Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move in a sideways-down pattern, with the support at 1,200/1,192 points and the resistance at 1,215/1,219 points (75-day EMA).</li><li>In the short term, the market is still waiting for confirmation of where the peak of Wave 1 (of the 5-wave upward structure in the Elliott Wave theory) will form before entering a correction phase.</li><li>Wave 2 is expected to retrace around 50–61.8% of Wave 1’s length. </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move in a sideways-down pattern, with the support at 1,200/1,192 points and the resistance at 1,215/1,219 points (75-day EMA).In the short term, the market is still waiting for confirmation of where the peak of Wave 1 (of the 5-wave upward structure in the Elliott Wave theory) will form before entering a correction phase.Wave 2 is expected to retrace around 50–61.8% of Wave 1’s length. 

KTX Zoom: China’s Trade Balance - MAY 9, 2025

<ul><li>KTX expects the index to remain volatile, with the resistance levels at 1,220/1,250 points and the support at 1,170/1,150 points.</li><li>Positive factors include a return of buying in risk assets, particularly if Trump eases tariff measures — such as delaying tariffs on specific sectors like automobiles and semiconductors, and signaling a reduction in reciprocal tariffs for US trading partners making progress in negotiations (e.g., South Korea, Japan); and if China announces details of a new economic stimulus package.</li><li>On the domestic front, key factors to watch include the successful launch of the TESG Extra Fund, expected to generate Bt15-20bn in new capital inflows, and progress in Thailand’s negotiations on reciprocal tariffs with the US, along with the government’s gradual rollout of economic stimulus measures to offset trade war impacts (notably, the IMF has cut its 2025E global GDP growth forecast from 2.9% to 1.8%).</li></ul>

KTX expects the index to remain volatile, with the resistance levels at 1,220/1,250 points and the support at 1,170/1,150 points.Positive factors include a return of buying in risk assets, particularly if Trump eases tariff measures — such as delaying tariffs on specific sectors like automobiles and semiconductors, and signaling a reduction in reciprocal tariffs for US trading partners making progress in negotiations (e.g., South Korea, Japan); and if China announces details of a new economic stimulus package.On the domestic front, key factors to watch include the successful launch of the TESG Extra Fund, expected to generate Bt15-20bn in new capital inflows, and progress in Thailand’s negotiations on reciprocal tariffs with the US, along with the government’s gradual rollout of economic stimulus measures to offset trade war impacts (notably, the IMF has cut its 2025E global GDP growth forecast from 2.9% to 1.8%).

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support levels at 1,208/1,200 points and the resistance at 1,230/1,235 points.</li><li>In the short term, the market is still awaiting confirmation of the peak of Wave 1 (of the 5-wave uptrend in the Elliott Wave theory) before entering a correction phase.</li><li>Wave 2 typically retraces around 50-61.8% of Wave 1’s length.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support levels at 1,208/1,200 points and the resistance at 1,230/1,235 points.In the short term, the market is still awaiting confirmation of the peak of Wave 1 (of the 5-wave uptrend in the Elliott Wave theory) before entering a correction phase.Wave 2 typically retraces around 50-61.8% of Wave 1’s length.

KTX Zoom: BoE Expected to Cut Interest Rates Further - MAY 8, 2025

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,166/1,176 points and the support at 1,150/1,148 points (10-day EMA).</li><li>The short-term outlook remains within a bullish flag rally range of 1,134-1,166 points, aiming to retest the previous resistance at 1,176 points after setting a new low for the year at 1,056.41 points on April 8.</li><li>This upward movement is expected to help confirm a medium-term trend reversal from a downtrend to a new uptrend (with higher lows). </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,166/1,176 points and the support at 1,150/1,148 points (10-day EMA).The short-term outlook remains within a bullish flag rally range of 1,134-1,166 points, aiming to retest the previous resistance at 1,176 points after setting a new low for the year at 1,056.41 points on April 8.This upward movement is expected to help confirm a medium-term trend reversal from a downtrend to a new uptrend (with higher lows). 

KTX Zoom: US: JOLTS Job Report -  APRIL 29, 2025

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the resistance levels at 1,164 and 1,176 points and the support levels at 1,150 and 1,145 points (10-day EMA).</li><li>In the short term, the index remains in a bullish flag rally phase, aiming to retest the previous resistance at 1,176 points, following the new low of the year at 1,056.41 points recorded on April 8.</li><li>This upward movement is expected to confirm a medium-term trend reversal from a downtrend to a new uptrend (with higher lows). </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the resistance levels at 1,164 and 1,176 points and the support levels at 1,150 and 1,145 points (10-day EMA).In the short term, the index remains in a bullish flag rally phase, aiming to retest the previous resistance at 1,176 points, following the new low of the year at 1,056.41 points recorded on April 8.This upward movement is expected to confirm a medium-term trend reversal from a downtrend to a new uptrend (with higher lows). 

KTX Zoom: Expect Fund Inflows into the SET - APRIL 28, 2025

Thailand

Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited is an agro-industrial and food conglomerate. It operates integrated businesses spanning animal feed production, livestock and aquaculture farming (including chicken, duck, pigs, shrimp, and fish), and the manufacturing and distribution of processed food products. The company is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand, and was founded in 1978.

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Charoen Pokphand Foods (CPF-R TB)

KTX Zoom: China’s Trade Balance - MAY 9, 2025

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move in a sideways-down pattern, with the support at 1,200/1,192 points and the resistance at 1,215/1,219...

Krungthai XSpring

Monthly Report: May 2025

Positive factors include a return of buying in risk assets, particularly if Trump eases tariff measures — such as delaying tariffs on specific...

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Zoom: BoE Expected to Cut Interest Rates Further - MAY 8, 2025

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support levels at 1,208/1,200 points and the resistance at 1,230/1,235 points.

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Zoom: US: JOLTS Job Report - APRIL 29, 2025

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,166/1,176 points and the support at 1,150/1,148 points (10-day EMA).

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Zoom: Expect Fund Inflows into the SET - APRIL 28, 2025

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the resistance levels at 1,164 and 1,176 points and the support levels at 1,150...

Krungthai XSpring

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