Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Ki Corporation and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/public-storage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18193:1" rel="noopener">Public Storage (PSA US)</a> together <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250407/pdf/06hfsstr34h3wb.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a NBIO, by way of a Scheme, to acquire all of the outstanding securities of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-storage-king" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39857:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Storage (ASK AU)</a> not held.</li>
<li>The indicative offer of A$1.47/stapled security is a 26.7% premium to undisturbed and ~8% discount to the latest NTA/security. Nathan Kirsh directly/indirectly holds a 59.47% stake in ASK.</li>
<li>Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 6.9%/10.9%, assuming late Nov completion. That's tight given timing risk, and terms not being firm.</li>
</ul>


Ki Corporation and Public Storage (PSA US) together announced a NBIO, by way of a Scheme, to acquire all of the outstanding securities of Abacus Storage (ASK AU) not held.
The indicative offer of A$1.47/stapled security is a 26.7% premium to undisturbed and ~8% discount to the latest NTA/security. Nathan Kirsh directly/indirectly holds a 59.47% stake in ASK.
Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 6.9%/10.9%, assuming late Nov completion. That's tight given timing risk, and terms not being firm.


Abacus Storage (ASK AU): Kirsh/Public Storage Buck Market Volatility With NBIO

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-storage-king" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39857:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Storage King (ASK AU)</a> will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-property-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30998:1" rel="noopener">Vaneck Vectors Australian Property ETF (MVA AU)</a> in June. There are float changes and capping changes too.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.33% and will result in a one-way trade of A$19m. There are a couple of stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>There has been a recent spike in shorts on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-storage-king" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39857:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Storage King (ASK AU)</a> but passive selling will be larger than the short interest.</li>
</ul>



Abacus Storage King (ASK AU) will be deleted from the Vaneck Vectors Australian Property ETF (MVA AU) in June. There are float changes and capping changes too.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.33% and will result in a one-way trade of A$19m. There are a couple of stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
There has been a recent spike in shorts on Abacus Storage King (ASK AU) but passive selling will be larger than the short interest.


MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Abacus Storage King Deleted (Finally!)

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-property-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30998:1" rel="noopener">Vaneck Vectors Australian Property ETF (MVA AU)</a> in December but there are float and capping changes.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-storage-king" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39857:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Storage King (ASK AU)</a> is the biggest sell and is due to a drop in float, a reversal of the excessively high float assigned at the September rebalance.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 4.5% and will result in a one-way trade of A$26m. There are a few stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the Vaneck Vectors Australian Property ETF (MVA AU) in December but there are float and capping changes.

Abacus Storage King (ASK AU) is the biggest sell and is due to a drop in float, a reversal of the excessively high float assigned at the September rebalance.
Estimated one-way turnover is 4.5% and will result in a one-way trade of A$26m. There are a few stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.


MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: ASKing for a Reversal

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Abacus aims to raise around US$146m (A$200m) via issuing new shares worth 7.1% of issued shares.</li>
<li>The company will use the proceeds from the placement to pay down debt that it has accumulated from earlier acquisition/construction.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the recent developments and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Abacus aims to raise around US$146m (A$200m) via issuing new shares worth 7.1% of issued shares.
The company will use the proceeds from the placement to pay down debt that it has accumulated from earlier acquisition/construction.
In this note, we will talk about the recent developments and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Abacus Property Group Placement - Previous Deal Did Well, This One Won’t Be Accretive

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

In July 2021, Australia's largest freehold pub properties owner <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ale-property-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7484:1" rel="noopener">Ale Property (LEP AU)</a> ("ALE") received an "unsolicited, confidential, conditional, non-binding indicative proposal" from the Charter Hall Consortium (a consortium managed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall (CHC AU)</a> comprising <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-long-wale-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24076:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall Long Wale Reit (CLW AU)</a> ("CLW") and superannuation fund Hostplus). The Independent Board Committee established by ALE's Board assessed the proposal and decided to grant the Charter Hall Consortium a period of due diligence.A couple of months later, on 20th September 2021, ALE announced they had entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with the Charter Hall Consortium. Based on this agreement, ALE securityholders will have the default option of accepting 0.4080 CLW securities and cash of A$3.673 as consideration per ALE security or they can choose between an all-scrip consideration of 1.1546 CLW securities/ALE Security and an all-cash consideration of A$5.681 cash/ALE security. On top of that, ALE securityholders will also be entitled to receive ALE's September quarter distribution of A$0.055/ALE security. More below the fold. <hr>For more information about M&amp;A rules, regulations, and practices in Australia, please refer to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-australia-m-a-guide-2019" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:30118" rel="noopener">Quiddity Australia M&amp;A Guide 2019</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-m-a-australia-foreign-investment-reforms" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40210" rel="noopener">Quiddity M&amp;A: Australia Foreign Investment Reforms</a>

In July 2021, Australia's largest freehold pub properties owner Ale Property (LEP AU) ("ALE") received an "unsolicited, confidential, conditional, non-binding indicative proposal" from the Charter Hall Consortium (a consortium managed by Charter Hall (CHC AU) comprising Charter Hall Long Wale Reit (CLW AU) ("CLW") and superannuation fund Hostplus). The Independent Board Committee established by ALE's Board assessed the proposal and decided to grant the Charter Hall Consortium a period of due diligence.A couple of months later, on 20th September 2021, ALE announced they had entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with the Charter Hall Consortium. Based on this agreement, ALE securityholders will have the default option of accepting 0.4080 CLW securities and cash of A$3.673 as consideration per ALE security or they can choose between an all-scrip consideration of 1.1546 CLW securities/ALE Security and an all-cash consideration of A$5.681 cash/ALE security. On top of that, ALE securityholders will also be entitled to receive ALE's September quarter distribution of A$0.055/ALE security. More below the fold. For more information about M&amp;A rules, regulations, and practices in Australia, please refer to Quiddity Australia M&amp;A Guide 2019 and Quiddity M&amp;A: Australia Foreign Investment Reforms 

ALE-Charter Hall: A Post-Lockdown Bet on Australian Pubs

Australia

Charter Hall Long WALE REIT operates as a real estate investment trust. The Company invests in office, industrial, and retail properties that are leased to corporate and government tenants on long-term. Charter Hall Long WALE REIT conducts business in Australia.

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Charter Hall Long Wale Reit (CLW AU)

Abacus Storage (ASK AU): Kirsh/Public Storage Buck Market Volatility With NBIO

Trading at a gross/annuallised spread of 6.9%/10.9%, assuming late Nov completion. That's tight given the timing risk and terms not being firm.

David Blennerhassett

MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Abacus Storage King Deleted (Finally!)

Abacus Storage King (ASK) will be deleted from the MVA ETF at the close on 21 June. Estimated one-way turnover is 3.33% and will result in a one...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: ASKing for a Reversal

There are no constituent changes but there are float and capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.5% resulting in a one-way trade of A$26m....

Brian Freitas

Abacus Property Group Placement - Previous Deal Did Well, This One Won’t Be Accretive

Abacus aims to raise around US$146m (A$200m) via issuing new shares worth 7.1% of issued shares. In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM...

Sumeet Singh

ALE-Charter Hall: A Post-Lockdown Bet on Australian Pubs

Australian property fund Charter Hall is acquiring Australia's largest owner of free hold pubs for an equity value of A$1.2bn - a bet on the post...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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