HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Sequential passenger traffic improvement makes us believe that the worst was over for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8239:1" rel="noopener">Air China (753 HK)</a>. We expect it continues the YTD outperformance vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8239:1" rel="noopener">Air China Ltd (753 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>With the pandemic under control and government's focus on the economy, the release of pent-up demand will be a major driver. We have also seen relaxation in pandemic control measures.</li>
<li>Increase in flight destinations and loosening of travel restrictions and quarantine requirements in Hong Kong should benefit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a> which now anticipates lower losses YoY in 1H22.</li>
</ul>


Sequential passenger traffic improvement makes us believe that the worst was over for Air China (753 HK). We expect it continues the YTD outperformance vs. Air China Ltd (753 HK). 
With the pandemic under control and government's focus on the economy, the release of pent-up demand will be a major driver. We have also seen relaxation in pandemic control measures.
Increase in flight destinations and loosening of travel restrictions and quarantine requirements in Hong Kong should benefit Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK) which now anticipates lower losses YoY in 1H22.


Air China (753 HK): Positioned to Ride on the Coming Upturn

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul>
<li>National flag carrier Air China Ltd. (601111.SH) is planning to take control of Shandong Airlines as part of a bailout of the debt-ridden regional airline, it said this week.</li>
<li>The state-owned giant is stepping in as its smaller peer suffers along with the rest of the country’s civil aviation industry, with companies racking up huge losses due to the Covid-19 pandemic.</li>
<li>Air China is already the second-largest shareholder of Shandong Airlines Group Co. Ltd. with a 49.4% stake</li>
</ul>


National flag carrier Air China Ltd. (601111.SH) is planning to take control of Shandong Airlines as part of a bailout of the debt-ridden regional airline, it said this week.
The state-owned giant is stepping in as its smaller peer suffers along with the rest of the country’s civil aviation industry, with companies racking up huge losses due to the Covid-19 pandemic.
Air China is already the second-largest shareholder of Shandong Airlines Group Co. Ltd. with a 49.4% stake


Air China to Take Over Embattled Regional Airline

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Depth: 'Zero Covid' slams the brakes on China’s electric car industry</li><li>Shanghai’s Covid hospitals struggle to handle patients with other serious illnesses</li><li>Exclusive: China’s ‘Big Four’ banks to start pilot program for retirement savings products</li></ul>

In Depth: 'Zero Covid' slams the brakes on China’s electric car industryShanghai’s Covid hospitals struggle to handle patients with other serious illnessesExclusive: China’s ‘Big Four’ banks to start pilot program for retirement savings products

CX Daily: 'Zero Covid' Slams the Brakes on China’s Electric Car Industry

<ul><li>Shanghai / Cover Story: The disrupted lifelines of the Shanghai outbreak</li><li>GDP / China’s first-quarter GDP growth beats expectations with 4.8% rise</li><li>Banking / China Merchants Bank president removed from his position</li></ul>

Shanghai / Cover Story: The disrupted lifelines of the Shanghai outbreakGDP / China’s first-quarter GDP growth beats expectations with 4.8% riseBanking / China Merchants Bank president removed from his position

CX Daily: The Disrupted Lifelines of the Shanghai Outbreak

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8239:1" rel="noopener">Air China Ltd (H) (753 HK)</a> has weaker passenger traffic in Mar and 1Q22 when compared with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-southern-airlines-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1078:1" rel="noopener">China Southern Airlines (1055 HK)</a>, and this is mostly due to the Olympics.</li>
<li>We expect one-off factors to remove starting Apr and traffic gap against CSA will narrow going forward. Its associate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific (293 HK)</a> has also seen good pick-up in Mar. </li>
<li>Air China outperformed CSA by 8pp YTD. There are signs of quarantine requirement relaxation for incoming passengers, and we anticipate gradual international traffic recovery to bode well for Air China.</li>
</ul>



Air China Ltd (H) (753 HK) has weaker passenger traffic in Mar and 1Q22 when compared with China Southern Airlines (1055 HK), and this is mostly due to the Olympics.
We expect one-off factors to remove starting Apr and traffic gap against CSA will narrow going forward. Its associate Cathay Pacific (293 HK) has also seen good pick-up in Mar. 
Air China outperformed CSA by 8pp YTD. There are signs of quarantine requirement relaxation for incoming passengers, and we anticipate gradual international traffic recovery to bode well for Air China.


Air China (753 HK): Weaker 1Q22 Due to Exceptional Factors

China

China Eastern Airlines Corporation Limited operates airline businesses. The Company provides passenger transport, air freight, air catering, and other related services. China Eastern Airlines conducts businesses worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Eastern Airlines Lt (600115 CH)

Air China (753 HK): Positioned to Ride on the Coming Upturn

Air China starts to feel the bottoming-out of passenger traffic in May. The pandemic has now under control and with more relaxation in quarantine...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Air China to Take Over Embattled Regional Airline

National flag carrier Air China Ltd. (601111.SH) is planning to take control of Shandong Airlines as part of a bailout of the debt-ridden regional...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: 'Zero Covid' Slams the Brakes on China’s Electric Car Industry

In Depth: 'Zero Covid' slams the brakes on China’s electric car industry. Shanghai’s Covid hospitals struggle to handle patients with other serious...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: The Disrupted Lifelines of the Shanghai Outbreak

Cover Story: The disrupted lifelines of the Shanghai outbreak. China’s first-quarter GDP growth beats expectations with 4.8% rise

Caixin Global

Air China (753 HK): Weaker 1Q22 Due to Exceptional Factors

Air China will see the negative factors affecting its 1Q22 traffic fade in the next few months. More relaxations of quarantine requirements for...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)