External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Upgrade to BUY. Meidong’s share price has fallen 65% since our downgrade on 1 Apr 2023.</li><li>We are of the view that its new-car gross margin probably hit bottom in 1H23, although recovery may take a while.</li><li>Porsche’s new-car gross margin appears to recover the fastest among traditional luxury brands and Meidong could benefit the most among its peers. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Upgrade to BUY. Meidong’s share price has fallen 65% since our downgrade on 1 Apr 2023.We are of the view that its new-car gross margin probably hit bottom in 1H23, although recovery may take a while.Porsche’s new-car gross margin appears to recover the fastest among traditional luxury brands and Meidong could benefit the most among its peers. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Meidong Auto (1268 HK) – The Worst Is Over

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. We project Meidong’s 1H23E net profit to fall 23% YoY to RMB 266mn, consistent with our prior estimates of RMB 250-300mn made in Apr 2023.</li><li>We see gradual improvement in new-car margins in 2H23 but could be weaker than we had hoped earlier.</li><li>Therefore, we cut FY23E net profit by 29% to RMB 723mn. We still see valuation cap as industry headwinds persist..</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. We project Meidong’s 1H23E net profit to fall 23% YoY to RMB 266mn, consistent with our prior estimates of RMB 250-300mn made in Apr 2023.We see gradual improvement in new-car margins in 2H23 but could be weaker than we had hoped earlier.Therefore, we cut FY23E net profit by 29% to RMB 723mn. We still see valuation cap as industry headwinds persist..Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Meidong Auto (1268 HK) – 1H23E NP to Fall 23% YoY; Mixed Picture Ahead

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.</li><li>Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.</li><li>Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

<ul><li>Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Nov 2023 sales volumes on 1 Dec 2023.</li><li>Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 49% YoY (ranging from -17% to +245%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -1% to +48%) in Nov.</li><li>Seven out of the 11 automakers posted their all-time high sales volume in Nov.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Nov 2023 sales volumes on 1 Dec 2023.Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 49% YoY (ranging from -17% to +245%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -1% to +48%) in Nov.Seven out of the 11 automakers posted their all-time high sales volume in Nov.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – NEV Sales Volume MoM Growth Narrowed in Nov

<ul><li>We summarize the Oct 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.</li><li>In general, new orders per store for most brands have been rising MoM since Apr 2023, which have been consistent with our prior projection that NEV market share in China could rise sequentially for the remainder of the year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Oct 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.In general, new orders per store for most brands have been rising MoM since Apr 2023, which have been consistent with our prior projection that NEV market share in China could rise sequentially for the remainder of the year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Improving Leading Indicators Imply Strong 4Q23

China

China Meidong Auto Holdings Limited is an automobile dealership and maintenance group in China.

China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK)