Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>US Group II base oils prices edge up versus vacuum gasoil (VGO) as crude prices correct lower.</li><li>Firm, rangebound base oils margins sustain incentive for refiners to maintain high output.</li><li>High output in Oct 2025 would help to cushion impact of scheduled plant-maintenance.</li></ul>

US Group II base oils prices edge up versus vacuum gasoil (VGO) as crude prices correct lower.Firm, rangebound base oils margins sustain incentive for refiners to maintain high output.High output in Oct 2025 would help to cushion impact of scheduled plant-maintenance.

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 6 October

<ul><li>US base oils demand likely to stay muted.</li><li>Buyers could cover more of any seasonal pick-up in demand at start of Q4 with unused stocks.</li><li>Lack of weather-related supply disruptions in recent months likely leaves those stocks at higher-than-expected levels.</li></ul>

US base oils demand likely to stay muted.Buyers could cover more of any seasonal pick-up in demand at start of Q4 with unused stocks.Lack of weather-related supply disruptions in recent months likely leaves those stocks at higher-than-expected levels.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 6 October

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to trade sideways up today, with the resistance at 1,300/1,313 points and the support at 1,285/1,268 points.</li><li>Crude oil prices rebounded this morning (WTI +1.17%, Brent +1.1%) after OPEC+ agreed to raise its production quota for November by 137k barrels per day, keeping it unchanged from October.</li><li>Thailand's September inflation data will be released today, with consensus expecting a contraction of –0.63% YoY, slightly narrower than August's –0.79% YoY.</li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to trade sideways up today, with the resistance at 1,300/1,313 points and the support at 1,285/1,268 points.Crude oil prices rebounded this morning (WTI +1.17%, Brent +1.1%) after OPEC+ agreed to raise its production quota for November by 137k barrels per day, keeping it unchanged from October.Thailand's September inflation data will be released today, with consensus expecting a contraction of –0.63% YoY, slightly narrower than August's –0.79% YoY.

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. October 6, 2025

<ul><li>Global base oils prices mostly extend fall vs feedstock/competing fuel prices amid sustained rise in crude oil prices.</li><li>Any extension of crude oil prices holding at current levels or rising further would add to squeeze on base oils margins, especially for light grades.</li><li>Balanced-to-tight base oils supply would give refiners more leverage to respond to any sustained squeeze on margins.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices mostly extend fall vs feedstock/competing fuel prices amid sustained rise in crude oil prices.Any extension of crude oil prices holding at current levels or rising further would add to squeeze on base oils margins, especially for light grades.Balanced-to-tight base oils supply would give refiners more leverage to respond to any sustained squeeze on margins.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 29 September

<ul><li>Asia’s Group II base oils prices stay unusually firm vs US export prices so far this year.</li><li>Strength of Asia Group II prices curbs arbitrage flows from Asia to Americas so far this year.</li><li>Strength of Asia prices facilitates flows of base oils shipments from US to markets like UAE and India so far this year.</li></ul>

Asia’s Group II base oils prices stay unusually firm vs US export prices so far this year.Strength of Asia Group II prices curbs arbitrage flows from Asia to Americas so far this year.Strength of Asia prices facilitates flows of base oils shipments from US to markets like UAE and India so far this year.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 29 September

United States

Chevron Corporation is an integrated energy company with operations in countries located around the world.  The Company produces and transports crude oil and natural gas.  Chevron also refines, markets, and distributes fuels as well as is involved in chemical operations, mining operations, power generation and energy services.

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Chevron Corp (CVX US)

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 6 October

US Group II base oils prices edge up versus vacuum gasoil (VGO) as crude prices correct lower. Firm, rangebound base oils margins sustain...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 6 October

US base oils demand likely to stay muted. Buyers could cover more of any seasonal pick-up in demand at start of Q4 with unused stocks. Lack of...

Base Oil News

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. October 6, 2025

The SET Index is expected to trade sideways up today, with the resistance at 1,300/1,313 points and the support at 1,285/1,268 points.

Krungthai XSpring

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 29 September

Global base oils prices mostly extend fall vs feedstock/competing fuel prices amid sustained rise in crude oil prices. Any extension of crude oil...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 29 September

Asia’s Group II base oils prices stay unusually firm vs US export prices so far this year. Strength of Asia Group II prices curbs arbitrage flows...

Base Oil News

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