Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>AI is poised to drive a large increase in power consumption on the mainland.  Data demand from generative AI necessitates more data centers and consequently more power.</li>
<li>China energy consumption is at the beginning of a super cycle as AI becomes integral to everyday corporate and eventually personal lives.</li>
<li>China's clean energy names will benefit from the China's energy strategy as its power needs from data centers surge.</li>
</ul>


AI is poised to drive a large increase in power consumption on the mainland.  Data demand from generative AI necessitates more data centers and consequently more power.
China energy consumption is at the beginning of a super cycle as AI becomes integral to everyday corporate and eventually personal lives.
China's clean energy names will benefit from the China's energy strategy as its power needs from data centers surge.


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong continued a correction in its Bull market which has lifted the HSCEI to be the best performing Asian index this year.  Southboune buying is strong.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)</a> share price had a breakout relative to the MSCI AC Asia Index.  The company reported solid results benifitting from the smartphone and auto sectors.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cgn-power-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:58:1" rel="noopener">CGN Power (1816 HK)</a> share price relative to MSCI China broke down.  The company reported a disappointing 3Q24 results even as power generation increased by 15% YoY for the period.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong continued a correction in its Bull market which has lifted the HSCEI to be the best performing Asian index this year.  Southboune buying is strong.

AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK) share price had a breakout relative to the MSCI AC Asia Index.  The company reported solid results benifitting from the smartphone and auto sectors.


CGN Power (1816 HK) share price relative to MSCI China broke down.  The company reported a disappointing 3Q24 results even as power generation increased by 15% YoY for the period.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (NOVEMBER 25)

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong market has been range-trading over the last month, with pockets of strength in the AI-related sectors.  Korea and Taiwan markets are the star performers in Asia YTD.</li>
<li>Value and dividend yield factors have been the best-performing in the market, with the growth factor showing negative returns.  Energy, industrials, and conglomerates are the best-performing sectors YTD.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huaneng-power-international-inc-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28:1" rel="noopener">Huaneng Power International (902 HK)</a> broke out to new highs.  The company has rapidly expanded its renewable energy segment and has benefited from AI/datacenter demand.
</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong market has been range-trading over the last month, with pockets of strength in the AI-related sectors.  Korea and Taiwan markets are the star performers in Asia YTD.
Value and dividend yield factors have been the best-performing in the market, with the growth factor showing negative returns.  Energy, industrials, and conglomerates are the best-performing sectors YTD.

Huaneng Power International (902 HK) broke out to new highs.  The company has rapidly expanded its renewable energy segment and has benefited from AI/datacenter demand.



Technically Speaking Breakouts & Breakdowns - HONG KONG (May 2026)

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong has entered a consolidation stage of its long-term Secular Bull Market.  Southbound buying declined in October from an all time high in the previous month.</li>
<li>Dividend yield and low volatility factors outperformed in October as growth and momentum factors declined.  </li>
<li>The technology and healthcare sectors declined in October, while the energy and utility sectors gained during the month.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong has entered a consolidation stage of its long-term Secular Bull Market.  Southbound buying declined in October from an all time high in the previous month.
Dividend yield and low volatility factors outperformed in October as growth and momentum factors declined.  
The technology and healthcare sectors declined in October, while the energy and utility sectors gained during the month.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (November 5)

<ul>
<li>The energy, materials and tech sectors have lost momentum, while telecoms and utilities sectors lead the market.  Consumer sectors are lagging.  HSCI has dipped below its 200 day moving average.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-china-gas-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:375:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong &amp; China Gas (3 HK)</a> breaks to the upside as investors seek safety and yield.  
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina (857 HK)</a> has broken down relative to the MSCI China index and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/travelsky-technology-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19829:1" rel="noopener">Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK)</a> breaks down from a triangle formation  but downside is limited.
</li>
</ul>


The energy, materials and tech sectors have lost momentum, while telecoms and utilities sectors lead the market.  Consumer sectors are lagging.  HSCI has dipped below its 200 day moving average.

Hong Kong &amp; China Gas (3 HK) breaks to the upside as investors seek safety and yield.  


PetroChina (857 HK) has broken down relative to the MSCI China index and Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK) breaks down from a triangle formation  but downside is limited.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 31)

China

China Datang Renewable Power is a leading operator in China's renewable energy sector, primarily engaged in the development, investment, construction, and management of wind and solar power projects. The company also focuses on low-carbon technology research and renewable energy equipment services. It was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Beijing, People's Republic of China.

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China Datang Renewable Power (1798 HK)

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Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (NOVEMBER 25)

Southbound buying in HK continued strong with Value Factor providing the best returns.AAC Tech share price had a break out as it provided strong...

David Mudd

Technically Speaking Breakouts & Breakdowns - HONG KONG (May 2026)

The Hong Kong market has been range-trading over the last month, with pockets of strength in the AI-related sectors. Korea and Taiwan markets are...

David Mudd

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (November 5)

Hong Kong has entered a consolidation stage of its long-term Secular Bull Market. Southbound buying declined in October from an all time high in...

David Mudd

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 31)

Utilities and telecom sectors have gained favor in HK as investors seek low volatility and dividend yield. Hong Kong China Gas has formed a...

David Mudd

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