Analyst

Steve

Equity Bottom-Up

China Beststudy Education / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China after-school tutoring remains one of the most attractive and visible sectors in the next 2-3 years time frame. </li>
<li>Even though <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-techn-cc88998e-fe0d-4a03-b544-f3e9836b06a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:531:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (EDU US)</a> had some hiccups in FY3Q24 results, they were mainly due to factors not related to the core after-school tutoring business.</li>
<li>My sector top pick is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-beststudy-education-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40632:1" rel="noopener">China Beststudy Education Group (3978 HK)</a>, as valuation is lower and growth is higher, though it has a much smaller market cap..</li>
</ul>


China after-school tutoring remains one of the most attractive and visible sectors in the next 2-3 years time frame. 
Even though New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (EDU US) had some hiccups in FY3Q24 results, they were mainly due to factors not related to the core after-school tutoring business.
My sector top pick is China Beststudy Education Group (3978 HK), as valuation is lower and growth is higher, though it has a much smaller market cap..


China After-School Tutoring:  Still In The Early Innings; Prefer China Beststudy Over EDU

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-beststudy-education-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40632:1" rel="noopener">China Beststudy Education Group (3978 HK)</a> is a Chinese K12 tutoring company with the majority of the learning centers in the Greater Bay Area. </li>
<li>The company is trading at 5x forward PE (2024), and I expect earnings to grow &gt;100% in 2024 off of a low base, and &gt;30% in 2025.  </li>
<li>I believe a forward PE of 10x is reasonable and conservative, which is at a discount to the market leader EDU's current 20x.</li>
</ul>



China Beststudy Education Group (3978 HK) is a Chinese K12 tutoring company with the majority of the learning centers in the Greater Bay Area. 
The company is trading at 5x forward PE (2024), and I expect earnings to grow &gt;100% in 2024 off of a low base, and &gt;30% in 2025.  
I believe a forward PE of 10x is reasonable and conservative, which is at a discount to the market leader EDU's current 20x.


China Beststudy Education (3978 HK):  A Darkhorse Stock In The China Tutoring Sector

New Oriental Education & Techn / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Today, after Hong Kong market close, the Ministry of Education issued a new draft regulation on K12 tutoring. </li>
<li>I have written before on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-techn-cc88998e-fe0d-4a03-b544-f3e9836b06a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:531:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (EDU US)</a> and China Beststudy that there is now a equilibrium reached between all parties on tutoring in China. </li>
<li>The new draft regulation basically puts it into concrete policy, which should alleviate investor concern on the sector. </li>
</ul>


Today, after Hong Kong market close, the Ministry of Education issued a new draft regulation on K12 tutoring. 
I have written before on New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (EDU US) and China Beststudy that there is now a equilibrium reached between all parties on tutoring in China. 
The new draft regulation basically puts it into concrete policy, which should alleviate investor concern on the sector. 


EDU/TAL:  China Tutoring - Here Comes The Policy Tailwind

Hong Kong

China Beststudy Education provides after-school education services for K-12 students in China, including full-time test preparation, talent education, after-school tutoring, and vocational education. The company also engages in management consultancy, advertising, and internet information services. It was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

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China Beststudy Education (3978 HK)

China After-School Tutoring: Still In The Early Innings; Prefer China Beststudy Over EDU

China Beststudy Education (3978 HK) is up 15% today on good volume on the back of raised guidance for FY24 by management. The stock has more than...

Steve