External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Feihe pre-announced its 1H results which came in as a miss with flattish revenue (vs CMBIe: LSD increase) and a 23% to 36% net profit decline (vs CMBIe: flattish).</li><li>We have alerted in our previous downgrade report that a nearterm recovery could just be wishful thinking given 1) likely persistent low birthrates, 2) heightening industry competition, 3) a down-trending product mix, and 4) production economy deleveraging. In our view, an inflection point remains remote and should there be any, it would take time for fertility intention to manifest into legit IMF consumption.</li><li>This is not to mention that family and child planning consumption is late-cycle beneficiary as opposite to dine-out and shorthaul travel demand. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Feihe pre-announced its 1H results which came in as a miss with flattish revenue (vs CMBIe: LSD increase) and a 23% to 36% net profit decline (vs CMBIe: flattish).We have alerted in our previous downgrade report that a nearterm recovery could just be wishful thinking given 1) likely persistent low birthrates, 2) heightening industry competition, 3) a down-trending product mix, and 4) production economy deleveraging. In our view, an inflection point remains remote and should there be any, it would take time for fertility intention to manifest into legit IMF consumption.This is not to mention that family and child planning consumption is late-cycle beneficiary as opposite to dine-out and shorthaul travel demand. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Feihe (6186 HK) – 1H below us; near-term recovery could just be wishful thinking

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 21st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We estimate the inflows to be USD 2.1billion and highlight flows for Tencent, Hsbc.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 21st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We estimate the inflows to be USD 2.1billion and highlight flows for Tencent, Hsbc.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 21st): Tencent, HSBC

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 14th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We estimate the outflows to be USD 538m and highlight flows for Meituan, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 14th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We estimate the outflows to be USD 538m and highlight flows for Meituan, BYD.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 14th): Meituan, BYD

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 7th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for  China Mobile, ICBC, ABC, Tencent, HSBC, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 7th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for  China Mobile, ICBC, ABC, Tencent, HSBC, BYD.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 7th): China Mobile, ICBC, ABC, Tencent, HSBC, BYD

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We had diverging takeaways from our distributor chancel check after the Dragon Boat Festival holiday, with beer being the only segment with positive momentum over 2Q.</li><li>Considering the price gap between beer and other alcoholic drinks, and also the growing preference of low alcoholic content, in our view, breweries still offer a multi-year story that looks to be sustainable in the next 4-5 years.</li><li>In the contrary, we continue to see near-term drags in baijiu, dairies and condiments that not only led to a lacklustre 2Q but also a possible slow 2H. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We had diverging takeaways from our distributor chancel check after the Dragon Boat Festival holiday, with beer being the only segment with positive momentum over 2Q.Considering the price gap between beer and other alcoholic drinks, and also the growing preference of low alcoholic content, in our view, breweries still offer a multi-year story that looks to be sustainable in the next 4-5 years.In the contrary, we continue to see near-term drags in baijiu, dairies and condiments that not only led to a lacklustre 2Q but also a possible slow 2H. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Consumer Staples – Divergence continues

China

China Feihe Limited manufactures and sells dairy products. The Company provides infant milk formula products processing, production, marketing, and other services. China Feihe also sells infant milk formula products on some electronic commerce platforms.

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China Feihe (6186 HK)