Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Among bigger cap GEM banks, we pick four longs and one short as our conviction calls for 2024</li>
<li>Our core buys are Bank Mandiri from Indonesia, KB Financial from South Korea, China Merchants Bank and Banco do Brasil</li>
<li>Our key sell is Kotak Mahindra Bank from India which is richly valued, exposed to low prospective earnings growth and has low credit quality coverage</li>
</ul>


Among bigger cap GEM banks, we pick four longs and one short as our conviction calls for 2024
Our core buys are Bank Mandiri from Indonesia, KB Financial from South Korea, China Merchants Bank and Banco do Brasil
Our key sell is Kotak Mahindra Bank from India which is richly valued, exposed to low prospective earnings growth and has low credit quality coverage


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts to play with.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net sell RMB 18.6bn of A-shares on slightly lighter activity. Friday saw large NORTHBOUND net buys early in the day but ended a net sell.</li>
<li>Looking at the change in the weekly position charts over the last year is striking (easiest in the Sectors table to start). Still. </li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts to play with.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net sell RMB 18.6bn of A-shares on slightly lighter activity. Friday saw large NORTHBOUND net buys early in the day but ended a net sell.
Looking at the change in the weekly position charts over the last year is striking (easiest in the Sectors table to start). Still. 


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 15 Dec 23): Mindray Consistently Bought, Midea Sold

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 129.1% as of Dec 15th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.2ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, communication services, real estate and offset by utilities, health care, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CMB, China Tourism, Ping An Insurance, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 129.1% as of Dec 15th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.2ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, communication services, real estate and offset by utilities, health care, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CMB, China Tourism, Ping An Insurance, BYD.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 15th): CMB, China Tourism, Ping An Insurance, BYD

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts to play with.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net sell RMB 5.8bn of A-sharesin higher-than-normal activity.</li>
<li>Looking at the change in the weekly position charts over the last year is striking (easiest in the Sectors table to start).</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts to play with.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net sell RMB 5.8bn of A-sharesin higher-than-normal activity.
Looking at the change in the weekly position charts over the last year is striking (easiest in the Sectors table to start).


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 8 Dec 23): Net Sales Again on Midea and Wuliangye Yibin

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 129.3% as of Dec 8th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.8ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, health care, energy and offset by consumer discretionary, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CMB, Ping An Insurance, Beigene.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 129.3% as of Dec 8th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.8ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, health care, energy and offset by consumer discretionary, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CMB, Ping An Insurance, Beigene.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 8th): CMB, Ping An Insurance, Beigene

China

China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd. operates as a commercial bank. The Company provides deposits, loans, wealth management, asset custody, finance leasing, investment banking, and other banking services. China Merchants Bank conducts businesses domestically and internationally.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Merchants Bank A (600036 CH)

GEM Banks; 2024 Conviction Calls

2024 GEM Bank picks: Longs in improving return Bank Mandiri, and value plays KB Financial, China Merchants Bank, and Banco do Brasil, with a short...

Victor Galliano

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 15 Dec 23): Mindray Consistently Bought, Midea Sold

NORTHBOUND Mainland Connect saw significant net outflows. It would have been a lot smaller but Friday mid-day saw a HUGE net buy day become a net...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 15th): CMB, China Tourism, Ping An Insurance, BYD

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CMB, China Tourism, Ping An Insurance, BYD.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 8 Dec 23): Net Sales Again on Midea and Wuliangye Yibin

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND flows were negative again. RMB 5.8bn to sell this week. This is a strong trend. This week saw reversionary flows on a...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 8th): CMB, Ping An Insurance, Beigene

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CMB, Ping An Insurance and Beigene.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

GEM Banks; 2024 Conviction Calls

2024 ​GEM Bank picks: Longs in improving return Bank Mandiri, and value plays KB Financial, China Merchants Bank, and Banco do Brasil, with a short...

Victor Galliano

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 15 Dec 23): Mindray Consistently Bought, Midea Sold

NORTHBOUND Mainland Connect saw significant net outflows. It would have been a lot smaller but Friday mid-day saw a HUGE net buy day become a net...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 15th): CMB, China Tourism, Ping An Insurance, BYD

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CMB, China Tourism, Ping An Insurance, BYD.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 8 Dec 23): Net Sales Again on Midea and Wuliangye Yibin

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND flows were negative again. RMB 5.8bn to sell this week. This is a strong trend. This week saw reversionary flows on a...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 8th): CMB, Ping An Insurance, Beigene

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CMB, Ping An Insurance and Beigene.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

2024 GEM Bank picks: Longs in improving return Bank Mandiri, and value plays KB Financial, China Merchants Bank, and Banco do Brasil, with a short...