Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There should be one deletion from the index in September. And there could be another deletion. And there will be capping changes for a few stocks.</li>
<li>The index changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.12% resulting in a one-way trade of A$13m. There is only one stock with over A$5m to trade.</li>
<li>Following the spinoff, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10566:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Group (ABG AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-storage-king" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39857:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Storage King (ASK AU)</a> will be the lowest ranked index constituents and at risk of deletion from the index.</li>
</ul>


There should be one deletion from the index in September. And there could be another deletion. And there will be capping changes for a few stocks.
The index changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.12% resulting in a one-way trade of A$13m. There is only one stock with over A$5m to trade.
Following the spinoff, Abacus Group (ABG AU) and Abacus Storage King (ASK AU) will be the lowest ranked index constituents and at risk of deletion from the index.


MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance Preview: One Delete, One Close Delete & Capping

Equity Analyst, Event-driven, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run up to the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>I currently expect one change for the ASX 100 index and five changes (including one intra-review change) for the ASX 200 index.</li>
<li>There could be 7 ADDs and 5 DELs for the ASX 300 index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run up to the September 2023 Rebalance.
I currently expect one change for the ASX 100 index and five changes (including one intra-review change) for the ASX 200 index.
There could be 7 ADDs and 5 DELs for the ASX 300 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 23: Many Changes Ahead

<ul>
<li>We do not expect any constituent changes in June (that could change though!). The only flows are likely to be from capping the constituents at 10% of the index weight.</li>
<li>Capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.15% resulting in a one-way trade of A$14m. There are two stocks with over A$5m to trade.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stockland" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:661:1" rel="noopener">Stockland (SGP AU)</a> will be the most affected stock with passive trackers needing to sell over 1 day of ADV. The stock has run up and shorts are increasing.</li>
</ul>


We do not expect any constituent changes in June (that could change though!). The only flows are likely to be from capping the constituents at 10% of the index weight.
Capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.15% resulting in a one-way trade of A$14m. There are two stocks with over A$5m to trade.

Stockland (SGP AU) will be the most affected stock with passive trackers needing to sell over 1 day of ADV. The stock has run up and shorts are increasing.


MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance Preview: Capping Changes & Flows

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

National Storage REIT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-storage-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13762:1" rel="noopener">National Storage REIT (NSR AU)</a> (NSREIT) aims to raise around US$200m (A$300m) via an institutional placement.</li>
<li>Past deals have ended up doing well, however, the stock now appears toppish and it's unclear if the deal was well flagged.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



National Storage REIT (NSR AU) (NSREIT) aims to raise around US$200m (A$300m) via an institutional placement.
Past deals have ended up doing well, however, the stock now appears toppish and it's unclear if the deal was well flagged.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


National Storage REIT Placement - Past Deals Have Done Well but Stock Looks Toppish

<ul>
<li>Abacus aims to raise around US$146m (A$200m) via issuing new shares worth 7.1% of issued shares.</li>
<li>The company will use the proceeds from the placement to pay down debt that it has accumulated from earlier acquisition/construction.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the recent developments and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Abacus aims to raise around US$146m (A$200m) via issuing new shares worth 7.1% of issued shares.
The company will use the proceeds from the placement to pay down debt that it has accumulated from earlier acquisition/construction.
In this note, we will talk about the recent developments and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Abacus Property Group Placement - Previous Deal Did Well, This One Won’t Be Accretive

Australia

Charter Hall Retail REIT owns a portfolio of supermarkets and shopping centers located in non-metropolitan areas throughout Australia, New Zealand and the United States.

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Charter Hall Retail Reit (CQR AU)

MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance Preview: One Delete, One Close Delete & Capping

There should be one deletion, could be another deletion, and some capping changes. One-way turnover is 2.12% resulting in a one-way trade of A$13m....

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 23: Many Changes Ahead

ABP's price ratios vs peers are very close to the upper Bollinger bands and have also significantly outperformed the trends in FY+1 and FY+2 EPS...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance Preview: Capping Changes & Flows

We do not see any constituent changes in June. Capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.15% resulting in a one-way trade of A$14m....

Brian Freitas

National Storage REIT Placement - Past Deals Have Done Well but Stock Looks Toppish

National Storage REIT (NSR AU) (NSREIT) aims to raise around US$200m (A$300m) via an institutional placement. In this note, we run the deal through...

Sumeet Singh

Abacus Property Group Placement - Previous Deal Did Well, This One Won’t Be Accretive

Abacus aims to raise around US$146m (A$200m) via issuing new shares worth 7.1% of issued shares. In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM...

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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