Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) have marginally broken above the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range of $93 on ACWI-US.</li>
<li>In our 4/18/23 Int’l MacroVision we acknowledged that a break above $93 and a reach to $96-$97 was also possible – and so far, this is what has played out.</li>
<li>We will continue to watch the $93 level for a potential false breakout, but as long as the ACWI-US is above $90.50, we cannot be bearish.</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI) have marginally broken above the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range of $93 on ACWI-US.
In our 4/18/23 Int’l MacroVision we acknowledged that a break above $93 and a reach to $96-$97 was also possible – and so far, this is what has played out.
We will continue to watch the $93 level for a potential false breakout, but as long as the ACWI-US is above $90.50, we cannot be bearish.


MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Over the past 2 years, Industrials exposure has almost doubled among China A-Share active investors.  Today's weight of 18.7% and overweight of 1.69% are near peak levels.</li>
<li>The most widely held stocks in the sector are CATL (A), Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH), Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co. (300124 CH) and EVE Energy (300014 CH)</li>
<li>Weight increases in the Industrials sector far outweighed decreases over the last half of 2021. Sungrow Power Supply (300274 CH) and NARI Technology Co (600406 CH) were among the beneficiaries.</li>
</ul>


Over the past 2 years, Industrials exposure has almost doubled among China A-Share active investors.  Today's weight of 18.7% and overweight of 1.69% are near peak levels.
The most widely held stocks in the sector are CATL (A), Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH), Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co. (300124 CH) and EVE Energy (300014 CH)
Weight increases in the Industrials sector far outweighed decreases over the last half of 2021. Sungrow Power Supply (300274 CH) and NARI Technology Co (600406 CH) were among the beneficiaries.


Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Jul 17th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD381,388m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, PING AN INSURANCE, ZHANGZHOU PIENTZEHUANG PHARMACEUTICAL, BOE, Moutai.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Jul 17th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD381,388m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, PING AN INSURANCE, ZHANGZHOU PIENTZEHUANG PHARMACEUTICAL, BOE, Moutai.


A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 17th): CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, PING AN INSURANCE, BOE, Moutai

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Jul 3rd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD406,502m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in TONGHUA GOLDEN-HORSE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY, ZHEJIANG XINAN CHEMICAL INDUSTRIAL, GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES, OMNIVISOIN INTEGRATED CIRCUITS, BOE.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Jul 3rd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD406,502m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in TONGHUA GOLDEN-HORSE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY, ZHEJIANG XINAN CHEMICAL INDUSTRIAL, GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES, OMNIVISOIN INTEGRATED CIRCUITS, BOE.


A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 3rd): TONGHUA GOLDEN-HORSE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY, BOE

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on POLY DEVELOPMENTS, CHINA PETROLEUM AND CHEMICAL, Longi Green, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, SATELLITE CHEMICAL, HENGLI PETROCHEMICAL, CHONGQING ZHIFEI BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, YUNNAN ALUMINIUM.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on POLY DEVELOPMENTS, CHINA PETROLEUM AND CHEMICAL, Longi Green, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, SATELLITE CHEMICAL, HENGLI PETROCHEMICAL, CHONGQING ZHIFEI BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, YUNNAN ALUMINIUM.


CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jun): POLY DEVELOPMENTS, CHINA PETROLEUM AND CHEMICAL

China

China CSSC Holdings Ltd. offers shipbuilding, ship components, ship repairing and diesel engines manufacturing. The Company distributes its products within the domestic market and to overseas markets.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China CSSC Holdings Ltd A (600150 CH)

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM $TSM #Samsung $BABA; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece. $ACWI break above $93 and...

Vermilion Research

China A-Shares: Industrials Revolution

Over the past 2 years, Industrials exposure has almost doubled among China A-Share active investors. Today's weight of 18.7% and overweight of...

Steven Holden

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jun): POLY DEVELOPMENTS, CHINA PETROLEUM AND CHEMICAL

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for Jun 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in POLY DEVELOPMENTS (600048 CH), CHINA PETROLEUM AND CHEMICAL (600028...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM $TSM #Samsung $BABA; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece. $ACWI break above $93 and...

Vermilion Research

China A-Shares: Industrials Revolution

Over the past 2 years, Industrials exposure has almost doubled among China A-Share active investors. Today's weight of 18.7% and overweight of...

Steven Holden

A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 17th): CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, PING AN INSURANCE, BOE, Moutai

We analyzed A-share margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, PING AN INSURANCE, ZHANGZHOU...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 3rd): TONGHUA GOLDEN-HORSE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY, BOE

We analyzed A-share margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted TONGHUA GOLDEN-HORSE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY (000766 CH),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jun): POLY DEVELOPMENTS, CHINA PETROLEUM AND CHEMICAL

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for Jun 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in POLY DEVELOPMENTS (600048 CH), CHINA PETROLEUM AND CHEMICAL (600028...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM