Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

<p>Following the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gamestop-corp-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13790:1" rel="noopener">GameStop Corp Class A (GME US)</a> saga that has been all over the financial press (and is now spreading into the mainstream press), we have been getting questions on names in Hong Kong that could be prone to a squeeze.</p><p>We do not believe that retail players in Hong Kong have the heft that retail investors in the US do, nor are single stock options frequently used (though there is a lot of retail activity in warrants on large cap names), but the pain that is being felt in global portfolios could lead to unwinding in Hong Kong shorts too.</p><p>Some highly shorted stocks in Hong Kong that have seen prices jump today along with volume surge are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technology-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company Limited (1833 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Bank (11 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vitasoy-intl-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2807:1" rel="noopener">Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-literature-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24388:1" rel="noopener">China Literature (772 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-east-asia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:341:1" rel="noopener">Bank of East Asia (23 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mtr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13289:1" rel="noopener">MTR Corp (66 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/want-want-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:355:1" rel="noopener">Want Want (151 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsonite-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12790:1" rel="noopener">Samsonite (1910 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wharf-real-estate-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26031:1" rel="noopener">Wharf Real Estate Investment (1997 HK)</a>.</p><p>We identify more stocks that could be prone to short covering based on short interest as a percentage of issued shares, free float and in terms of days of ADV to cover.</p>

Following the GameStop Corp Class A (GME US) saga that has been all over the financial press (and is now spreading into the mainstream press), we have been getting questions on names in Hong Kong that could be prone to a squeeze.We do not believe that retail players in Hong Kong have the heft that retail investors in the US do, nor are single stock options frequently used (though there is a lot of retail activity in warrants on large cap names), but the pain that is being felt in global portfolios could lead to unwinding in Hong Kong shorts too.Some highly shorted stocks in Hong Kong that have seen prices jump today along with volume surge are Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company Limited (1833 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK), Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK), China Literature (772 HK), Bank of East Asia (23 HK), MTR Corp (66 HK), Want Want (151 HK), Samsonite (1910 HK) and Wharf Real Estate Investment (1997 HK).We identify more stocks that could be prone to short covering based on short interest as a percentage of issued shares, free float and in terms of days of ADV to cover.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

China Education Group / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-education-group-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18218:1" rel="noopener">China Education Group (839 HK)</a> is looking to raise up to US$268m in its top-up placement. This will be second placement for the stock in less than six months.  </p></div><div><p>In this note, we will look at the use of proceeds, deal dynamics, and run the deal through framework.</p></div>

China Education Group (839 HK) is looking to raise up to US$268m in its top-up placement. This will be second placement for the stock in less than six months.  In this note, we will look at the use of proceeds, deal dynamics, and run the deal through framework.

China Education Group Placement - Back for More, past Deal Didn't Do Well

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

China Maple Leaf Educational Systems / Technical Analysis

China Maple Leaf Educational Systems (1317 HK)

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-maple-leaf-educational" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:78:1" rel="noopener">China Maple Leaf Educational Systems (1317 HK) </a>downside gap on volume will lead to a capitulation reach for support. MLES stands out on the value radar at a time when markets are looking frothy and seeking rotation plays.</p><p>The initial spike lower on high sell volume typically sees follow through downside and in this case would briefly breach lower pattern support at 1.78 and sets up a long near projection at 1.58.</p>

China Maple Leaf Educational Systems (1317 HK) downside gap on volume will lead to a capitulation reach for support. MLES stands out on the value radar at a time when markets are looking frothy and seeking rotation plays.The initial spike lower on high sell volume typically sees follow through downside and in this case would briefly breach lower pattern support at 1.78 and sets up a long near projection at 1.58.

Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term, Urbem (HK) Limited

Urbem Capital

Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term

Equity Bottom-Up

China Maple Leaf Educational Systems / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The share of Maple Leaf has been sold off following the FY2020 results;</li>
<li>We find little (if any) evidence pointing to the permanent deterioration of business economics, and therefore, would like to maintain our positive long-term stance as described in our previous Insight;</li>
<li>The company has an ambitious medium-term target, which may lead to surprises on the upside over time.</li>
</ul>


The share of Maple Leaf has been sold off following the FY2020 results;
We find little (if any) evidence pointing to the permanent deterioration of business economics, and therefore, would like to maintain our positive long-term stance as described in our previous Insight;
The company has an ambitious medium-term target, which may lead to surprises on the upside over time.


Maple Leaf Educational Systems: Our Takeaways From FY2020 Results

<ul class="">
<li>Maple Leaf Educational Systems caught our attention for its low price multiples and consistently decent returns on capital;</li>
<li>Both the financial track record and the current valuation look favorable, especially compared to peers.</li>
<li>We examine the business fundamentals with our proprietary framework in search of any value trap.</li>
</ul>


Maple Leaf Educational Systems caught our attention for its low price multiples and consistently decent returns on capital;
Both the financial track record and the current valuation look favorable, especially compared to peers.
We examine the business fundamentals with our proprietary framework in search of any value trap.


Maple Leaf Educational Systems: Deep Value or Value Trap?

China

China Maple Leaf Educational Systems operates bilingual private and preschools, offering K-12 education with A-level, International Baccalaureate, and Maple Leaf World School curriculums. The company also provides educational consultancy, school uniforms, educational books, and catering services. It was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

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China Maple Leaf Educational Systems (1317 HK)

HK Shorts: Squeeze-O-Meter

Following the GameStop saga, we try to identify stocks in HK that could be susceptible to a short squeeze based on short interest vs issued shares...

Brian Freitas

China Education Group Placement - Back for More, past Deal Didn't Do Well

China Education Group (839 HK) is looking to raise up to US$268m in its top-up placement. This will be second placement for the stock in less than...

Sumeet Singh

Maple Lead Edu Bottom Projection

China Maple Leaf Educational Systems (1317 HK) downside gap on volume will lead to a capitulation reach for support and flashed on our value...

Thomas Schroeder

Maple Leaf Educational Systems: Our Takeaways From FY2020 Results

Seeing little (if any) evidence of permanent deterioration of business economics, we would like to maintain our positive long-term stance as...

Urbem Capital

Maple Leaf Educational Systems: Deep Value or Value Trap?

With an all-time-low valuation and decent financial track records, does Maple Leaf Educational Systems offers a long-term alpha opportunity?

Urbem Capital

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