Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Revenue growth in Q3 (+15.5% Y/Y) held up reasonably well for Trip.com</li>
<li>But core margins continue to deteriorate: Adjusted EBITDA margin down -120 bps Y/Y</li>
<li>We still feel TCOM shares are pricey, and that earnings growth is unimpressive</li>
</ul>


Revenue growth in Q3 (+15.5% Y/Y) held up reasonably well for Trip.com
But core margins continue to deteriorate: Adjusted EBITDA margin down -120 bps Y/Y
We still feel TCOM shares are pricey, and that earnings growth is unimpressive


Trip.com Q325 Results | Revenue Growth OK | Core Margins Still Falling | Avoid

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.6% as of Nov 7th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, communication services, health care and offset by utilities, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Beone Medicines, China Eastern Airlines, China Citic Bank, Foshan Haitian Flavouring And Food.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.6% as of Nov 7th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, communication services, health care and offset by utilities, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Beone Medicines, China Eastern Airlines, China Citic Bank, Foshan Haitian Flavouring And Food.


A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 7th): Beone Medicines, China Eastern Airlines, China Citic Bank

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 300 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Wuliangye, China Life, SHANGHAI PUDONG DEVELOPMENT BANK, BYD, PING AN INSURANCE, CHONGQING ZHIFEI BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES, GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 300 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Wuliangye, China Life, SHANGHAI PUDONG DEVELOPMENT BANK, BYD, PING AN INSURANCE, CHONGQING ZHIFEI BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES, GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE, Ping An Insurance.


CSI 300 Index Earning Revision (Oct): Wuliangye, China Life, SPDB, BYD

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Excluding an outlier, our coverage universe is expected to witness a 56.6% YoY earnings growth in 4Q25, rapidly accelerating from the previous quarter.</li>
<li>Stocks with the best growth are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinjiang-goldwind-science-technology-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10112:1" rel="noopener">Xinjiang Goldwind (2208 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-equipment-intl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11104:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Equip. (631 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36229:1" rel="noopener">CTG Duty Free (1880 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-energy-tran-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:646:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Energy (1138 HK)</a>.. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">CICC (3908 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">CNBM (3323 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-electric-group-company-limited-d542164d-4d5a-4ce0-b33e-5fe6bc34722c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8777:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Electric (2727 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotrans-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1321:1" rel="noopener">Sinotrans (598 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anjoy-foods-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44280:1" rel="noopener">Anjoy Foods (2648 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-ports-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:360:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Ports (1199 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> may upgrade. </li>
</ul>


Excluding an outlier, our coverage universe is expected to witness a 56.6% YoY earnings growth in 4Q25, rapidly accelerating from the previous quarter.
Stocks with the best growth are Xinjiang Goldwind (2208 HK), Sany Heavy Equip. (631 HK), Dongfang Electric (1072 HK), CTG Duty Free (1880 HK), and Cosco Shipping Energy (1138 HK).. 

CICC (3908 HK), CNBM (3323 HK), Shanghai Electric (2727 HK), Sinotrans (598 HK), Anjoy Foods (2648 HK), Cosco Shipping Ports (1199 HK), and Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) may upgrade. 


China & HK Strategy: Stock Implications for 4Q25

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.9% as of Oct 24th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.1ppt week-on-week, led by financials, information technology, industrials and offset by energy, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.9% as of Oct 24th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.1ppt week-on-week, led by financials, information technology, industrials and offset by energy, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 24th): China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China

China

China Eastern Airlines Corporation Limited operates airline businesses. The Company provides passenger transport, air freight, air catering, and other related services. China Eastern Airlines conducts businesses worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Eastern Airlines Lt (600115 CH)

Trip.com Q325 Results | Revenue Growth OK | Core Margins Still Falling | Avoid

Trip.com reported Q3 results on Monday after the US close. Revenue growth was fine, but core margins continue to fall. We view the shares as...

Tracking Traffic

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 7th): Beone Medicines, China Eastern Airlines, China Citic Bank

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Beone Medicines, China Eastern Airlines, China Citic Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI 300 Index Earning Revision (Oct): Wuliangye, China Life, SPDB, BYD

We analyzed CSI 300's consensus for Oct 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Wuliangye (000858 CH), China Life (601628 CH), SHANGHAI PUDONG...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China & HK Strategy: Stock Implications for 4Q25

Expect a 56.6% YoY profit growth in 4Q25 for our coverage universe, with top growth stocks being Xinjiang Goldwind, Sany Heavy Equipment, Dongfang...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 24th): China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Trip.com Q325 Results | Revenue Growth OK | Core Margins Still Falling | Avoid

Trip.com reported Q3 results on Monday after the US close. Revenue growth was fine, but core margins continue to fall. We view the shares as...

Tracking Traffic

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 7th): Beone Medicines, China Eastern Airlines, China Citic Bank

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Beone Medicines, China Eastern Airlines, China Citic Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI 300 Index Earning Revision (Oct): Wuliangye, China Life, SPDB, BYD

We analyzed CSI 300's consensus for Oct 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Wuliangye (000858 CH), China Life (601628 CH), SHANGHAI PUDONG...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China & HK Strategy: Stock Implications for 4Q25

​Expect a 56.6% YoY profit growth in 4Q25 for our coverage universe, with top growth stocks being Xinjiang Goldwind, Sany Heavy Equipment, Dongfang...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 24th): China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Expect a 56.6% YoY profit growth in 4Q25 for our coverage universe, with top growth stocks being Xinjiang Goldwind, Sany Heavy Equipment, Dongfang...