Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry. </li>
<li>Overall, net inflow was ~US$1.1bn, split evenly (roughly) between Shanghai and Shenzhen. </li>
<li>The largest inflows were into  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry. 
Overall, net inflow was ~US$1.1bn, split evenly (roughly) between Shanghai and Shenzhen. 
The largest inflows were into  China Mobile (941 HK) and CNOOC Ltd (883 HK). The largest outflows were in Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) and BYD (1211 HK).


Shanghai/​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (27 May 2022)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Orient Overseas International / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas International</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-hongqiao-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1909:1" rel="noopener">China Hongqiao</a> plus the deletion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies Holdings</a> takes us to 69 index stocks.</li>
<li>Changes to the stocks, number of shares, float and capping result in an estimated one-way turnover is 3.43% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$7,444m.</li>
<li>There is huge short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-hongqiao-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1909:1" rel="noopener">China Hongqiao (1378 HK)</a> and there could be some short covering from now to implementation.</li>
</ul>


The inclusion of Orient Overseas International, Zhongsheng Group, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) and China Hongqiao plus the deletion of AAC Technologies Holdings takes us to 69 index stocks.
Changes to the stocks, number of shares, float and capping result in an estimated one-way turnover is 3.43% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$7,444m.
There is huge short interest on Zhongsheng Group (881 HK) and China Hongqiao (1378 HK) and there could be some short covering from now to implementation.


HSI Index Rebalance: Four Weddings & A Funeral

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry. </li>
<li>Overall, the total value increased US$12.5bn in the past week, with Shanghai accounting for US$5.7bn and Shenzhen US$6.8bn. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> is the dominant holding across both programs</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/glory-sun-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17758:1" rel="noopener">Glory Sun Financial Group Limited (1282 HK)</a> saw the biggest upward movement as the chairman sold to pay off debt. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-south-city-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8205:1" rel="noopener">China South City (1668 HK)</a> was reduced by both programs. </li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry. 
Overall, the total value increased US$12.5bn in the past week, with Shanghai accounting for US$5.7bn and Shenzhen US$6.8bn. Tencent (700 HK) is the dominant holding across both programs

Glory Sun Financial Group Limited (1282 HK) saw the biggest upward movement as the chairman sold to pay off debt. China South City (1668 HK) was reduced by both programs. 


Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (20 May 2022)

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Depth: 'Zero Covid' slams the brakes on China’s electric car industry</li><li>Shanghai’s Covid hospitals struggle to handle patients with other serious illnesses</li><li>Exclusive: China’s ‘Big Four’ banks to start pilot program for retirement savings products</li></ul>

In Depth: 'Zero Covid' slams the brakes on China’s electric car industryShanghai’s Covid hospitals struggle to handle patients with other serious illnessesExclusive: China’s ‘Big Four’ banks to start pilot program for retirement savings products

CX Daily: 'Zero Covid' Slams the Brakes on China’s Electric Car Industry

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Last evening <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a> announced a special div of HK$1.18/share - that is higher than market expectations. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> could announce a special div next week.</li>
<li>Fair value for the HSCEI 2022 dividend futures moves higher to 250 DIPS off the back of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd</a>'s special div and the estimated <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> special div.</li>
<li>The HSCEI 2022/23 steepener had dropped to -29 yesterday and should drop even lower today where we could see some covering.</li>
</ul>


Last evening CNOOC Ltd (883 HK) announced a special div of HK$1.18/share - that is higher than market expectations. JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) could announce a special div next week.
Fair value for the HSCEI 2022 dividend futures moves higher to 250 DIPS off the back of CNOOC Ltd's special div and the estimated JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) special div.
The HSCEI 2022/23 steepener had dropped to -29 yesterday and should drop even lower today where we could see some covering.


HSCEI Dividend Futures: CNOOC Special Drives 2022 Fair Value Higher, 22/23 Steepener Lower

China

China Construction Bank Corporation provides banking services. The Company offers deposits, loans, fund management, foreign exchange, and other services. China Construction Bank provides its services to individuals, enterprises, and other clients.

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China Construction Bank (601939 CH)

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (27 May 2022)

Overall, the total value increased US$1.8bn in the past week, with Shanghai accounting for US$1.9bn and Shenzhen (~US$0.2bn).

David Blennerhassett

HSI Index Rebalance: Four Weddings & A Funeral

There are 4 adds & 1 delete to take the number of HSI members to 69. There is reasonable impact on the stocks and huge short interest on some of...

Brian Freitas

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (20 May 2022)

Overall, the total value increased US$12.5bn, with Shanghai accounting for US$5.7bn and Shenzhen US$6.8bn. Glory Sun saw the biggest upward...

David Blennerhassett

CX Daily: 'Zero Covid' Slams the Brakes on China’s Electric Car Industry

In Depth: 'Zero Covid' slams the brakes on China’s electric car industry. Shanghai’s Covid hospitals struggle to handle patients with other serious...

Caixin Global

HSCEI Dividend Futures: CNOOC Special Drives 2022 Fair Value Higher, 22/23 Steepener Lower

The CNOOC special div and the potential JD.com special div pushes the fair value for the 2022 div futures higher. With no change to the fair value...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shanghai/​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (27 May 2022)

Overall, the total value increased US$1.8bn in the past week, with Shanghai accounting for US$1.9bn and Shenzhen (~US$0.2bn).

David Blennerhassett

HSI Index Rebalance: Four Weddings & A Funeral

There are 4 adds & 1 delete to take the number of HSI members to 69. There is reasonable impact on the stocks and huge short interest on some of...

Brian Freitas

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (20 May 2022)

Overall, the total value increased US$12.5bn, with Shanghai accounting for US$5.7bn and Shenzhen US$6.8bn. Glory Sun saw the biggest upward...

David Blennerhassett

CX Daily: 'Zero Covid' Slams the Brakes on China’s Electric Car Industry

In Depth: 'Zero Covid' slams the brakes on China’s electric car industry. Shanghai’s Covid hospitals struggle to handle patients with other serious...

Caixin Global

HSCEI Dividend Futures: CNOOC Special Drives 2022 Fair Value Higher, 22/23 Steepener Lower

The CNOOC special div and the potential JD.com special div pushes the fair value for the 2022 div futures higher. With no change to the fair value...

Brian Freitas

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (27 May 2022)