Global Head of Research, Smartkarma

Mark Artherton

Global Head of Research

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
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More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

Macroeconomics

<div class="content-highlight"><ul>
<li>Every time the Chinese authorities try to wean the economy off monetary stimulus they are forced back into an ever diminishing cycle.  2015 is no exception.</li>
<li>The latest data releases support the view of a stimulus led recovery in China.  Kicking the 'reform' can down the road for a little while.</li>
<li>Unfortunately the impulse value of each stimulus is diminishing.</li>
<li>Due to the precipitous declines in commodities markets prior to this round of stimulus the commodities markets will behave differently from…</li>
</ul></div>


Every time the Chinese authorities try to wean the economy off monetary stimulus they are forced back into an ever diminishing cycle.  2015 is no exception.
The latest data releases support the view of a stimulus led recovery in China.  Kicking the 'reform' can down the road for a little while.
Unfortunately the impulse value of each stimulus is diminishing.
Due to the precipitous declines in commodities markets prior to this round of stimulus the commodities markets will behave differently from…


Hao Wang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

We have quite a few market surprises this year, especially from China, not to mention those from Middle East. Here I would like to mention a <a href="http://paper.people.com.cn/rmrb/html/2016-01/04/nw.D110000renmrb_20160104_1-02.htm" target="_blank">very important article</a> published on the front page and the whole second page on People's Daily on Jan 4th. Though the article is only in Chinese and not covered by most of the foreign media, it gives probably the best explanation of the so-called supply-side reform and more importantly the intentions of top leaders on economic policies. Given that most of…

We have quite a few market surprises this year, especially from China, not to mention those from Middle East. Here I would like to mention a very important article published on the front page and the whole second page on People's Daily on Jan 4th. Though the article is only in Chinese and not covered by most of the foreign media, it gives probably the best explanation of the so-called supply-side reform and more importantly the intentions of top leaders on economic policies. Given that most of…

What You Might Have Missed but Should Not on China's Supply-Side Reform

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Capital Markets

China Hengshi Foundation Co / Equity Capital Markets

China Hengshi Foundation Company Limited (Hengshi) plans to raise US$58-84m by selling new shares. Ordinarily we don't write on such deals, owing to lack of institutional interest for small IPOs. However, going through the prospectus raised so many red flags that it was just too good an opportunity to miss out writing on. This company has more related party transactions than we've ever seen.Hengshi buys all of fiber glass raw materials for a listed related party entity and plans to do so going…

China Hengshi Foundation Company Limited (Hengshi) plans to raise US$58-84m by selling new shares. Ordinarily we don't write on such deals, owing to lack of institutional interest for small IPOs. However, going through the prospectus raised so many red flags that it was just too good an opportunity to miss out writing on. This company has more related party transactions than we've ever seen.Hengshi buys all of fiber glass raw materials for a listed related party entity and plans to do so going…

China Hengshi IPO - Too Many Related Party Transactions to Even Bother About the Underlying Business

Ex-Buyside Principal, now doing Independent Secondary Research on Indian Equities

Pawan Sachdeva

In preparing this insight, I have tried to compare ACC (as an Indian Cement Sector Proxy) to Holcim and Anhui Conch. &nbsp;<div><ul><li>I discuss Long Term trends of cement pricing in India, environmental issues and relative cost structures.&nbsp; </li><li>I believe that this work might aid fund managers / analysts in deriving a better view on the cement sector.&nbsp; </li><li>Cement Company Managements can also use this as an analysis framework to benchmark their own performance.&nbsp; </li><li>Lastly, I also try to raise thoughts on whether 2015-2020 is like 2003-2008 for the Indian stock market.&nbsp;</li></ul><blockquote>My work examines publicly available data spanning 15 years, going back to 1999.&nbsp;</blockquote></div>

In preparing this insight, I have tried to compare ACC (as an Indian Cement Sector Proxy) to Holcim and Anhui Conch. &nbsp;I discuss Long Term trends of cement pricing in India, environmental issues and relative cost structures.&nbsp; I believe that this work might aid fund managers / analysts in deriving a better view on the cement sector.&nbsp; Cement Company Managements can also use this as an analysis framework to benchmark their own performance.&nbsp; Lastly, I also try to raise thoughts on whether 2015-2020 is like 2003-2008 for the Indian stock market.&nbsp;My work examines publicly available data spanning 15 years, going back to 1999.&nbsp;

ACC, Holcim & Anhui Conch: A Cross-Country Benchmarking Study of Cement Sector Leaders

China

China Jushi Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets glass fibers and its products. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures building materials and pol yvinyl chloride (PVC) plastic pipes.

Price Gauge
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China Jushi Co Ltd A (600176 CH)

China - Late 2012-Early 2013 Repeat

Every time the Chinese authorities try to wean the economy off monetary stimulus they are forced back into an ever diminishing cycle. 2015 is no...

Mark Artherton

What You Might Have Missed but Should Not on China's Supply-Side Reform

We have quite a few market surprises this year, especially from China, not to mention those from Middle East. Here I would like to mention a very...

Hao Wang, CFA

ACC, Holcim & Anhui Conch: A Cross-Country Benchmarking Study of Cement Sector Leaders

In preparing this insight, I have tried to compare ACC (as an Indian Cement Sector Proxy) to Holcim and Anhui Conch. I discuss Long Term trends...

Pawan Sachdeva

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China - Late 2012-Early 2013 Repeat

Every time the Chinese authorities try to wean the economy off monetary stimulus they are forced back into an ever diminishing cycle. 2015 is no...

Mark Artherton

What You Might Have Missed but Should Not on China's Supply-Side Reform

We have quite a few market surprises this year, especially from China, not to mention those from Middle East. Here I would like to mention a very...

Hao Wang, CFA

China Hengshi IPO - Too Many Related Party Transactions to Even Bother About the Underlying Business

China Hengshi Foundation Company Limited (Hengshi) plans to raise US$58-84m by selling new shares. Ordinarily we don't write on such deals, owing...

Sumeet Singh

ACC, Holcim & Anhui Conch: A Cross-Country Benchmarking Study of Cement Sector Leaders

In preparing this insight, I have tried to compare ACC (as an Indian Cement Sector Proxy) to Holcim and Anhui Conch. I discuss Long Term trends...

Pawan Sachdeva