Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 65.7% as of Dec 19th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.0ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BankComm, Anjoy Foods, Cosco Shipping Development, Shanghai Electric.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 65.7% as of Dec 19th.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.0ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BankComm, Anjoy Foods, Cosco Shipping Development, Shanghai Electric.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 19th): BankComm, Anjoy Foods, Cosco Shipping Development, Shanghai Electric

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China International Capital Corporation / Equity Bottom-Up

China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">CICC (3908 HK)</a> announced details of its merger, and as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongxing-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25320:1" rel="noopener">Dongxing Securities (601198 CH)</a> is valued higher, FY26F EPS dilution will be 8.5% on a weighted average basis.</li>
<li>Its post-merger FY26 and FY27 PERs are higher than the sector average, but given its rise to the 3rd largest H-share securities company, the premium can be justified.</li>
<li>Larger H-share securities companies have edged up since 19-Nov, which bodes well for CICC. We envisage a muted share price reaction, but long-term investors can build a position.  </li>
</ul>



CICC (3908 HK) announced details of its merger, and as Dongxing Securities (601198 CH) is valued higher, FY26F EPS dilution will be 8.5% on a weighted average basis.
Its post-merger FY26 and FY27 PERs are higher than the sector average, but given its rise to the 3rd largest H-share securities company, the premium can be justified.
Larger H-share securities companies have edged up since 19-Nov, which bodes well for CICC. We envisage a muted share price reaction, but long-term investors can build a position.  


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">CICC (3908 HK)</a>'s announced merger with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongxing-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25320:1" rel="noopener">Dongxing Securities (601198 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cinda-securities-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45389:1" rel="noopener">Cinda Securities (601059 CH)</a> will elevate it to the 3rd largest HK-listed Chinese securities company.</li>
<li>Based on our assumptions, its EPS will be diluted by 7.1%, BPS enhanced by 12.2%, and ROE lowered by 1pp for FY26, before accounting for synergy.</li>
<li>Its presence in Fujian (+616.7%), Liaoning (+500%), and Beijing (+100%) will be significantly enlarged. Additionally, it will open up potential benefits from optimisation.</li>
</ul>



CICC (3908 HK)'s announced merger with Dongxing Securities (601198 CH) and Cinda Securities (601059 CH) will elevate it to the 3rd largest HK-listed Chinese securities company.
Based on our assumptions, its EPS will be diluted by 7.1%, BPS enhanced by 12.2%, and ROE lowered by 1pp for FY26, before accounting for synergy.
Its presence in Fujian (+616.7%), Liaoning (+500%), and Beijing (+100%) will be significantly enlarged. Additionally, it will open up potential benefits from optimisation.


CICC (3908 HK): Initial Assessment of the Merger

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.9% as of Oct 24th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.1ppt week-on-week, led by financials, information technology, industrials and offset by energy, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.9% as of Oct 24th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.1ppt week-on-week, led by financials, information technology, industrials and offset by energy, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 24th): China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China

China

China International Capital Corporation Limited operates as an international investment bank. The Company provides financial services, including investment banking, capital markets, securities sales and trading, fixed income, asset management, and private equity. China International Capital also offers individual wealth management and research services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China International Capital (601995 CH)

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 19th): BankComm, Anjoy Foods, Cosco Shipping Development, Shanghai Electric

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for BankComm, Anjoy Foods, Cosco Shipping Development, Shanghai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 19th): BankComm, Anjoy Foods, Cosco Shipping Development, Shanghai Electric

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for BankComm, Anjoy Foods, Cosco Shipping Development, Shanghai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CICC (3908 HK): Merger Details Are Out

CICC released merger details, facing 8.5% EPS dilution, but justified by the rise to the 3rd largest securities company. Share price reaction may...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CICC (3908 HK): Initial Assessment of the Merger

CICC's merger with Dongxing and Cinda will make it the 3rd largest Chinese securities company, with diluted EPS, enhanced BPS, and lowered ROE for...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 24th): China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 19th): BankComm, Anjoy Foods, Cosco Shipping Development, Shanghai Electric

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for BankComm, Anjoy Foods, Cosco Shipping Development, Shanghai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 19th): BankComm, Anjoy Foods, Cosco Shipping Development, Shanghai Electric

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for BankComm, Anjoy Foods, Cosco Shipping Development, Shanghai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CICC (3908 HK): Merger Details Are Out

​CICC released merger details, facing 8.5% EPS dilution, but justified by the rise to the 3rd largest securities company. Share price reaction may...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CICC (3908 HK): Initial Assessment of the Merger

​CICC's merger with Dongxing and Cinda will make it the 3rd largest Chinese securities company, with diluted EPS, enhanced BPS, and lowered ROE for...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 24th): China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CICC released merger details, facing 8.5% EPS dilution, but justified by the rise to the 3rd largest securities company. Share price reaction may...

CICC's merger with Dongxing and Cinda will make it the 3rd largest Chinese securities company, with diluted EPS, enhanced BPS, and lowered ROE for...