kyoto areas. The company was listed in April 2012 as a truly tiny cap. Since then, revenues are up 3-fold and the market cap is up 8-fold. It is still growing quickly.  This is a small cap offering. The…

Charm Care (6062) Offering, TSE2 Listing, and Growth

Japan

Charm Care Corporation, K.K. provides residential and personal care services.

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Charm Care Corp (6062 JP)

Saint-Care (2374 JP): An Attractive MBO

The offer is attractive compared to historical trading ranges and is above the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation range. Irrevocables help in...

Arun George

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 8th): Furukawa Electric, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SoftBank

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Furukawa Electric (5801 JP), Disco (6146 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Benesse Holdings (9783 JP): EQT-Backed MBO Offer Unchanged at JPY2,600

The shares are trading 1.3% above terms. A 51% minority acceptance rate and no competing bidder indicate an unfavourable risk/reward profile - a...

Arun George

Benesse Holdings (9783 JP): EQT Backed Pre-Conditional MBO Tender Offer at JPY2,600

The pre-conditions primarily relate to Japanese and Chinese approvals, which can be waived. While not a knockout bid, the offer is fair in the...

Arun George

Charm Care (6062) Offering, TSE2 Listing, and Growth

Charm Care Corp (6062 JP) is a relatively fast-growing Osaka-based smallcap ($130mm) JASDAQ-listed private senior-care facilities operator with 40+...

Travis Lundy

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