Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Bharti Airtel, China Hongqiao, West China Cement</li>
<li>UST yields fell for a fourth straight day, led by the front end, following reports that Kevin Hassett has emerged as the front-runner to be the next Fed chairman.</li>
<li>The yield declines were also supported by soft September retail sales and PPI data.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Bharti Airtel, China Hongqiao, West China Cement
UST yields fell for a fourth straight day, led by the front end, following reports that Kevin Hassett has emerged as the front-runner to be the next Fed chairman.
The yield declines were also supported by soft September retail sales and PPI data.


Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Vertically integrated Inner Mongolia smelter with second-quartile cost positioning, expanding renewables and alumina self-sufficiency, and entering overseas low-carbon production via its Saudi project.</li>
<li>FY24 margins inflected sharply; mid-cycle valuation implies material upside with strong sensitivity to aluminium pricing and structural demand drivers including AI datacentres, EVs, and grid expansion.</li>
<li>Base-Case Target Price HK$18.6 (24% upside); bull-case HK$22.1; bear-case HK$16.9, supported by integrated operations and medium-term EBITDA expansion potential.</li>
</ul>


Vertically integrated Inner Mongolia smelter with second-quartile cost positioning, expanding renewables and alumina self-sufficiency, and entering overseas low-carbon production via its Saudi project.
FY24 margins inflected sharply; mid-cycle valuation implies material upside with strong sensitivity to aluminium pricing and structural demand drivers including AI datacentres, EVs, and grid expansion.
Base-Case Target Price HK$18.6 (24% upside); bull-case HK$22.1; bear-case HK$16.9, supported by integrated operations and medium-term EBITDA expansion potential.


Chuangxin Industries: Buy – Attractive Cost Positioning and Medium-Term Growth Visibility

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Nicholas Tan

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Chuangxin Industries / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chuangxin-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45636:1" rel="noopener">Chuangxin Industries (CXI HK)</a> raised around US$700m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>It is focused on alumina refining and aluminum smelting within the upstream of the aluminum industry chain.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Chuangxin Industries (CXI HK) raised around US$700m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
It is focused on alumina refining and aluminum smelting within the upstream of the aluminum industry chain.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Chuangxin Industries IPO Trading: Good Insti Sub Rates but Peers Have Traded Down

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, most of the listings over the past week ended up doing well, irrespective of overall demand.</li>
<li>On the placements front, there was a lockup release for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-catl-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (3750 HK)</a>, along with a number of other placements.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, most of the listings over the past week ended up doing well, irrespective of overall demand.
On the placements front, there was a lockup release for Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (3750 HK), along with a number of other placements.


ECM Weekly (24 November 2025) - CATL, Hengrui, Hongqiao, WT Micro, SBI Shinsei, NS Group, Ultragreen

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>Despite an overwhelming response and a 26-30% surge in the grey market, at 8.3x FY26 PER,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chuangxin-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45636:1" rel="noopener">Chuangxin Industries (2788 HK)</a>'s IPO price does not generate much excitement for us. </li>
<li>Heavy reliance on connected transactions with the controlling shareholder, pressure on margins in the future, and a highly leveraged balance sheet are concerns. </li>
<li>We do not think it justifies trading at a premium to peers, hence, limited upside from now. The small free float, however, will increase the share price volatility.</li>
</ul>


Despite an overwhelming response and a 26-30% surge in the grey market, at 8.3x FY26 PER,  Chuangxin Industries (2788 HK)'s IPO price does not generate much excitement for us. 
Heavy reliance on connected transactions with the controlling shareholder, pressure on margins in the future, and a highly leveraged balance sheet are concerns. 
We do not think it justifies trading at a premium to peers, hence, limited upside from now. The small free float, however, will increase the share price volatility.


Chuangxin Industries (2788 HK): It Doesn't Pay to Be Aggressive

China

China Hongqiao Group Ltd. manufactures aluminum products. The Company's aluminum products consist of molten aluminum alloy, aluminum alloy ingots and aluminum busbars.

Price Gauge
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China Hongqiao (1378 HK)

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Bharti Airtel, China Hongqiao, West China Cement

Lucror Analytics

Chuangxin Industries: Buy – Attractive Cost Positioning and Medium-Term Growth Visibility

Inner Mongolia smelter poised for growth with renewables expansion and overseas projects, FY24 margins strong with potential upside in aluminium...

Rahul Jain

Chuangxin Industries IPO Trading: Good Insti Sub Rates but Peers Have Traded Down

Chuangxin Industries raises US$700m in Hong Kong IPO, focusing on alumina refining and aluminum smelting in the industry chain. Analysis on demand...

Nicholas Tan

ECM Weekly (24 November 2025) - CATL, Hengrui, Hongqiao, WT Micro, SBI Shinsei, NS Group, Ultragreen

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Chuangxin Industries (2788 HK): It Doesn't Pay to Be Aggressive

Chuangxin's IPO fails to excite despite a grey market surge, with concerns over connected transactions, margin pressure, and leverage. Limited...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Bharti Airtel, China Hongqiao, West China Cement

Lucror Analytics

Chuangxin Industries: Buy – Attractive Cost Positioning and Medium-Term Growth Visibility

​Inner Mongolia smelter poised for growth with renewables expansion and overseas projects, FY24 margins strong with potential upside in aluminium...

Rahul Jain

Chuangxin Industries IPO Trading: Good Insti Sub Rates but Peers Have Traded Down

​Chuangxin Industries raises US$700m in Hong Kong IPO, focusing on alumina refining and aluminum smelting in the industry chain. Analysis on demand...

Nicholas Tan

ECM Weekly (24 November 2025) - CATL, Hengrui, Hongqiao, WT Micro, SBI Shinsei, NS Group, Ultragreen

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Chuangxin Industries (2788 HK): It Doesn't Pay to Be Aggressive

​Chuangxin's IPO fails to excite despite a grey market surge, with concerns over connected transactions, margin pressure, and leverage. Limited...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Inner Mongolia smelter poised for growth with renewables expansion and overseas projects, FY24 margins strong with potential upside in aluminium...

Chuangxin Industries raises US$700m in Hong Kong IPO, focusing on alumina refining and aluminum smelting in the industry chain. Analysis on demand...

Chuangxin's IPO fails to excite despite a grey market surge, with concerns over connected transactions, margin pressure, and leverage. Limited...