Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Q1 saw record quarterly inflows by SOUTHBOUND investors at HK$435bn, beating the previous record of Q1 2021 by more than HK$100bn. The first two weeks in April were HK$145bn. </li>
<li>The first two weeks in April were HK$145bn as what appeared to be national team, or equally patriotic buyers, showed up droves to buy financials, energy, telecoms, and big techs.</li>
<li>Included is a summary of important China Stocks-relevant news as I saw it this week, but frankly, the only thing that matters is the back and forth by the Donald.</li>
</ul>


Q1 saw record quarterly inflows by SOUTHBOUND investors at HK$435bn, beating the previous record of Q1 2021 by more than HK$100bn. The first two weeks in April were HK$145bn. 
The first two weeks in April were HK$145bn as what appeared to be national team, or equally patriotic buyers, showed up droves to buy financials, energy, telecoms, and big techs.
Included is a summary of important China Stocks-relevant news as I saw it this week, but frankly, the only thing that matters is the back and forth by the Donald.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 11 Apr 2025); Record Net Buying

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of Alibaba, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Guotai Junan, Ke.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows of Alibaba, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Guotai Junan, Ke.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (March): $24 Bn Monthly Inflows

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Several Chinese banks have handed out loans to support selected tech firms’ merger-and-acquisition (M&amp;A) deals under a newly launched pilot program to improve access to credit for innovative businesses.</li><li>China Construction Bank, one of the country’s biggest state-owned lenders, has issued 190 million yuan ($26.3 million) in an M&amp;A loan to a publicly listed tech firm in Suzhou, Jiangsu province, people familiar with the deal told Caixin.</li><li>The loan, covering 80% of the acquisition cost with an eight-year term, is the first loan of this type disbursed by a large state bank after the easing M&amp;A loan policies by financial regulators to help tech enterprises.</li></ul>

Several Chinese banks have handed out loans to support selected tech firms’ merger-and-acquisition (M&amp;A) deals under a newly launched pilot program to improve access to credit for innovative businesses.China Construction Bank, one of the country’s biggest state-owned lenders, has issued 190 million yuan ($26.3 million) in an M&amp;A loan to a publicly listed tech firm in Suzhou, Jiangsu province, people familiar with the deal told Caixin.The loan, covering 80% of the acquisition cost with an eight-year term, is the first loan of this type disbursed by a large state bank after the easing M&amp;A loan policies by financial regulators to help tech enterprises.

Chinese Banks Relax Loan Terms to Fuel Tech Sector M&A Deals 

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-and-commercial-bank-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (H) (1398 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ind-comm-bk-of-china-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:494:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (A) (601398 CH)</a> is scheduled to report its annual 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, 17:30-18:30, Beijing time. 
</li>
<li>
Expected Price Movement: Option implied movement and historically recorded movement both indicate price action comparable to that of a typical trading day. </li>
<li>
Dividend Outlook: ICBC has switched to semi-annual dividends, with current yields at 6.0% for H shares and 4.5% for A shares. The bank has a history of dividend increases.</li>
</ul>



ICBC (H) (1398 HK) / ICBC (A) (601398 CH) is scheduled to report its annual 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, 17:30-18:30, Beijing time. 


Expected Price Movement: Option implied movement and historically recorded movement both indicate price action comparable to that of a typical trading day. 

Dividend Outlook: ICBC has switched to semi-annual dividends, with current yields at 6.0% for H shares and 4.5% for A shares. The bank has a history of dividend increases.


ICBC (1398 HK) Earnings on 28 Mar: Anticipated Price Move and Strategy

China Construction Bank H / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-construction-bank-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45:1" rel="noopener">China Construction Bank H (939 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-construction-bank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24567:1" rel="noopener">China Construction Bank (601939 CH)</a> is scheduled to report its annual 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, 17:00-18:15, Beijing time. 
</li>
<li>
Expected Price Movement: Option implied movement and historically recorded movement both indicate muted price action after earnings.</li>
<li>
Dividend Outlook: CCB has switched to semi-annual dividends, with current yields at 6.4% for H shares and 4.7% for A shares. The bank has a history of dividend increases.</li>
</ul>



China Construction Bank H (939 HK) / China Construction Bank (601939 CH) is scheduled to report its annual 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, 17:00-18:15, Beijing time. 


Expected Price Movement: Option implied movement and historically recorded movement both indicate muted price action after earnings.

Dividend Outlook: CCB has switched to semi-annual dividends, with current yields at 6.4% for H shares and 4.7% for A shares. The bank has a history of dividend increases.


China Construction Bank (939 HK/601939 CH) Earnings on 28 Mar: Anticipated Price Move and Strategy

China

China Construction Bank Corporation provides a comprehensive range of commercial banking products and services to individuals and corporate customers. The Bank's business consists of three principal business segments: corporate banking, personal banking, and treasury operations. China Construction Bank also services infrastructure loans, residential mortgage, and bank cards.

Price Gauge
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China Construction Bank H (939 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 11 Apr 2025); Record Net Buying

SOUTHBOUND saw a record week of net buying of HK at +82.25bn. Tech (including Consumer Disc name Alibaba) were the big net buys. SOE banks, tech,...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (March): $24 Bn Monthly Inflows

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for March and highlighted flows for Alibaba, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Guotai Junan, Ke.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Chinese Banks Relax Loan Terms to Fuel Tech Sector M&A Deals

Several Chinese banks have handed out loans to support selected tech firms’ merger-and-acquisition (M&A) deals under a newly launched pilot...

Caixin Global

ICBC (1398 HK) Earnings on 28 Mar: Anticipated Price Move and Strategy

ICBC to report 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, with expected price movement similar to a typical trading day. Investment decisions might...

Gaudenz Schneider

China Construction Bank (939 HK/601939 CH) Earnings on 28 Mar: Anticipated Price Move and Strategy

China Construction Bank to report 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, with muted price movement expected post-earnings and a history of...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 11 Apr 2025); Record Net Buying

SOUTHBOUND saw a record week of net buying of HK at +82.25bn. Tech (including Consumer Disc name Alibaba) were the big net buys. SOE banks, tech,...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (March): $24 Bn Monthly Inflows

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for March and highlighted flows for Alibaba, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Guotai Junan, Ke.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Chinese Banks Relax Loan Terms to Fuel Tech Sector M&A Deals

Several Chinese banks have handed out loans to support selected tech firms’ merger-and-acquisition (M&A) deals under a newly launched pilot...

Caixin Global

ICBC (1398 HK) Earnings on 28 Mar: Anticipated Price Move and Strategy

​ICBC to report 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, with expected price movement similar to a typical trading day. Investment decisions might...

Gaudenz Schneider

China Construction Bank (939 HK/601939 CH) Earnings on 28 Mar: Anticipated Price Move and Strategy

​China Construction Bank to report 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, with muted price movement expected post-earnings and a history of...

Gaudenz Schneider

ICBC to report 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, with expected price movement similar to a typical trading day. Investment decisions might...

China Construction Bank to report 2024 financial results on 28 March 2025, with muted price movement expected post-earnings and a history of...