External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We project Meidong’s 2H22E net profit to fall 23% YoY amid new-car margin weakness in 4Q22.</li><li>On the other hand, we expect StarChase and after-sales services to aid its profitability with FY23E net profit to surge 76% YoY on our estimates.</li><li>We believe Meidong is still best positioned among Chinese dealers with its strongest management execution and better brand mix than its peers.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We project Meidong’s 2H22E net profit to fall 23% YoY amid new-car margin weakness in 4Q22.On the other hand, we expect StarChase and after-sales services to aid its profitability with FY23E net profit to surge 76% YoY on our estimates.We believe Meidong is still best positioned among Chinese dealers with its strongest management execution and better brand mix than its peers.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Meidong Auto (1268 HK) – We expect 2H22E net profit to fall 23% YoY

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.</li><li>The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).</li><li>China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume, based on insurance data, rose 9% YoY to 1.86mn units in Sep 2022, 3% lower than our prior forecast.</li><li>Wholesale volume surged 33% YoY to 2.33mn units, 8% higher than our prior projection due to more inventories pushed to dealers than expected.</li><li>Almost 260,000 units of inventories were added into dealers in Sep 2022, the most in any Sep in history. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume, based on insurance data, rose 9% YoY to 1.86mn units in Sep 2022, 3% lower than our prior forecast.Wholesale volume surged 33% YoY to 2.33mn units, 8% higher than our prior projection due to more inventories pushed to dealers than expected.Almost 260,000 units of inventories were added into dealers in Sep 2022, the most in any Sep in history. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – 2H22E likely beat; FY23E consensus overstated

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>We are of the view that Meidong’s 3Q22 operational data, especially the top-line growth, may beat expectation, as we project its Porsche’s new-car sales volume to be more than doubled in 3Q22.</li><li>Although our prior projection of possible price war in the next six months could dent dealers’ new-car gross margin next year, we believe Meidong’s share price could be oversold now given its strongest management execution and better brand mix than its peers.</li><li>We estimate Porsche’s new-car sales volume to be more than doubled in 3Q22</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We are of the view that Meidong’s 3Q22 operational data, especially the top-line growth, may beat expectation, as we project its Porsche’s new-car sales volume to be more than doubled in 3Q22.Although our prior projection of possible price war in the next six months could dent dealers’ new-car gross margin next year, we believe Meidong’s share price could be oversold now given its strongest management execution and better brand mix than its peers.We estimate Porsche’s new-car sales volume to be more than doubled in 3Q22Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Meidong Auto (1268 HK) – 3Q22 operational data may beat expectation

<ul><li>NIO, Xpeng miss, Li L9 exceeded 10,000 units. Both NIO and Xpeng just hit the lower bound of their 3Q22 sales guidance.</li><li>NIO’s Sep sales volume was about 1,000 units lower than our prior estimates due to sequentially declining sales volume for the ET7.</li><li>We suspect NIO’s supply chain issue is still lingering given ET7’s sufficient order backlog.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

NIO, Xpeng miss, Li L9 exceeded 10,000 units. Both NIO and Xpeng just hit the lower bound of their 3Q22 sales guidance.NIO’s Sep sales volume was about 1,000 units lower than our prior estimates due to sequentially declining sales volume for the ET7.We suspect NIO’s supply chain issue is still lingering given ET7’s sufficient order backlog.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Set for NEV new-high sales in Sep and 4Q22

China

China Meidong Auto Holdings Limited is an automobile dealership and maintenance group in China.

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China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK)