Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:240:1" rel="noopener">Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK)</a> is still suspended from trading and could be deleted from the index in July and replaced by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina (857 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime (20 HK)</a> or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina (857 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall (2333 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng (881 HK)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao (6862 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-pacific-insurance-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6177:1" rel="noopener">CPIC (2601 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-health-information-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:453:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Health (241 HK)</a> in September.</li>
<li>There will be buying on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH INDEX</a> trackers. But there is also a big lock-up expiry on 29 June.</li>
</ul>



Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK) is still suspended from trading and could be deleted from the index in July and replaced by SenseTime Group (20 HK) or PetroChina (857 HK). 

SenseTime (20 HK) or PetroChina (857 HK), Great Wall (2333 HK) and Zhongsheng (881 HK) could replace Haidilao (6862 HK), CPIC (2601 HK) and Alibaba Health (241 HK) in September.
There will be buying on SenseTime Group (20 HK) from HSCEI INDEX and HSTECH INDEX trackers. But there is also a big lock-up expiry on 29 June.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Four Sets of Changes from July to September

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Life Insurance Corporation of India / Equity Capital Markets

Life Insurance Corporation of India (LICI IN)

<ul>
<li>Government of India (GoI) is looking to raise around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>This is less than half of its initial plans in terms of fundraising target and comes at less than half of its initial valuation target.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes. In this note, we compare it's anchor book results with recent listings.</li>
</ul>


Government of India (GoI) is looking to raise around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) in its upcoming India IPO.
This is less than half of its initial plans in terms of fundraising target and comes at less than half of its initial valuation target.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes. In this note, we compare it's anchor book results with recent listings.


Life Insurance Corporation of India IPO - Anchor Book Results Weren’t Great

<ul>
<li>Government of India (GoI) is looking to raise around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>This is less than half of its initial plans in terms of fundraising target and comes at less than half of its initial valuation target.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes. In this note, we compare it to its international peers and talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>


Government of India (GoI) is looking to raise around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) in its upcoming India IPO.
This is less than half of its initial plans in terms of fundraising target and comes at less than half of its initial valuation target.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes. In this note, we compare it to its international peers and talk about valuations.


Life Insurance Corporation of India IPO - Regional Peer Comparison

<ul>
<li>Government of India (GoI) is now said to be looking to raise around US$6-7bn via selling a stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>As of FY21, LIC was the largest life insurer in India with a 64.1% market share in terms of GWP, a 66.2% market share in terms of NBP.</li>
<li>In this note, we undertake a peer comparison and look at the implied multiples at the rumored valuations.</li>
</ul>


Government of India (GoI) is now said to be looking to raise around US$6-7bn via selling a stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) in its upcoming India IPO.
As of FY21, LIC was the largest life insurer in India with a 64.1% market share in terms of GWP, a 66.2% market share in terms of NBP.
In this note, we undertake a peer comparison and look at the implied multiples at the rumored valuations.


Life Insurance Corporation of India Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison, Quick Thoughts on Rumored Valuations

Orient Overseas (International) / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Current at 66 constituents, we expect to reach 80 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a> constituents by the end of the year before moving higher towards 100 index members in 2023.</li>
<li>We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index in June - with one-way turnover close to 6%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.</li>
<li>We also list out another 8 stocks that could possibly be added in June, though the probability of a September/ December inclusion is higher.</li>
</ul>


Current at 66 constituents, we expect to reach 80 HSI INDEX constituents by the end of the year before moving higher towards 100 index members in 2023.
We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index in June - with one-way turnover close to 6%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.
We also list out another 8 stocks that could possibly be added in June, though the probability of a September/ December inclusion is higher.


HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Will The Pace of Inclusions Pick Up?

China

China Life Insurance Co., Limited offers a wide range of life, accident, and health insurance products and services.

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China Life Insurance Co (Adr) (LFC US)

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Four Sets of Changes from July to September

There should be one change to the HSCEI in July and then three more in September. Sensetime, Petrochina, GWM and Zhongsheng are expected to replace...

Brian Freitas

Life Insurance Corporation of India IPO - Anchor Book Results Weren’t Great

Government of India (GoI) is looking to raise around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) in its upcoming...

Sumeet Singh

Life Insurance Corporation of India IPO - Regional Peer Comparison

Government of India is looking to raise around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India in its upcoming India IPO....

Sumeet Singh

Life Insurance Corporation of India Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison, Quick Thoughts on Rumored Valuations

Government of India is now said to be looking to raise around US$6-7bn via selling a stake in LIC in its upcoming India IPO. In this deal, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Will The Pace of Inclusions Pick Up?

There could be 5-6 inclusions to the HSI in June as part of the move to 80 members. We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index, and another...

Brian Freitas

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