Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

China Resources Beverage / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (2460 HK)</a>  plans to raise  US$650m at the upper end of the indicative IPO price range at a market capitalisation and EV of HK$34bn and HK$27bn respectively.</li>
<li>Though the company has a strong business model and fundamentals, the packaged drinking water market is intensely competitive creating a price war and dragging down growth rates.</li>
<li>CR Beverage is less diversified and has inferior margins compared to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nongfu-spring-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28955:1" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring (9633 HK)</a> , hence priced at a deep discount to its peer, making the IPO pricing attractive.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage (2460 HK)  plans to raise  US$650m at the upper end of the indicative IPO price range at a market capitalisation and EV of HK$34bn and HK$27bn respectively.
Though the company has a strong business model and fundamentals, the packaged drinking water market is intensely competitive creating a price war and dragging down growth rates.
CR Beverage is less diversified and has inferior margins compared to Nongfu Spring (9633 HK) , hence priced at a deep discount to its peer, making the IPO pricing attractive.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 10th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, SMIC, Xiaomi, Innovent Biologics, Meituan, HKEx, Ping An Insurance, CMB.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 10th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, SMIC, Xiaomi, Innovent Biologics, Meituan, HKEx, Ping An Insurance, CMB.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Oct 10th): Alibaba, SMIC, Xiaomi, Innovent Biologics, Meituan, HKEx

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Greatview Aseptic Packaging / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>China's State Administration for Market Regulation has <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0917/2024091700839.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">formally accepted</a>  <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-xinjufeng-technology-packaging-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36744:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Xinjufeng Technology  (301296 CH)</a></strong> (XJF)'s filing. That's positive. SAMR previously okayed XJF's initial 28.22% stake from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Jardine Matheson (JM SP)</strong></a>.</li>
<li>No new update on co-founders Jeff Bi and Gang Hong's <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0806/2024080601644.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">non-binding Offer</a>. </li>
<li>Separately, the EGM requisitioned by XJF to appoint two XJF-friendly directors progresses.</li>
</ul>


China's State Administration for Market Regulation has formally accepted  Shandong Xinjufeng Technology  (301296 CH) (XJF)'s filing. That's positive. SAMR previously okayed XJF's initial 28.22% stake from Jardine Matheson (JM SP).
No new update on co-founders Jeff Bi and Gang Hong's non-binding Offer. 
Separately, the EGM requisitioned by XJF to appoint two XJF-friendly directors progresses.


GAPack (468 HK): SAMR Rests On XJF's Filing

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>The connection between Newjf and Greatview is deep. Newjf expressed an interest in acquiring Greatview early on, but the two parties didn’t reach an agreement. Greatview is not entirely “innocent”.</li>
<li>Newjf's decision to forcibly acquire Greatview at this moment should be made after careful consideration. Mengniu may not necessarily oppose this merger. Mengniu is likely to take a neutral stance. </li>
<li>Newjf’s Offer is attractive. In the absence of a more realistic action by Greatview to make a higher Offer, we advise investors not to walk away from Newjf’s Offer easily.</li>
</ul>


The connection between Newjf and Greatview is deep. Newjf expressed an interest in acquiring Greatview early on, but the two parties didn’t reach an agreement. Greatview is not entirely “innocent”.
Newjf's decision to forcibly acquire Greatview at this moment should be made after careful consideration. Mengniu may not necessarily oppose this merger. Mengniu is likely to take a neutral stance. 
Newjf’s Offer is attractive. In the absence of a more realistic action by Greatview to make a higher Offer, we advise investors not to walk away from Newjf’s Offer easily.


Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468.HK) - The Story Behind The “Hostile Offer”

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>Unsurprisingly, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a> Board has recommended shareholders vote against the appointment of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-xinjufeng-technology-packaging-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36744:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH)</a>’s two director nominees.</li>
<li>The EGM vote on 18 October is too close to call and depends on Shandong Xinjufeng and management's ability to rally disengaged minorities to their respective causes.   </li>
<li>Irrespective of the EGM vote results, Shandong Xinjufeng will be keen to launch its offer to ward off the threat of a possible competing offer from management. </li>
</ul>


Unsurprisingly, the Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK) Board has recommended shareholders vote against the appointment of Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH)’s two director nominees.
The EGM vote on 18 October is too close to call and depends on Shandong Xinjufeng and management's ability to rally disengaged minorities to their respective causes.   
Irrespective of the EGM vote results, Shandong Xinjufeng will be keen to launch its offer to ward off the threat of a possible competing offer from management. 


China

China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes quality dairy products in China. The principal products are liquid milk products, ice cream, and other dairy products, such as milk powder. The Company markets its products under its primary MENGNIU core brand.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)

CR Beverage IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

CR Beverage plans to raise around US$650m through its HKEx IPO. Though the company has a strong business model and fundamentals, the packaged...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Oct 10th): Alibaba, SMIC, Xiaomi, Innovent Biologics, Meituan, HKEx

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, SMIC, Xiaomi, Innovent Biologics, Meituan, HKEx,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

GAPack (468 HK): SAMR Rests On XJF's Filing

The Circular concerning the EGM requisitioned by XJF to appoint two XJF-friendly directors has been dispatched. The vote is the 18th Oct. GAPACK...

David Blennerhassett

Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468.HK) - The Story Behind The “Hostile Offer”

GAPack has recommended shareholders to vote against the appointment of Newjf’s two director nominees, which is not for the benefit of the entire...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

GA Pack (468 HK): Crunch Time

The EGM vote will be close. Irrespective of the vote, Shandong Xinjufeng has a solid incentive to satisfy its offer’s precondition and management...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)