HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Intco Medical Technology  Lt / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 2023 NRDL negotiation has officially begun since Friday. Pharmaceutical enterprises predict the price reduction would be more reasonable. But some company representatives were dissatisfactory with first-day negotiation results. </li>
<li>Although there're many optimistic judgments about the improved financing environment in both China and overseas markets, this may not be the case. Based on the data, we remain cautious instead.</li>
<li>As the disposable glove market gradually shows a warming trend, we are optimistic that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intco-medical-technology-co-lt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29782:1" rel="noopener">Intco Medical </a>would achieve a performance reversal in the future. The current valuation has bottomed out.</li>
</ul>


The 2023 NRDL negotiation has officially begun since Friday. Pharmaceutical enterprises predict the price reduction would be more reasonable. But some company representatives were dissatisfactory with first-day negotiation results. 
Although there're many optimistic judgments about the improved financing environment in both China and overseas markets, this may not be the case. Based on the data, we remain cautious instead.
As the disposable glove market gradually shows a warming trend, we are optimistic that Intco Medical would achieve a performance reversal in the future. The current valuation has bottomed out.


China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.17) - 2023 NRDL Negotiation, Financing Data Won't Lie, Intco Medical

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Development and Reform Commission of Shenzhen Municipality issued a document about the subsidy for VBP, which is a positive policy and is good for innovation.</li>
<li>The approval of Genuine Biotech’s Azvudine could greatly increase the unpredictability of the approval of domestic innovative drugs, thus greatly increasing the unpredictable risk of domestic innovative drug enterprises.</li>
<li>In terms of internationalization, we summarized what Chinese pharmaceutical companies could do at the current stage. But they are hard to become the mainstream in pharmaceuticals globally in short term.</li>
</ul>


The Development and Reform Commission of Shenzhen Municipality issued a document about the subsidy for VBP, which is a positive policy and is good for innovation.
The approval of Genuine Biotech’s Azvudine could greatly increase the unpredictability of the approval of domestic innovative drugs, thus greatly increasing the unpredictable risk of domestic innovative drug enterprises.
In terms of internationalization, we summarized what Chinese pharmaceutical companies could do at the current stage. But they are hard to become the mainstream in pharmaceuticals globally in short term.


China Healthcare Weekly (July.29)-Subsidy for VBP, Unpredictable NMPA, Ways for Internationalization

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 19 based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were China Medical System (867.HK), Kangji Medical (9997.HK), Nissin Foods (1475.HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were China Gas (384.HK), Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460.HK), Fosun International (656.HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 19 based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were China Medical System (867.HK), Kangji Medical (9997.HK), Nissin Foods (1475.HK).
In the past 30 days, top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were China Gas (384.HK), Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460.HK), Fosun International (656.HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks: China Medical System, Kangji, Nissin Foods

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 12 based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were China Medical System (867 HK), Sihuan (460 HK), China East Education (667 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were China Gas (384 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), Sihuan (460 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 12 based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were China Medical System (867 HK), Sihuan (460 HK), China East Education (667 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were China Gas (384 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), Sihuan (460 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks: China Medical System, Sihuan, China East Edu

Industry viewpoints:
<ul>
<li>The State Council released the supporting measures for the three-child policy so as to further optimize the family planning policy.</li>
<li>With the implementation of favorable policies on promoting the high-quality development of public hospitals, we are optimistic about the long-term development of the medical service and medical device industry.</li>
<li>The National Health Care Security Administration recently issued a new DIP regulation, which will guide the pilot areas to further standardize the implementation of payment based on disease classification.</li>
</ul>
Company news: 
News about the updated progress on drugs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinocelltech-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33456:1" rel="noopener">Sinocelltech Group (688520 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/everest-medicines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29224:1" rel="noopener">Everest Medicines (1952 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/antengene-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29705:1" rel="noopener">Antengene (6996 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-medical-system-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18736:1" rel="noopener">China Medical System (867 HK)</a>.
Market review:
Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 2.42%, while CSI 300 decreased 0.11% over the same period of time.
Risk disclosure:
Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:

The State Council released the supporting measures for the three-child policy so as to further optimize the family planning policy.
With the implementation of favorable policies on promoting the high-quality development of public hospitals, we are optimistic about the long-term development of the medical service and medical device industry.
The National Health Care Security Administration recently issued a new DIP regulation, which will guide the pilot areas to further standardize the implementation of payment based on disease classification.

Company news: 
News about the updated progress on drugs of Sinocelltech Group (688520 CH), Everest Medicines (1952 HK), Antengene (6996 HK) and China Medical System (867 HK).
Market review:
Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 2.42%, while CSI 300 decreased 0.11% over the same period of time.
Risk disclosure:
Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

China

China Medical System Holdings Limited manufactures pharmaceutical and medical products primarily in China.

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China Medical System (867 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.17) - 2023 NRDL Negotiation, Financing Data Won't Lie, Intco Medical

The 2023 NRDL negotiation has officially begun since Friday. Based on 23Q3 data, financing environment in China and overseas markets is far from...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (July.29)-Subsidy for VBP, Unpredictable NMPA, Ways for Internationalization

The policy about subsidy for VBP is a positive sign for innovation. NMPA is unpredictable, increasing the uncertainty of drug approval. Here's what...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hong Kong Buybacks: China Medical System, Kangji, Nissin Foods

We highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares in HK were China Medical System Holdings Limited (867 HK), Kangji Medical (9997...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks: China Medical System, Sihuan, China East Edu

We highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares in HK were China Medical System (867 HK), Sihuan (460 HK), China East Education...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Healthcare Weekly (July.23)

The article analyzed the supporting measures for the three-child policy, the mainstay position of public hospitals, the new DIP regulation...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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52-week Range

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