HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Surging by 19.4% since the trough on 19-Apr, the HSI is now only 3.2% shy away from the psychological resistance of 20,000. We look at some potential profit-taking names. </li>
<li>Heavy-Weights like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> are among the best-performing ones YTD and since the trough. Hence they are more exposed, particularly for Meituan.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a> are another two on the list. Their valuations are no longer inexpensive relative to 3-year earnings CAGR.</li>
</ul>


Surging by 19.4% since the trough on 19-Apr, the HSI is now only 3.2% shy away from the psychological resistance of 20,000. We look at some potential profit-taking names. 
Heavy-Weights like Meituan (3690 HK) and Tencent (700 HK) are among the best-performing ones YTD and since the trough. Hence they are more exposed, particularly for Meituan.

Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK) and ENN Energy (2688 HK) are another two on the list. Their valuations are no longer inexpensive relative to 3-year earnings CAGR.


HK Strategy: To Sell or Not to Sell, that Is the Question

<ul>
<li>Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> are massive laggards YTD.</li>
<li>As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. </li>
</ul>


Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.

Li Auto (2015 HK), Link REIT (823 HK), China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK), Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) are massive laggards YTD.
As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. 


HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.4% as of Aug 28th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, energy, real estate and offset by utilities, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.4% as of Aug 28th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, energy, real estate and offset by utilities, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 28th): Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>TikTok /: ByteDance holds firm against selling TikTok despite U.S. ban threat</li><li>Corruption /: Head of Chinese Football Association sentenced to life in prison</li><li>CMB /: Exclusive: China Merchants Bank punishes two private banking executives, sources say</li></ul>

TikTok /: ByteDance holds firm against selling TikTok despite U.S. ban threatCorruption /: Head of Chinese Football Association sentenced to life in prisonCMB /: Exclusive: China Merchants Bank punishes two private banking executives, sources say

CX Daily: ByteDance Holds Firm Against Selling TikTok Despite U.S. Ban Threat

<ul><li>Rate cuts / In Depth: China set for interest rate cuts to support economy</li><li>Funds /: China’s star fund manager under investigation, sources say</li><li>Corruption /: Ex-chief of China Merchants Bank receives suspended death sentence</li></ul>

Rate cuts / In Depth: China set for interest rate cuts to support economyFunds /: China’s star fund manager under investigation, sources sayCorruption /: Ex-chief of China Merchants Bank receives suspended death sentence

CX Daily: China Set for Interest Rate Cuts to Support Economy 

China

China Merchants Bank is a joint-stock commercial bank offering comprehensive financial services, including corporate and retail banking, investment banking, wealth management, and insurance. It provides products such as deposits, loans, credit cards, and online banking services. The bank was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Price Gauge
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China Merchants Bank (3968 HK)

HK Strategy: To Sell or Not to Sell, that Is the Question

HSI surges by 19.4% nearing the 20,000 resistance, potential profit-taking names include Meituan, Tencent, Haidilao, and ENN Energy due to strong...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 28th): Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CX Daily: ByteDance Holds Firm Against Selling TikTok Despite U.S. Ban Threat

TikTok /: ByteDance holds firm against selling TikTok despite U.S. ban threat Corruption /: Head of Chinese Football Association sentenced to life...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: China Set for Interest Rate Cuts to Support Economy

Rate cuts / In Depth: China set for interest rate cuts to support economy China’s central bank is still widely expected to cut interest rates this...

Caixin Global

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Strategy: To Sell or Not to Sell, that Is the Question

​HSI surges by 19.4% nearing the 20,000 resistance, potential profit-taking names include Meituan, Tencent, Haidilao, and ENN Energy due to strong...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 28th): Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CX Daily: ByteDance Holds Firm Against Selling TikTok Despite U.S. Ban Threat

TikTok /: ByteDance holds firm against selling TikTok despite U.S. ban threat Corruption /: Head of Chinese Football Association sentenced to life...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: China Set for Interest Rate Cuts to Support Economy

Rate cuts / In Depth: China set for interest rate cuts to support economy China’s central bank is still widely expected to cut interest rates this...

Caixin Global

HSI surges by 19.4% nearing the 20,000 resistance, potential profit-taking names include Meituan, Tencent, Haidilao, and ENN Energy due to strong...