IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Yashili International Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only). </li>
<li>This week, the highest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)</a>
</li>
<li>The lowest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimic-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20030:1" rel="noopener">CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-logistics-property-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22799:1" rel="noopener">China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9838:1" rel="noopener">Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a> </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only). 
This week, the highest gross spreads are Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK), Razer Inc (1337 HK), 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US), Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)

The lowest gross spreads are CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU), Virtus Health (VRT AU), China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK), Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ), Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) 


Merger Arb Mondays - Yashili, Razer, 51Job, Uniti, Link, Sezzle, Guodian

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a>'s comments and answers about the SPH REIT Chain Offer may be misleading. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu (2319 HK)</a> is in discussions regarding its holdings in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili (1230 HK)</a> which may result in a number of "Potential Transactions", and may include a pre-conditional privatisation offer.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a> is two businesses - a US pork processor and a Chinese one - and both businesses are suffering lower margins than they'd like.</li>
</ul>



Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)'s comments and answers about the SPH REIT Chain Offer may be misleading. 

China Mengniu (2319 HK) is in discussions regarding its holdings in Yashili (1230 HK) which may result in a number of "Potential Transactions", and may include a pre-conditional privatisation offer.

WH Group (288 HK) is two businesses - a US pork processor and a Chinese one - and both businesses are suffering lower margins than they'd like.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Singapore Press, Yashili, WH Group, Uniti Group, Toshiba, China Conch

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are currently 44 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal. </li>
<li>One new deal this week: Morrison &amp; Co's indicative Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group (UWL AU)</a>; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK)</a>'s pre-conditional privatisation offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9838:1" rel="noopener">Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-areas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15497:1" rel="noopener">Western Areas (WSA AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are currently 44 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal. 
One new deal this week: Morrison &amp; Co's indicative Offer for Uniti Group (UWL AU); and China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK)'s pre-conditional privatisation offer for Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK).
Key updates took place for: Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP), Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ), Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP), Virtus Health (VRT AU), and Western Areas (WSA AU).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Mapletree, Singapore Press, Uniti Group, Yashili, Z Energy, Virtus

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu (2319 HK)</a> is in discussions regarding its holdings in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili (1230 HK)</a> which may result in a number of Potential Transactions, and may include a pre-conditional privatisation offer.</li>
<li>The Potential Offer would involve a cancellation price of HK$1.20/share, a 31.9% premium to last close, and a 161% premium to the undisturbed price. </li>
<li>The recent privatisation of key peer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ausnutria-dairy-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13799:1" rel="noopener">Ausnutria Dairy Corp (1717 HK)</a> provides a guideline to the timeline from here.</li>
</ul>



China Mengniu (2319 HK) is in discussions regarding its holdings in Yashili (1230 HK) which may result in a number of Potential Transactions, and may include a pre-conditional privatisation offer.
The Potential Offer would involve a cancellation price of HK$1.20/share, a 31.9% premium to last close, and a 161% premium to the undisturbed price. 
The recent privatisation of key peer Ausnutria Dairy Corp (1717 HK) provides a guideline to the timeline from here.


Yashili (1230 HK): Possible Mengniu Offer Amid Exchange Rights And Phantom Shares

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a> announced its controlling shareholder, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>, is in discussions regarding its holdings in Yashili and several potential transactions.</li>
<li>If the transactions proceed, the potential privatisation offer is HK$1.20 per Yashili share, a 31.9% premium to the last close price of HK$0.91 (prior to the trading halt).</li>
<li>The potential transactions are subject to a number of pre-conditions and conditions. We think the potential offer is attractive.  </li>
</ul>



Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK) announced its controlling shareholder, China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK), is in discussions regarding its holdings in Yashili and several potential transactions.
If the transactions proceed, the potential privatisation offer is HK$1.20 per Yashili share, a 31.9% premium to the last close price of HK$0.91 (prior to the trading halt).
The potential transactions are subject to a number of pre-conditions and conditions. We think the potential offer is attractive.  


Yashili’s Potential Pre-Conditional Privatisation Offer from Mengniu

China

China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes quality dairy products in China. The principal products are liquid milk products, ice cream, and other dairy products, such as milk powder. The Company markets its products under its primary MENGNIU core brand.

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China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)

Merger Arb Mondays - Yashili, Razer, 51Job, Uniti, Link, Sezzle, Guodian

This week, the highest gross spreads are Yashili (41.2%), Razer (19.2%), 51 Job (16.0%), Uniti Group (9.8%), Link (8.6%), Sezzle (7.0%), Guodian...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Singapore Press, Yashili, WH Group, Uniti Group, Toshiba, China Conch

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Mapletree, Singapore Press, Uniti Group, Yashili, Z Energy, Virtus

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Yashili (1230 HK): Possible Mengniu Offer Amid Exchange Rights And Phantom Shares

I'd be a buyer here. There appears to be a directive to take these milk formula companies private. Mengniu is state-backed, and this is not a large...

David Blennerhassett

Yashili’s Potential Pre-Conditional Privatisation Offer from Mengniu

Yashili announced that Mengniu is in discussions regarding its holdings in Yashili and several potential transactions, which could lead to a...

Arun George

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