Founder of Antler Capital

Stanley Tsai, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Jan. PMI readings corroborate what investors had already known over the break. But it is noteworthy that SMEs appear much less upbeat than large corporations.  </li>
<li>SMEs account for 60% of GDP and an even higher proportion of job creation. Policy support has been keeping many of them afloat throughout the pandemic. </li>
<li>As the deadline on the PBOC's SME support program is fast approaching, small regional banks may bear the brunt of the impact on the financial system.</li>
</ul>


The Jan. PMI readings corroborate what investors had already known over the break. But it is noteworthy that SMEs appear much less upbeat than large corporations.  
SMEs account for 60% of GDP and an even higher proportion of job creation. Policy support has been keeping many of them afloat throughout the pandemic. 
As the deadline on the PBOC's SME support program is fast approaching, small regional banks may bear the brunt of the impact on the financial system.


China's Micro Loan Market: Key Takeaways from the Jan PMI

<ul>
<li>We expect to see a strong start to the week for China financials names, with sentiments buoyed by upbeat consumer spending data over the new year holiday.</li>
<li>Early signs point to relatively loose conditions in the interbank market as trading resumes across the board on Monday. The central bank's easing bias will likely continue.</li>
<li>We see more momentum for the sector ahead of Q4 earnings (brokers &gt; insurers &gt; banks). Stock selection will become more important thereafter.</li>
</ul>


We expect to see a strong start to the week for China financials names, with sentiments buoyed by upbeat consumer spending data over the new year holiday.
Early signs point to relatively loose conditions in the interbank market as trading resumes across the board on Monday. The central bank's easing bias will likely continue.
We see more momentum for the sector ahead of Q4 earnings (brokers &gt; insurers &gt; banks). Stock selection will become more important thereafter.


China Financials Weekly: Jan 30 | A Bubbly Opening

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Depth: The people behind a 10-year murder-for-cash spree in rural China</li><li>Covid restrictions tighten as record number of Chinese cities report cases</li><li>China drafts tough rules for insurers to join national personal pension system, sources say</li></ul>

In Depth: The people behind a 10-year murder-for-cash spree in rural ChinaCovid restrictions tighten as record number of Chinese cities report casesChina drafts tough rules for insurers to join national personal pension system, sources say

CX Daily: The People Behind a 10-Year Murder-For-Cash Spree in Rural China

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

<ul>
<li>Chinese banks remain broadly out of favour due to growth and property sector concerns; we see some value opportunities</li>
<li>We like PingAn Bank, in particular, for its attractive valuations, compelling PEG ratio and potential for higher returns; we also remain positive on CCB</li>
<li>We remain negative on China Minsheng due to its low ROE, poor delinquency and NPL coverage</li>
</ul>


Chinese banks remain broadly out of favour due to growth and property sector concerns; we see some value opportunities
We like PingAn Bank, in particular, for its attractive valuations, compelling PEG ratio and potential for higher returns; we also remain positive on CCB
We remain negative on China Minsheng due to its low ROE, poor delinquency and NPL coverage


China Banks Screener; PingAn Bank Is Our Top Pick, Followed by CCB

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Jul 31st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD350,312m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in ANHUI JIANGHUAI AUTOMOBILE, BLUEPARK NEW ENERGY TECHNOLOGY, CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, Mindray, GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Jul 31st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD350,312m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in ANHUI JIANGHUAI AUTOMOBILE, BLUEPARK NEW ENERGY TECHNOLOGY, CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, Mindray, GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES.


A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 31st): ANHUI JIANGHUAI AUTOMOBILE, BLUEPARK NEW ENERGY TECHNOLOGY

China

China Minsheng Bank is a national joint-stock commercial bank offering a wide range of financial products and services, including corporate banking, retail banking, financial leasing, fund management, and wealth management. It primarily focuses on serving small and medium-sized enterprises and private sector clients. The bank was founded on January 12, 1996, and is headquartered in Beijing, People's Republic of China.

Price Gauge
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China Minsheng Bank (1988 HK)

China's Micro Loan Market: Key Takeaways from the Jan PMI

For the most part, the Jan PMI gauges were in line with investor expectations, although the more pessimistic SME sector may be a cause for concern...

Stanley Tsai, CFA

China Financials Weekly: Jan 30 | A Bubbly Opening

We expect a strong start to the week for the China financials space, after a new year holiday that confirms investors' hopes for a speedy recovery...

Stanley Tsai, CFA

CX Daily: The People Behind a 10-Year Murder-For-Cash Spree in Rural China

In Depth: The people behind a 10-year murder-for-cash spree in rural China. Covid restrictions tighten as record number of Chinese cities report cases

Caixin Global

China Banks Screener; PingAn Bank Is Our Top Pick, Followed by CCB

We like PingAn Bank for its attractive valuations, compelling PEG ratio and potential for higher returns, we also remain positive on CCB; avoid...

Victor Galliano

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China's Micro Loan Market: Key Takeaways from the Jan PMI

For the most part, the Jan PMI gauges were in line with investor expectations, although the more pessimistic SME sector may be a cause for concern...

Stanley Tsai, CFA

China Financials Weekly: Jan 30 | A Bubbly Opening

We expect a strong start to the week for the China financials space, after a new year holiday that confirms investors' hopes for a speedy recovery...

Stanley Tsai, CFA

CX Daily: The People Behind a 10-Year Murder-For-Cash Spree in Rural China

In Depth: The people behind a 10-year murder-for-cash spree in rural China. Covid restrictions tighten as record number of Chinese cities report cases

Caixin Global

China Banks Screener; PingAn Bank Is Our Top Pick, Followed by CCB

We like PingAn Bank for its attractive valuations, compelling PEG ratio and potential for higher returns, we also remain positive on CCB; avoid...

Victor Galliano

A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 31st): ANHUI JIANGHUAI AUTOMOBILE, BLUEPARK NEW ENERGY TECHNOLOGY

We analyzed A-share margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted ANHUI JIANGHUAI AUTOMOBILE (600418 CH), BLUEPARK NEW ENERGY...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM