Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>AH Premia are lower over the last few weeks of holiday and this past week of heavy SOUTHBOUND buying on telcos, banks, brokers, insurers, tech, and airlines.</li>
<li>The average AH Premium across all pairs is now the lowest it has been in five years.</li>
<li>INFO TECH and FINANCIALS saw significant H outperformance vs As this week. Most others (other than perhaps MATERIALS) were limited in their volatility. No bias by premium tranche seen.  </li>
</ul>


AH Premia are lower over the last few weeks of holiday and this past week of heavy SOUTHBOUND buying on telcos, banks, brokers, insurers, tech, and airlines.
The average AH Premium across all pairs is now the lowest it has been in five years.
INFO TECH and FINANCIALS saw significant H outperformance vs As this week. Most others (other than perhaps MATERIALS) were limited in their volatility. No bias by premium tranche seen.  


A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 Jan 2025):  AH Premia Fall Yet Again, Lowest Avg Premium in 5yrs... Again

China Citic Bank Corp Ltd H / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A-Shares only two days of the week and were up small Monday and Tuesday. H-shares took a breather Wednesday after trailing A-shares, then rallied hard on Thursday and Friday.</li>
<li>Net SOUTHBOUND buying was +HK11.3bn. Thursday saw a break of the SOUTHBOUND buying streak. </li>
<li>The big news in China markets this week was the idea that mainland investors through SOUTHBOUND would no longer be hit with a 20% w/h tax on dividends.</li>
</ul>


A-Shares only two days of the week and were up small Monday and Tuesday. H-shares took a breather Wednesday after trailing A-shares, then rallied hard on Thursday and Friday.
Net SOUTHBOUND buying was +HK11.3bn. Thursday saw a break of the SOUTHBOUND buying streak. 
The big news in China markets this week was the idea that mainland investors through SOUTHBOUND would no longer be hit with a 20% w/h tax on dividends.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 10 May 2024); Banks, Coal, and High-Div Energy/Materials Names

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China considers launching a stock stabilization fund which could release RmB800B in liquidity support for the market.  Securities firms and insurance companies will be the major beneficiaries.</li>
<li>The mega merger between  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a> could be the precursor to further industry consolidation.</li>
<li>Hong Kong trading volumes and IPO's set to surge as Beijing lifts sentiment.</li>
</ul>


China considers launching a stock stabilization fund which could release RmB800B in liquidity support for the market.  Securities firms and insurance companies will be the major beneficiaries.
The mega merger between  Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK) and Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) could be the precursor to further industry consolidation.
Hong Kong trading volumes and IPO's set to surge as Beijing lifts sentiment.


Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/citic-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20590:1" rel="noopener">Citic Ltd (267 HK)</a> is a well-managed conglomerate trading at a big discount to its constituent parts</li>
<li>Earnings should move up from here and pays a decent dividend while you wait.</li>
<li>A member of both the the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)  and the HSCCI and will attract inflows once institutional money returns</li>
</ul>



Citic Ltd (267 HK) is a well-managed conglomerate trading at a big discount to its constituent parts
Earnings should move up from here and pays a decent dividend while you wait.
A member of both the the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)  and the HSCCI and will attract inflows once institutional money returns


Citic Limited - A Deeply Discounted Conglomerate in the Hang Seng Index

<ul>
<li>AH Premia are lower over the last few weeks of holiday and this past week of heavy SOUTHBOUND buying on telcos, banks, brokers, insurers, tech, and airlines.</li>
<li>The average AH Premium across all pairs is now the lowest it has been in five years.</li>
<li>The VERY WIDE Tech spreads bifurcated. SMIC (981) and Shanghai Fudan Microelectric (1385) both continued strongly. China Rail Signal (3969) and Flat Glass (6865) widened again.</li>
</ul>


AH Premia are lower over the last few weeks of holiday and this past week of heavy SOUTHBOUND buying on telcos, banks, brokers, insurers, tech, and airlines.
The average AH Premium across all pairs is now the lowest it has been in five years.
The VERY WIDE Tech spreads bifurcated. SMIC (981) and Shanghai Fudan Microelectric (1385) both continued strongly. China Rail Signal (3969) and Flat Glass (6865) widened again.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 17 Jan 2025):  AH Premia Fall Further, Lowest Avg Premium in 5yrs

China

China CITIC Bank Corporation Limited provides banking services. The Company offers deposits, loans, domestic settlement,  currency trading, bank guarantee, and other services. China CITIC Bank provides its services to individuals, enterprises, and other clients.

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China Citic Bank Corp Ltd H (998 HK)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 Jan 2025): AH Premia Fall Yet Again, Lowest Avg Premium in 5yrs... Again

Tech and Financials were big movers for the week in H/A spreads. AH Premia are, on average, at the tightest levels in 5yrs but there are still...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 10 May 2024); Banks, Coal, and High-Div Energy/Materials Names

SOUTHBOUND flows lost their buy streak with a second net sell day since Chinese New Year, but HK performed well with HSI almost to 19,000....

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong/China Brokers: TAKE THE OFFER!

The HK/China brokers: 6030, 3908, 6886, 6806, 6881, 1776, 6178, 1456, 165, and 6099 have gained between 90% and 100% since the report was published...

David Mudd

Citic Limited - A Deeply Discounted Conglomerate in the Hang Seng Index

Tradeable rally for the Hang Seng Index in motion. Conglomerates have been leading the market (as noted by @David Mudd here BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong...

Rikki Malik

A/H Premium Tracker (To 17 Jan 2025): AH Premia Fall Further, Lowest Avg Premium in 5yrs

AH Premia are now the at the lowest average level in 5yrs. Foreigners appear to continue to sell As. Wide spreads are still a buy.

Travis Lundy

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