Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Broad global MSCI equity indexes (ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM) remain bearish, as do indexes in Japan, Hong Kong, China, Europe, and Germany.</li>
<li>Until we see these indexes break above downtrends and key resistance levels, we cannot be bullish.</li>
<li>Remain overweight Energy and Materials with the secular commodity bull market intact. Defensive Sectors are also hitting 1-2-year RS highs; we recommend overweights to Health Care, Utilities, and Consumer Staples.</li>
</ul>


Broad global MSCI equity indexes (ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM) remain bearish, as do indexes in Japan, Hong Kong, China, Europe, and Germany.
Until we see these indexes break above downtrends and key resistance levels, we cannot be bullish.
Remain overweight Energy and Materials with the secular commodity bull market intact. Defensive Sectors are also hitting 1-2-year RS highs; we recommend overweights to Health Care, Utilities, and Consumer Staples.


Opportunities Within Energy and Materials

Research from Quam Securities, Quam Securities

Quam Securities Research

Research from Quam Securities

Quam Securities

Since its inception in 1986, Quam Securities Limited (Quam Securities) has grown to become one of the few mid-tier securities brokerages in Hong Kong with global execution capabilities for both private and institutional clients. It boasts a well-established network in Greater China including Taiwan and in major world markets through the Global Alliance Partners (GAP). Quam Securities is well-positioned not only to harness and drive business within the China Tonghai International Financial Limited but also between China and the world markets.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The HSI settled at 25,132, down 10 pts or 0.04% for the day as investors remained on the sidelines ahead of Hong Kong's inflation data due later in the day.</li><li>Market participants continued to monitor escalating hostilities in the Middle East, which lifted oil prices and renewed concerns over inflation and the prospect of further interest rate hikes.</li><li>SSEC/SZSE/GEI moved by +1.79%/+4.81%/+7.05%, as Chinese authorities mobilized fresh support measures to shore up the technology sector following a recent sharp selloff.</li></ul>

The HSI settled at 25,132, down 10 pts or 0.04% for the day as investors remained on the sidelines ahead of Hong Kong's inflation data due later in the day.Market participants continued to monitor escalating hostilities in the Middle East, which lifted oil prices and renewed concerns over inflation and the prospect of further interest rate hikes.SSEC/SZSE/GEI moved by +1.79%/+4.81%/+7.05%, as Chinese authorities mobilized fresh support measures to shore up the technology sector following a recent sharp selloff.

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 195 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.0% as of Jul 17th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, consumer staples, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 195 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.0% as of Jul 17th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, consumer staples, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 17th): Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 190 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 85.5% as of Jul 10th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.3ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, information technology, communication services and offset by utilities, health care, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Innocare.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 190 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 85.5% as of Jul 10th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.3ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, information technology, communication services and offset by utilities, health care, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Innocare.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 10th): Hua Hong Semi, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Innocare

Equity Capital Markets

Shanjin International Gold-A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Shanjin International Gold is seeking an A+H listing. CITIC, CICC, and UBS are the sponsors.</li>
<li>We look at the company's core segments: gold and non-ferrous metals mining and metal trading.</li>
<li>We discuss our preliminary thoughts on the company's valuation based on A-H premium.</li>
</ul>


Shanjin International Gold is seeking an A+H listing. CITIC, CICC, and UBS are the sponsors.
We look at the company's core segments: gold and non-ferrous metals mining and metal trading.
We discuss our preliminary thoughts on the company's valuation based on A-H premium.


Shanjin International Gold (山金国际) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

China

Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. is engaged in the production and sale of gold ingots. The Company also provides silver products. Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining operates its businesses in China.

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Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (600988 CH)

Opportunities Within Energy and Materials

Global indexes remain below our key lines in the sand of $54 on $ACWX, $75.25 on $EFA, and the 200-day MA on $ACWI. As long as prices are below...

Vermilion Research

Quam Morning Note (22 Jul)

The HSI settled at 25,132, down 10 pts or 0.04% for the day as investors remained on the sidelines ahead of Hong Kong's inflation data due later...

Quam Securities

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 17th): Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 10th): Hua Hong Semi, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Innocare

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hua Hong Semi, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Innocare.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanjin International Gold (山金国际) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Shanjin International Gold is seeking an A+H listing. In this note, we look at the company's business, its industry context and provide our early...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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