Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for the month ended Jul 31st.</li>
<li>We estimate that the net southbound flows in July were $8.1bn Inflows.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, stake changes, and holdings, and highlight flows for Knowledge Atlas, Ntes, Kingboard Laminates, Xiaomi, Alibaba.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for the month ended Jul 31st.
We estimate that the net southbound flows in July were $8.1bn Inflows.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, stake changes, and holdings, and highlight flows for Knowledge Atlas, Ntes, Kingboard Laminates, Xiaomi, Alibaba.


HK Connect Monthly (July): $8.1bn Inflows

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 31st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Smic, Xiaomi, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, Kingboard Hldg, CCB, J&amp;T Express, China Hongqiao, China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 31st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Smic, Xiaomi, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, Kingboard Hldg, CCB, J&amp;T Express, China Hongqiao, China Mobile.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jul 31st): Alibaba, Smic, Xiaomi, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, Kingboard Hldg

Research from Quam Securities, Quam Securities

Quam Securities Research

Research from Quam Securities

Quam Securities

Since its inception in 1986, Quam Securities Limited (Quam Securities) has grown to become one of the few mid-tier securities brokerages in Hong Kong with global execution capabilities for both private and institutional clients. It boasts a well-established network in Greater China including Taiwan and in major world markets through the Global Alliance Partners (GAP). Quam Securities is well-positioned not only to harness and drive business within the China Tonghai International Financial Limited but also between China and the world markets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>MIIT recently released Aug operating data for the telecoms industry in China. On items related to revenues, MIIT reported on YTD basis and, for 8M22, telecoms industry revenue grew 8.2% y/y, which slowed marginally from 8.3% for 7M22.</li><li>Mobile data traffic revenue, which is the single biggest item and accounted for 40.9% of total industry revenue in 8M22, edged up 0.5% y/y.</li><li>Revenue of new businesses, which include IPTV, IDC, big data, cloud and IoT, continued to be the star performer with YTD y/y growth of 34.1%.</li></ul>

MIIT recently released Aug operating data for the telecoms industry in China. On items related to revenues, MIIT reported on YTD basis and, for 8M22, telecoms industry revenue grew 8.2% y/y, which slowed marginally from 8.3% for 7M22.Mobile data traffic revenue, which is the single biggest item and accounted for 40.9% of total industry revenue in 8M22, edged up 0.5% y/y.Revenue of new businesses, which include IPTV, IDC, big data, cloud and IoT, continued to be the star performer with YTD y/y growth of 34.1%.

Tactical Trade Ideas – Telecoms-A Small Step in Revenue Growth, a Giant Leap in Sentiment

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>We regard the domestic telecom sector as a defensive play amid macro- economic pressure, consumer weakness, rising uncertainties, etc.</li><li>We expect China telcos to be the most favorable defensive picks with ample FCF, high dividend yield and potential share repo opportunities.</li><li>China Mobile’s (600941 CH/941 HK) share price grew 12.5%/8.3% YTD. The investors’ appetite seems to confirm our previous prediction “Good compound returns (dividends, share repo) in an environment of uncertainty will become more valued by investors.” </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We regard the domestic telecom sector as a defensive play amid macro- economic pressure, consumer weakness, rising uncertainties, etc.We expect China telcos to be the most favorable defensive picks with ample FCF, high dividend yield and potential share repo opportunities.China Mobile’s (600941 CH/941 HK) share price grew 12.5%/8.3% YTD. The investors’ appetite seems to confirm our previous prediction “Good compound returns (dividends, share repo) in an environment of uncertainty will become more valued by investors.” Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China 5G Sector – Expect telecom names continue to show strength in broad market weakness

<ul><li>We initiate coverage on the three Chinese telcos following their impressive 1H22 results.</li><li>We rate all three as BUYs with China Unicom (762 HK, BUY) and China Telecom (728 HK, BUY) as our top picks.</li><li>Despite their outperformance YTD, all three are still attractive in PE valuation with a range of 5.6-7.5x FY23 earnings and div yld of 9.5- 9.9%.</li></ul>

We initiate coverage on the three Chinese telcos following their impressive 1H22 results.We rate all three as BUYs with China Unicom (762 HK, BUY) and China Telecom (728 HK, BUY) as our top picks.Despite their outperformance YTD, all three are still attractive in PE valuation with a range of 5.6-7.5x FY23 earnings and div yld of 9.5- 9.9%.

TMT – Chinese Telcos - Growth Momentum Sustained

Hong Kong

China Mobile is a Chinese state-owned telecommunications company that provides mobile voice, data, and multimedia services through its extensive nationwide network across mainland China and Hong Kong. It also offers fixed-line broadband, enterprise solutions, and cloud services, leveraging advanced 4G and 5G technologies. The company was incorporated in Hong Kong on September 3, 1997, and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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China Mobile (941 HK)

HK Connect Monthly (July): $8.1bn Inflows

We estimate inflows to be $8.1bn from mainland investors to HK stocks in July. We highlight flows for Knowledge Atlas, Ntes, Kingboard Laminates,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jul 31st): Alibaba, Smic, Xiaomi, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, Kingboard Hldg

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Smic, Xiaomi, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, Kingboard...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tactical Trade Ideas – Telecoms-A Small Step in Revenue Growth, a Giant Leap in Sentiment

Mobile data traffic revenue, which is the single biggest item and accounted for 40.9% of total industry revenue in 8M22, edged up 0.5% y/y.

Quam Securities

China 5G Sector – Expect telecom names continue to show strength in broad market weakness

We expect China telcos to be the most favorable defensive picks with ample FCF, high dividend yield and potential share repo opportunities.

CMB International

TMT – Chinese Telcos - Growth Momentum Sustained

Despite their outperformance YTD, all three are still attractive in PE valuation with a range of 5.6-7.5x FY23 earnings and div yld of 9.5- 9.9%.

Quam Securities

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