HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China Power International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15548:1" rel="noopener">China Power International (2380 HK)</a>'s Jan power sales showed a sharp 41.2% YoY growth. More importantly, this marks sustaining a solid MoM trend in the last few months. </li>
<li>Recovery of the hydropower generation is encouraging as this was a drag last year. Meanwhile, higher coal-fired generation will capture the better profitability of this segment.</li>
<li>CPI's strongest earnings CAGR in the sector has made its earnings multiples increasingly cheap over the next two years. After +15.7% YTD in its share price, there is further upside.</li>
</ul>



China Power International (2380 HK)'s Jan power sales showed a sharp 41.2% YoY growth. More importantly, this marks sustaining a solid MoM trend in the last few months. 
Recovery of the hydropower generation is encouraging as this was a drag last year. Meanwhile, higher coal-fired generation will capture the better profitability of this segment.
CPI's strongest earnings CAGR in the sector has made its earnings multiples increasingly cheap over the next two years. After +15.7% YTD in its share price, there is further upside.


China Power International (2380 HK): We See More Upside

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s largest state-owned companies have poured hundreds of billions of yuan into wind and solar power projects, putting the country on course to hit its clean energy target six years ahead of schedule.</li><li>But the investment frenzy has also raised concerns over profitability and waste.</li><li>China has seen explosive growth in photovoltaic and wind power over the past three years as Beijing pushes to achieve a carbon peak by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060. To meet these goals, China in 2020 set a target to install 1.2 billion kilowatts of wind and solar power capacity by 2030. The country has moved faster than planned.</li></ul>

China’s largest state-owned companies have poured hundreds of billions of yuan into wind and solar power projects, putting the country on course to hit its clean energy target six years ahead of schedule.But the investment frenzy has also raised concerns over profitability and waste.China has seen explosive growth in photovoltaic and wind power over the past three years as Beijing pushes to achieve a carbon peak by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060. To meet these goals, China in 2020 set a target to install 1.2 billion kilowatts of wind and solar power capacity by 2030. The country has moved faster than planned.

State Companies’ Rush to Clean Energy Sparks Bubble Fears 

<ul>
<li>Power output for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15548:1" rel="noopener">China Power International (2380 HK)</a> is healthy in Jul-Aug, following the solid trend in 1H23. The drop in hydropower has moderated and wind and solar stayed decent.</li>
<li>Capacity growth will reach 43% in FY23. With just 7.8% YoY in 1H23, most of the new capacity will be added in 4Q23, accelerating both output and profitability.</li>
<li>The parent SPIC's massive clean energy assets are candidates for potential injection. CPI's high EPS CAGR of 28.8% means that it well deserves premium valuation multiples. </li>
</ul>


Power output for China Power International (2380 HK) is healthy in Jul-Aug, following the solid trend in 1H23. The drop in hydropower has moderated and wind and solar stayed decent.
Capacity growth will reach 43% in FY23. With just 7.8% YoY in 1H23, most of the new capacity will be added in 4Q23, accelerating both output and profitability.
The parent SPIC's massive clean energy assets are candidates for potential injection. CPI's high EPS CAGR of 28.8% means that it well deserves premium valuation multiples. 


China Power International (2380 HK): Continuing the Turnaround Trend

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into ICBC,  CCB, Meituan, Innovent Biologics, Xpeng and outflows from Petrochina.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into ICBC,  CCB, Meituan, Innovent Biologics, Xpeng and outflows from Petrochina.


Hong Kong Connect Flows: $7.3bn of Inflows in September

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-longyuan-power-group-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14215:1" rel="noopener">China Longyuan Power (916 HK)</a> is now attractively priced at 5.9x and 5.2x PERs for FY23 and FY24, respectively. The 2Q23 result clearly showed that business is gathering momentum.</li>
<li>Margins have demonstrated good improvement despite weaker tariffs and coal sale business. With a very low base in last year, its 2H23 earnings growth will be impressive.</li>
<li>There is positive progress on new project sign-up which has secured its pipeline. Asset injection from parent will stay as a major theme in the next two years.</li>
</ul>



China Longyuan Power (916 HK) is now attractively priced at 5.9x and 5.2x PERs for FY23 and FY24, respectively. The 2Q23 result clearly showed that business is gathering momentum.
Margins have demonstrated good improvement despite weaker tariffs and coal sale business. With a very low base in last year, its 2H23 earnings growth will be impressive.
There is positive progress on new project sign-up which has secured its pipeline. Asset injection from parent will stay as a major theme in the next two years.


China Longyuan (916 HK): Value Has Definitely Emerged

China

China Datang Corporation Renewable Power Company Ltd. generates electricity from renewable resources.  The Company operates wind farms and hydroelectric power plants.

China Datang Corp Renewable Power (1798 HK)

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China Datang Corp Renewable Power (1798 HK)

China Power International (2380 HK): We See More Upside

CPI saw a strong 41.2% growth in Jan power sales, sustaining a solid MoM trend. Recovery in hydropower and higher coal-fired generation will boost...

Osbert Tang, CFA

State Companies’ Rush to Clean Energy Sparks Bubble Fears

China’s largest state-owned companies have poured hundreds of billions of yuan into wind and solar power projects, putting the country on course...

Caixin Global

China Power International (2380 HK): Continuing the Turnaround Trend

CPI's capacity growth is expected to reach 43% in FY23, with most of them to be added in 4Q23, boosting output and profitability. Its high EPS CAGR...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows: $7.3bn of Inflows in September

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for September and highlight flows for ICBC, CCB, Meituan, Innovent Biologics, Xpeng and Petrochina.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Longyuan (916 HK): Value Has Definitely Emerged

Longyuan is attractively priced and showing strong business momentum, with improved margins and impressive growth. New project sign-ups and asset...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Power International (2380 HK): We See More Upside

CPI saw a strong 41.2% growth in Jan power sales, sustaining a solid MoM trend. Recovery in hydropower and higher coal-fired generation will boost...

Osbert Tang, CFA

State Companies’ Rush to Clean Energy Sparks Bubble Fears

China’s largest state-owned companies have poured hundreds of billions of yuan into wind and solar power projects, putting the country on course...

Caixin Global

China Power International (2380 HK): Continuing the Turnaround Trend

CPI's capacity growth is expected to reach 43% in FY23, with most of them to be added in 4Q23, boosting output and profitability. Its high EPS CAGR...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows: $7.3bn of Inflows in September

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for September and highlight flows for ICBC, CCB, Meituan, Innovent Biologics, Xpeng and Petrochina.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Longyuan (916 HK): Value Has Definitely Emerged

​Longyuan is attractively priced and showing strong business momentum, with improved margins and impressive growth. New project sign-ups and asset...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Longyuan is attractively priced and showing strong business momentum, with improved margins and impressive growth. New project sign-ups and asset...